I think we would be okay. Its fine to get someone to cross the floor., Gallant tried right up to the vote in the house. Greens are mostly down to two seats,
, even Coons race is right tight. Should be an interesting election night.
Quote:
Originally Posted by EnvisionSaintJohn
This commuter rail announcement from David Coon and the Greens could help some PC and Liberal voters alike over the edge in Fredericton North to vote Green. I don't think it's enough of a a Fredericton specific promise to see voters in Fredericton South—Silverwood to vote Green for a pipe dream train promise versus the prospects of Susan Holt being the first premier representing Fredericton in the history of NB... but it could be a factor in Fredericton North going green. Say what you want about its feasibility, NBers like trains, and many are nostalgic about trains, this could push the green party first past the post in Fredericton North, as it's currently the only race outside their three incumbents where the Greens stand a good chance win a seat.
This map is a best case electoral outcome for both the Liberals and Greens. If I had to put money on it, I think the Liberals will win a very slim majority of 25. They may even look to Coon to be the next speaker in order to have a more stable government. I have a feeling Coon would accept this, as he's almost 70, and being the first Green Speaker in the history of NB would not only further legitimize what he's accomplished with the Green party, it would be the perfect time to pass off the torch of the party leadership to someone new— likely Megan Mitton.
A slim majority for the Liberals remains far more likely than a minority situation, but it's still very much possible. This is shaping up to be an even closer, and far more interesting election than even the 2018 election.
Hopefully we get some new polling data soon.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by EnvisionSaintJohn
If those were the results, does anyone think Higgs won’t try and proclaim victory and try to paint a Liberal + Green power sharing government as some sort of undemocratic coup?
It would be something to see for the spectacle of it all… but for the sake of NB, I hope we avoid that situation.
|
Threaded Mode