Quote:
Originally Posted by acottawa
True, but polls a few months before an election are usually pretty indicative of the final result. Also, there is no evidence of the ongoing PP collapse the Liberals are talking about.
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"Collapse" is absolutely too strong a word, but the trend is also clear to see--Trudeau's departure, and the emergence of two pretty decent Liberal leadership contenders, and the Liberal response to Trump, is eroding his Poilievre's lead. He's pretty desperately trying to paint Carney and Freeland as Trudeau-the-sequel, but most people arne't buying it, besides diehards who are going to vote Conservative regardless. The carbon-tax/cost-of-living messaging that Poilievre has been hanging his fortunes on for so long is ceding ground to the Trump threat. Canada's political universe is shifting quickly and Poilievre, who was so confident and successful at mastering the messaging and the public mood a few months ago, is faltering. He's definitely got the momentum behind him, but he also knows that it's beginning to fade. And the longer the Liberals are up there navigating the Trump threat with reasonable aplomb, the more they look like leaders. Poilievre feels a bit reduced by contrast, still shouting about the carbon tax from the sidelines.
Don't get me wrong, if I were betting, I'd still be betting on a Conservative victory. But it's beginning to look like we might be in for a real race rather than an acclamation by way of anti-Trudeau protest voting.
Ipsos just this afternoon released aother poll, continuing the fading-CPC trend. Still showing a commanding lead, but the slide is continuing.
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