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  #1501  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2024, 9:29 PM
YOWetal YOWetal is offline
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Originally Posted by Innsertnamehere View Post
SS from my understanding is "self funded", but it's not funded in the same way CPP is.


CPP operates like a pension plan, a dedicated fund which has to be set up to make payments for a minimum period (right now it's funded into the 2070's or something). There is no risk to taxpayers to have to make up the difference.

SS is direct funded - payments made to beneficiaries are directly funded from payments made that same year by contributors. If there is a gap between the two (i.e. beneficiaries need more money than there are contributions), the federal government has to make up the difference. SS does have a fund to make up differences from previous years of surpluses of collections - but it has begun to draw on these funds and will likely drain them over the coming years, leaving the federal government liable to make up the difference.

This is closer to how OAS operates - a direct liability to the government. Most of SS is funded through payroll deductions sort of like CPP, a sort of indirect tax, but the general tax fund is liable for it as well.

As of today, SS accounts for nearly 1/4 of all US federal government spending.

SS also is actually far worse than OAS in that its income cut offs are much higher and its payouts much larger. The average SS payment is almost triple that of CPP., and max contributions top out at over $170,000 USD - nearly $250,000 CAD.

OAS is worse in that it's actually costing the Canadian federal government a ton of money *today*. SS is more of a future liability for the US fed, but one which will be a much more expensive, larger problem, if changes aren't made.

If PP does one thing federally to fix the budget, it will be to fix OAS. Reduce the income cutoff, eliminate the 10% bonus for those over 75, and roll back eligibility to 67 again like Harper did. That will fill an absolutely massive hole in the federal budget.
This is more or less a correct summary. Social Security is paid based on contributions whereas OAS is completely separate from tax payments. So it is more redistributive. You need to live in Canada 40 years to get the max but don't need to have worked. A low income person in the US will only get a CPP level payment but someone who worked for a higher income will end up with even more than OAS and CPP max even without a clawback.

Your ideas are a good start would be politically toxic for very little savings.

10% 75+ bonus would save a decent chunk but 75+ must be less than half beneficiaries so 4-5% savings?

67 start date would have to be phased in so won't really book a lot of savings unless they do it rapidly. Harper had a long phase in beginning in 2023. A bold and brave budget could actually revert to almost that schedule. Saying essentially we are sorry Trudeau lied to you but we are reverting to that as of Jan 1. 2025. (You need to wait a few months) and fully implementing by 2029.

The income cutoff you propose is also not huge. The vast majority of seniors are making well less than anu cutoff and if you clawback OAS many will find ways to reduce their taxable income further. You also have unintended consequences. My Uncle still works full-time at 73. Makes just over the clawback and gripes about it constantly. (I see his argument labour income could be considered differently than rich seniors living off fat cat defined pension plans or more commonly off of investments). If he was looking at losing all his OAS he would probably stop working. So we'd lose the $30k in income tax he pays to save $6k in OAS.
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  #1502  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2024, 10:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Build.It View Post


Well that was a mouthful.
So you are relying on information that you don't understand and that you don't know where it came from.

This doesn't sound like a very good basis for formulating an argument.

Anyways, why am I wasting my time replying to soapbox rantings?
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  #1503  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2024, 10:36 PM
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Originally Posted by YOWetal View Post
This is more or less a correct summary. Social Security is paid based on contributions whereas OAS is completely separate from tax payments. So it is more redistributive. You need to live in Canada 40 years to get the max but don't need to have worked. A low income person in the US will only get a CPP level payment but someone who worked for a higher income will end up with even more than OAS and CPP max even without a clawback.

Your ideas are a good start would be politically toxic for very little savings.

10% 75+ bonus would save a decent chunk but 75+ must be less than half beneficiaries so 4-5% savings?

67 start date would have to be phased in so won't really book a lot of savings unless they do it rapidly. Harper had a long phase in beginning in 2023. A bold and brave budget could actually revert to almost that schedule. Saying essentially we are sorry Trudeau lied to you but we are reverting to that as of Jan 1. 2025. (You need to wait a few months) and fully implementing by 2029.

The income cutoff you propose is also not huge. The vast majority of seniors are making well less than anu cutoff and if you clawback OAS many will find ways to reduce their taxable income further. You also have unintended consequences. My Uncle still works full-time at 73. Makes just over the clawback and gripes about it constantly. (I see his argument labour income could be considered differently than rich seniors living off fat cat defined pension plans or more commonly off of investments). If he was looking at losing all his OAS he would probably stop working. So we'd lose the $30k in income tax he pays to save $6k in OAS.
Good point. Generally I agree with actually increasing clawbacks for worked income - particularly for things like Disability payments which can basically force people to avoid working even if they are capable.

