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Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:07 AM
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The answer to urban traffic congestion? Cars

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The answer to urban traffic congestion? Cars
NEIL REYNOLDS

Globe and Mail Update

E-mail Neil Reynolds | Read Bio | Latest Columns
May 23, 2008 at 6:00 AM EDT

Every weekday, here in the heart of the nation's capital – within two blocks of Parliament Hill and one block of the urban-chic Byward Market – 18-wheeler transport trucks and gargantuan double-length “articulated” public transit buses clog Ottawa's main drag, relentlessly spewing exhaust fumes from idling engines into gridlocked intersections. For people in cars, trapped between trucks and buses, passage through this greenhouse gas dumping ground requires a significant sacrifice of life span. In accordance with orthodox wisdom, buses are pampered (exclusive lanes, high-priority right-of-way); cars are punished.

Ottawa has produced a master plan, however, to rid its grimy downtown streets of buses and their fumes. As part of a $4-billion, 20-year public transit program, Ottawa is set to buy a light-rail commuter service with routes ambitiously running in all directions – north and south, east and west. For $550-million, Ottawa will replace its downtown bus stops with an underground light-rail subway service. Outside the core, however, Ottawa's articulated buses will nevertheless retain the elite status to which they have grown accustomed. They will gain another 60 kilometres of “transitway” – highway lanes reserved for the exclusive use of such uberbuses.

Think of it. For roughly the cost that Panama will incur to double the capacity of the Panama Canal ($5-billion U.S.), Ottawa will build itself a fashionable public transit system that will probably waste more energy and will likely discharge more greenhouses gases – though perhaps not directly up the noses of the parliamentarians.

Buying bulk people-movers is old paradigm. As U.S. environmental economist Randal O'Toole observed in this space the other day, light-rail service was a fad of the past generation that sought to replace heavy buses (average weight: 13,600 kilograms) with heavier rail cars (average weight: 45,360 kg). With few exceptions, the U.S. cities that opted for light rail – a term laden with irony – incurred far more cost than anticipated. Twenty-year projects always do. (The Boston transit authority, citing a single example, is $5-billion in debt.) And most light-rail systems carry fewer people – because light rail (on fixed routes) still requires the preservation of big buses (on flexible routes). You get the worst of alternative transit systems, and diminishing returns.

Road to hell is paved with public transit
Exclusive bus-only lanes, like the semi-exclusive HOV (“high-occupancy vehicle”) lanes that are common in the United States, further lessen the inherent efficiency of cars. Mr. O'Toole calls HOV lanes “fampool lanes” – because family size alone typically determines the number of people in any particular car at any particular time. (He calculates average car occupancy this way: family size minus one.) In the U.S., a number of states have eliminated HOV lanes in favour of HOT lanes – high-speed toll lanes available to any car, with any number of people. Bus-only lanes have the same flaw as HOV lanes – they cause congestion for many, mobility for few.

From an environmental perspective, highway construction makes a relatively good investment. Mr. O'Toole: “Each mile of urban highway typically provides far more passenger miles of travel than a mile of light-rail transit line. The average mile of U.S. light-rail line, for instance, [provides] only 15 per cent as many passenger miles as the average lane mile of urban freeway.” Yet all drivers know the anguish of driving at a crawl on expressways – alongside an exclusive, empty bus lane.

Worst of all, big light-rail projects require a generational commitment. You're building something that must last for 40 or 50 years to make any economic sense. You must necessarily build with today's technology – and then you must necessarily forgo technical advances that become available in the decades ahead.

“Can you imagine trying to write a transit plan for today 20 years ago,” Mr. O'Toole asks, “when no one had heard of the Internet, and all the ramifications of the Internet? Yet we see governments all the time, sitting down and writing 20-, 30- and 50-year plans for their cities – which is totally absurd.”

Mr. O'Toole advises cities, instead, to help cars operate efficiently. He proposes tolls on all future highways and advocates toll lanes on expressways. He favours peak-hour tolls in all congested parts of town. He calls for the smartest traffic-light technology that money can buy. Congestion, he says, is not the fault of cars; rather, he says, it is the fault of urban planners.

As for the environment, Mr. O'Toole says a 1-per-cent increase in new-model cars on the road produces more benefits – in energy efficiency and in greenhouse gas reductions – than any light-rail system can produce. This kind of transformation, he suggests, can be accomplished with “minimal incentives.” Further, hybrid-electric cars save energy and cut CO{-2} emissions far more effectively than trying to induce people to use public transit.

