Quote:
Originally Posted by fredinno
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It's exactly what is says it is "Latest projection: May 9, 2023"
It's a guy in Quebec saying he thinks that in the next provincial election that in both Langford-Juan de Fuca and Vancouver-Mount Pleasant the BCC would get 2% of the total poll. Now he made those projections before the byelections were held, so maybe he'd change them in future (although maybe not in Mount Pleasant). In both cases he says in his opinion it's 99% certain the NDP would win both seats, and the BCC have zero % of winning either.
As Bluefox commented, "Regardless of the methodology, it's still mostly guesswork." Unless you know of one, there were no polls done in the individual ridings before the by-election. (Why bother, the NDP were likely to win both - which they did).
If you don't think a Quebec astrophysicist is offering a credible projection, then maybe don't link to him.
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