Regardless - there is no reason a 75 year old with $90k in retirement income should get a cheque for $800 a month from the government.
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  #1504  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2024, 10:57 PM
saucylito saucylito is offline
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https://www.mltaikins.com/insights/alber...egy-a-100-billion-vision-for-the-future/

I know this is mostly a Democrat or Canadian Liberal party forum with very few posters from the Texas of Canada but i'm surprised no one has mention that one of the Shark Tank investors is proposing building the World's largest AI data center in Alberta costing $100 billion.


https://youtu.be/-5vQpvlkgmo?si=Ex_f73JtSpyTWwYM
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  #1505  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 1:00 AM
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  #1506  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 2:47 AM
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Originally Posted by MolsonExport View Post
So you are relying on information that you don't understand and that you don't know where it came from.

This doesn't sound like a very good basis for formulating an argument.

Anyways, why am I wasting my time replying to soapbox rantings?
You assumed that people with 80-90 IQs are useless and can't support themselves. I spent 10 seconds googling jobs that are commonly held by folks with IQs in that range. That's not very long, but it is longer than you spent researching your assumption.

Last edited by Build.It; Dec 21, 2024 at 3:20 AM.
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  #1507  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 3:59 AM
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What the hell are you talking about? Where did I write off people below a certain IQ? I would never make such a ridiculous statement. You were the one stating that anyone with an IQ above 80 should be able to stand on their own two feet. My god, do I have to remind you of the flow of the conversation, one that you are clearly intent on dominating, despite having no expertise in the subject of IQ measurement and validity?

In my many years in retail management, I hired scores of people that were mentally differently abled. There are plenty of things that individuals in the lower 25% of the IQ spectrum are capable of doing.

Besides, who the hell gets their IQ measured formally, anyhow, aside from those receiving a battery of psychological tests (say, as part of a diagnosis for ADHD), a small number of applicants to certain jobs that demand it, and a few narcissists?
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  #1508  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 4:08 AM
acottawa acottawa is offline
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Originally Posted by Build.It View Post
Okay, so if you have a stock portfolio that shot up to $5M but doesn't pay any dividends, and you don't have any notable income, how are you supposed to pay the tax without being forced to sell?
It is all paper gains. It gets taxed when you convert your paper gains to useable money (dividends, capital gains, etc.). Now why we tax capital gains and dividends less than income is a good question to ask.
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  #1509  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 2:08 PM
YOWetal YOWetal is offline
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Originally Posted by MolsonExport View Post
What the hell are you talking about? Where did I write off people below a certain IQ? I would never make such a ridiculous statement. You were the one stating that anyone with an IQ above 80 should be able to stand on their own two feet. My god, do I have to remind you of the flow of the conversation, one that you are clearly intent on dominating, despite having no expertise in the subject of IQ measurement and validity?

In my many years in retail management, I hired scores of people that were mentally differently abled. There are plenty of things that individuals in the lower 25% of the IQ spectrum are capable of doing.

Besides, who the hell gets their IQ measured formally, anyhow, aside from those receiving a battery of psychological tests (say, as part of a diagnosis for ADHD), a small number of applicants to certain jobs that demand it, and a few narcissists?
I am not sure what you mean by mentally differently abled. 80 is closer to bottom 10% and that is a big difference from 90 where 25% lies. Certainly 80-90 are capable of lots of jobs. At the higher end there are people working white color jobs in some spheres. I think people who work in environments with all university graduates where the IQ is clustered above 105 forget what a low IQ means. The implication behind your post is that IQ isn't real or isn't relevant because it's not measured precisely. I can tell your IQ probably without as much accuracy as your weight. I might be well off on weight once in awhile but that doesn't mean I don't think it's relevant to how many I fit in a lifeboat.

All that to say I think Build it contradicts himself saying everyone above 80 should support themselves in his model economy. 10% is still a big chunk and even in the 80-90 range you need to be able bodied for most of those jobs eliminating another big chunk. Other mental health issues zaps another chunk.
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  #1510  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 3:13 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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If I was a rich guy (like Build it), I wouldn't be advocating for a world where CEOs need armed protection 24/7 because of a lot of unhappy people in society. Things aren't going to go well on the West, if current levels of inequality keep up. This is all becoming very third worldish (where rich people hiring heavily armed security is common).
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  #1511  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 3:18 PM
YOWetal YOWetal is offline
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
If I was a rich guy (like Build it), I wouldn't be advocating for a world where CEOs need armed protection 24/7 because of a lot of unhappy people in society. Things aren't going to go well on the West, if current levels of inequality keep up. This is all becoming very third worldish (where rich people hiring heavily armed security is common).
Yes. Having spent a lot of time among the rich of Brazil I can guarantee you they'd trade Danish tax rates for Danish society in a heartbeat. It's of course not something easily attainable but certainly worth protecting if you've got it and not only for the poor. For all the Canada is crime ridden claims we are still pretty safe from violence and supporting the poor is the best way to continue that. Along with better immigration controls and a more robust criminal justice system but it's the first that is the lynchpin.
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  #1512  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 3:31 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Build it is married to an Indian immigrant. If he wants to see libertarian light he should go to India. There's a saying in that part of the world, "Everything in China happens because of the government. Everything in India happens in spite of the government.". Why wait weeks or months for an electricity hook up? Pay some 10 yr old to scamper up the hydro pole and hook your property up.