In the end, Mr. O'Toole's theory is persuasive because cars are the urban transit system that can most quickly exploit technological advances and the only urban transit option that can be simultaneously light and rapid.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080522.wreynolds0523/BNStory/energy/home


Discuss.

BTW I disagree with the article.
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  #2  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:17 AM
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Hahaha, an article that cites Randal The Tool. Cato Institute mouthpiece...

Anyone familiar with this idiot knows that he is paid to maintain the status quo.
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  #3  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:27 AM
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So basically, empty buses use more energy per passenger than a car? Okay. I don't know if we needed Reynolds and O'Toole to tell us that.
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Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:37 AM
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Ummmm....a few valid points but beyond those this article is extreme, so self-defeating IMO.

From Randle O'Toole's blog "The Antiplanner"...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Urban Planning “Saves” Another Neighborhood
But density makes it harder to design neighborhoods that are less vulnerable to crime. One of the best deterrents to crime, private yards, are difficult to provide when you insist on 24-unit-per-acre apartments.

I imagine that ripping low-income families away from the neighborhoods where they have ready access to support services and scattering them all over an urban area doesn’t do much to reduce crime rates either. Part of the problem is that the low-income families displaced from inner Northeast Portland are minorities, and no one wants to be politically incorrect by sounding like they are blaming crime on minorities.

But the real blame should fall on planners who maniacally focused on one thing — density — while ignoring so many other things, such as the economic barriers faced by minorities, the crummy educations offered to those minorities by Portland Public Schools, and the well-known studies that show that suburban features such as cul de sacs and separation of residential from mixed uses actually reduce vulnerability to crime.
Source

Some of his views are insightful, if only because he's an American.
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  #5  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:40 AM
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Well, his argumentative style is to coopt little bits of truth into an otherwise untrue argument. Like a politician whose party wants to destroy the health care system, lower spending on social services, and send the country to war, but also wants to ensure that children get good daycare. I mean, you can't be against good daycare, can you?

Just "The Antiplanner" title pisses me off.
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  #6  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:45 AM
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dICKRISULOUS!
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  #7  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 4:28 AM
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Someone needs to be fired. How can people publish articles like this?
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  #8  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 4:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boris2k7 View Post
Hahaha, an article that cites Randal The Tool. Cato Institute mouthpiece...

Anyone familiar with this idiot knows that he is paid to maintain the status quo.
This guy is such a tard. Using his logic why is Los Angeles not a congestion free paradise?
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  #9  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 5:38 AM
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The light rail vs. highway capacity argument in that article is bullshit.

Vancouver's new underground and elevated light rail line, while way too small to anticipate future demand, is still equivalent to over 10 lanes of road capacity.
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  #10  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 6:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boris2k7 View Post
Well, his argumentative style is to coopt little bits of truth into an otherwise untrue argument. Like a politician whose party wants to destroy the health care system, lower spending on social services, and send the country to war, but also wants to ensure that children get good daycare. I mean, you can't be against good daycare, can you?

Just "The Antiplanner" title pisses me off.
The title "Antiplanner" is so ridiculously full of hollow pomp and arrogance, and is simply pandering to the so-called libertarian crowd. What O'Toole advocates isnt even "anti-planning" in the first place, its just lousy planning. Does he really think sprawly development has no involvement in some manner or another from municipal governments (and thus planners)?

Lets review the article:

Quote:
Buying bulk people-movers is old paradigm. As U.S. environmental economist Randal O'Toole observed in this space the other day, light-rail service was a fad of the past generation that sought to replace heavy buses (average weight: 13,600 kilograms) with heavier rail cars (average weight: 45,360 kg). With few exceptions, the U.S. cities that opted for light rail – a term laden with irony – incurred far more cost than anticipated. Twenty-year projects always do. (The Boston transit authority, citing a single example, is $5-billion in debt.) And most light-rail systems carry fewer people – because light rail (on fixed routes) still requires the preservation of big buses (on flexible routes). You get the worst of alternative transit systems, and diminishing returns."
- Calling LRT a "fad" is simply an attempt to instill a prejorative mentality towards in within the reader. Indidentally, LRT appears to be more popular than ever right now.
- LRT is so named due to its capacity (relative to traditional "HRT/Subways". it has nothing to do with the weight of the vehicle.
-The "Boston example" is conviniently phrased in order to make is sound like it was randomly selected. In fact, Boston's transit operator has the higherst debt of any transit authority, and thus he's attempting to pass of the worst case scenario as simply an "average" situation.
-Incidentally, speaking of Boston and cost overruns, ever heard of the BigDig, O'Toole? It's only $6.5 billion dollars over budget...
-The last couple sentences doesnt even make sense. How does being "fixed alignment" equal bad? You would build LRT where you have high ridership on existing buses (i.e. where you would not want to change routing). And if I understand correctly, is he criticising LRT for the inabbility to replace all bus routes throughout the city? What a stupid thing to say. Imagine a hundered years ago: "but sir, its stupid to pave that road, because the rest of them will still be dirt roads".



