Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexcaban
Am I crazy or did I just notice that Westjet is starting YUL-CUN/PUJ/POP/MBJ/VRA this summer.
Is this a Sunwing takeover?
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I haven't been checking the scheds for a few weeks, and myself just noticed today before coming on the forum. I noticed YYZ-CUN flights exploded, I thought I made an error in my search because the summer schedule went it went from like 4x per week to 16x per week! And then as I went through all the Caribbean destinations one by one, many had substantial increases. After double checking my CUN numbers, I knew this had to be a Sunwing integration thing. WS has been shrinking YYZ, so a massive uptick was impossible, it's all Sunwing. Funnily enough, Aeroroutes posted a WS update but only mentioned transborder cuts, nothing on the addition of all the sun destinations. Must've come out later, or maybe was just missed?
WESTJET NS25 SELECTED US FREQUENCY CHANGES – 23FEB25
Written By Jim Liu
Published at 0500GMT 25FEB25
WestJet in recent weeks modified operational frequencies on selected US routes for Northern summer 2025 season. Based on schedule listing comparison 15DEC24 vs 23FEB25, selected changes include:
Calgary – Orange County eff 27APR25 Reduce from 7 to 4 weekly (Remains an overall increase from 3 weekly in NS24)
Toronto – Fort Lauderdale eff 27APR25 Reduce from 7 to 6 weekly (5 weekly 26MAY25 – 01SEP25, identical to most of NS24. This route was scheduled 6 weekly in July/August 2025)
Toronto – Las Vegas eff 27APR25 Reduce from 6-7 weekly to 5 weekly (This route was served up to 11 weekly during peak season in NS24)
Toronto – Los Angeles eff 16MAY25 Seasonal service reduces from 7 to 6 weekly
Winnipeg – Los Angeles eff 27APR25 Reduce from 3 to 2 weekly
Despite these changes, selected routes are seeing frequency increase compared to peak season in summer 2024 season. Based on calendar week 29 comparison, WestJet in 2024 (14-20JUL24) operated 429 weekly flights (on one-way basis) from Canada to US. This is expected to grow to 456 weekly in 2025 (13-19JUL25), as of 23FEB25.
SNA being cut speaks volumes to me, it was slashed so quick, even with YVR service being cut entirely, and theoretically would help feed YYC. But doesn't seem so... WS also cut minor amounts of domestic service, namely YYZ-YEG down to 35x weekly, loss of 5-6 weekly. I think YYZ-YYC down by 1 or 2 weekly as well. But nothing drastic, the majority of these sun adds are using WG planes, naturally. With these latest changes, the WS's biggest airport operations change considerably from what was projected before. YYZ will be just 7 flights behind YEG this summer (389 vs. 396), compared to at least 30 weekly flights behind before this update. And although YYZ is 7 flights behind YEG, their capacity is noticeably larger because it's all mainline, YEG is mainline/Encore mix. YVR didn't change at all, it didn't gain nor lose, the WG acquisition was inconsequential here for summer. it seems. And YVR's flight frequency (509 weekly) is still far ahead of both YEG (396 weekly) and YYZ's (389 weekly), who are neck and neck.
But this isn't a surprise at all, it was no secret that with WS absorbing WG, they would add significant flights from YYZ again. It isn't the same thing as WS growing in YEG or YVR, where they are adding new flights and destinations, not just swallowing a carrier and assuming their flights, that's not an overall add. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if it is a net loss to YYZ compared to the peak of when WS and WG operated their own flights.