India is not quite Somalia on the libertarian scale. But it's not very far off either, given how dysfunctional government and the courts are. Everything runs on corruption and as such the only way to get ahead is to already have wealth. It's very libertarian that way. You can practically own the poor (I mean servants). That's why even the moderately wealthy in India always want to leave. Someone wealthier can always crush you.
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  #1513  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 3:39 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by YOWetal View Post
Yes. Having spent a lot of time among the rich of Brazil I can guarantee you they'd trade Danish tax rates for Danish society in a heartbeat. It's of course not something easily attainable but certainly worth protecting if you've got it and not only for the poor. For all the Canada is crime ridden claims we are still pretty safe from violence and supporting the poor is the best way to continue that. Along with better immigration controls and a more robust criminal justice system but it's the first that is the lynchpin.
I have a colleague of Bangladeshi origin. He is working through Christmas. Why? He saved up all his leave for a long 3 week vacation in Bangladesh. Now the political situation there has gone to 🞵🞵🞵🞵. And he's hearing stories of recent visitors behind held or harassed for ransom. So he's cancelled his trip and will take the family to Cuba or Mexico and get chores done around the house.
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  #1514  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 4:50 PM
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Originally Posted by saucylito View Post
https://www.mltaikins.com/insights/alber...egy-a-100-billion-vision-for-the-future/

I know this is mostly a Democrat or Canadian Liberal party forum with very few posters from the Texas of Canada but i'm surprised no one has mention that one of the Shark Tank investors is proposing building the World's largest AI data center in Alberta costing $100 billion.


https://youtu.be/-5vQpvlkgmo?si=Ex_f73JtSpyTWwYM
It’s a really exciting proposal for sure, but I am skeptical in regards to the involvement of Kevin O’Leary. He doesn’t have a fantastic track record (especially specific to O’Leary Ventures) and it really hinges on finding outside investors since his net worth is only $400M. It’s nice to see that he has partnered with Greenview Industrial Gateway and this proposal aligns with Alberta’s goals for building data centres, but the leap from a $2.8B Phase 1 to $70B+ by Phase 4 is pretty lofty.

The renderings were 100% thrown together with AI over the course of a day and the site plan looks highly preliminary. I think we should all remain cautiously optimistic until some real investors start jumping on board.
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  #1515  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 5:34 PM
YOWetal YOWetal is offline
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It’s a really exciting proposal for sure, but I am skeptical in regards to the involvement of Kevin O’Leary. He doesn’t have a fantastic track record (especially specific to O’Leary Ventures) and it really hinges on finding outside investors since his net worth is only $400M. It’s nice to see that he has partnered with Greenview Industrial Gateway and this proposal aligns with Alberta’s goals for building data centres, but the leap from a $2.8B Phase 1 to $70B+ by Phase 4 is pretty lofty.

The renderings were 100% thrown together with AI over the course of a day and the site plan looks highly preliminary. I think we should all remain cautiously optimistic until some real investors start jumping on board.
Chances of this coming together not only because O'Leary is all talk seems very small.
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  #1516  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 6:12 PM
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Originally Posted by YOWetal View Post
Chances of this coming together not only because O'Leary is all talk seems very small.
There are no shortage of existing Data Centers in Canada but they are filling up, so adding more is reasonable. They are usually big warehouse like structures that house computers, backup generators and HVAC gear. This looks far to flashing.

No one these days actually cares where they are located. BC, Quebec and Manitoba are the logical place. You want vast amounts of cheap electricity. I though Alberta had expensive power.

I think this is O'Leary being O'Leary.

The private sector just builds warehouses. The universities will repurpose cool looking buildings. SFU (who for a time had the most power super computer in the country) repurposed an old BC Hydro operations center. It is a cool building.
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  #1517  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 6:43 PM
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If Truenorth thinks India is libertarian, then he doesn't know what the word means. Canada is the 13th most libertarian country in the world. India is in the bottom half (so far down the list I didn't bother counting).

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/libertarian-countries
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  #1518  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 6:46 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by Build.It View Post
If Truenorth thinks India is libertarian, then he doesn't know what the word means. Canada is the 13th most libertarian country in the world. India is in the bottom half (so far down the list I didn't bother counting).

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/libertarian-countries
Difference between theory and practice. Is India full of bureaucracy? Absolutely. Hence the ranking. In practice, the place operates like a libertarian paradise because money can get you just about anything. Rule of law is basically dependent on your ability to pay. Isn't that the world you want?
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  #1519  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 6:46 PM
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It is all paper gains. It gets taxed when you convert your paper gains to useable money (dividends, capital gains, etc.). Now why we tax capital gains and dividends less than income is a good question to ask.
What you describe is how it currently works. Warren was advocating for a wealth tax on unsold assets that haven't been converted to cash.
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  #1520  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2024, 6:50 PM
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Difference between theory and practice. Is India full of bureaucracy? Absolutely. Hence the ranking. In practice, the place operates like a libertarian paradise because money can get you just about anything. Rule of law is basically dependent on your ability to pay. Isn't that the world you want?
You are being intentionally dishonest. I'm not going to continue this conversation with you.
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