Posted Aug 2, 2024, 2:14 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Saint John NB
Posts: 2,000
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Candidate update, since there's been some movement. I know it's the summer doldrums but it's pretty surprising that the PCs and Greens are both slacking. It's no secret the Liberals have been recruiting aggressively, but we're less than three months out and there's no Green or PC nominees in a bunch of French ridings and Metro Moncton. Not particularly relevant to the PCs, but a Green breakthrough seems totally off the table. My prediction of 3 Green seats and a small slip in the popular vote remains.
PCs +1 (35); 1 more scheduled
Liberals +4 (45); 2 more scheduled
Greens N/C (27); no public events
NDP N/C (16); no public events
Alliance +3 (9); no public events
We now have four 5-way races (+3): Saint John East, Saint Croix, and Fredericton North join Fredericton-York.
Somewhat relatedly, the last time a non-Narrative Research pollster polled the province was Leger in December 2022. This time in 2020 we had around a half dozen companies polling.
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