Quote:
Road to hell is paved with public transit
Exclusive bus-only lanes, like the semi-exclusive HOV (“high-occupancy vehicle”) lanes that are common in the United States, further lessen the inherent efficiency of cars. Mr. O'Toole calls HOV lanes “fampool lanes” – because family size alone typically determines the number of people in any particular car at any particular time. (He calculates average car occupancy this way: family size minus one.) In the U.S., a number of states have eliminated HOV lanes in favour of HOT lanes – high-speed toll lanes available to any car, with any number of people. Bus-only lanes have the same flaw as HOV lanes – they cause congestion for many, mobility for few.
-Cars are not inherently efficient, they are anything but, whether you measure it spacewise, moneywise or environmentwise. They can be, however, timewise,if only because we have spent the last half century designing out cities to cater to them. More about tolling below.



Quote:
From an environmental perspective, highway construction makes a relatively good investment. Mr. O'Toole: “Each mile of urban highway typically provides far more passenger miles of travel than a mile of light-rail transit line. The average mile of U.S. light-rail line, for instance, [provides] only 15 per cent as many passenger miles as the average lane mile of urban freeway.” Yet all drivers know the anguish of driving at a crawl on expressways – alongside an exclusive, empty bus lane.
Adding the bus lane to the freeway would do very little, if anything, to decongest the road. The Principle of Triple Covergence tells us that this space would almost immediately fill up, and we'd be back to where we were before.

Furthermore, it ignores the basic point that the idea behind bus lanes is to make public transit faster in order to get poeple out of their cars.


Quote:
Worst of all, big light-rail projects require a generational commitment. You're building something that must last for 40 or 50 years to make any economic sense. You must necessarily build with today's technology – and then you must necessarily forgo technical advances that become available in the decades ahead.
What a stupid arguement. I guess I should never buy a computer, because there will always be a better model with a month. Simply because something is not state-of-the-art doesnt mean its useless. The London Underground is as well used as ever, despite some of it being 140 years old. Has O'Toole ever heard of maintainance and upgrades? Guess what, even freeways need them.


Quote:
“Can you imagine trying to write a transit plan for today 20 years ago,” Mr. O'Toole asks, “when no one had heard of the Internet, and all the ramifications of the Internet? Yet we see governments all the time, sitting down and writing 20-, 30- and 50-year plans for their cities – which is totally absurd.”

What the hell does the internet have to do with this? Not nearly enough people telecommute for it to make a large difference, if thats what he's refering too.


Quote:
Mr. O'Toole advises cities, instead, to help cars operate efficiently. He proposes tolls on all future highways and advocates toll lanes on expressways. He favours peak-hour tolls in all congested parts of town. He calls for the smartest traffic-light technology that money can buy. Congestion, he says, is not the fault of cars; rather, he says, it is the fault of urban planners.
STOP THE PRESSES! He's actually right about something. Congestion tolls are a good idea (though only with good public transit, so lower income people dont get royally fucked).

Quote:
Congestion, he says, is not the fault of cars; rather, he says, it is the fault of urban planners.
Yup, the fault of Robert Moses and his fellow "car-first" mentality planners.

Quote:
As for the environment, Mr. O'Toole says a 1-per-cent increase in new-model cars on the road produces more benefits – in energy efficiency and in greenhouse gas reductions – than any light-rail system can produce. This kind of transformation, he suggests, can be accomplished with “minimal incentives.” Further, hybrid-electric cars save energy and cut CO{-2} emissions far more effectively than trying to induce people to use public transit.
Guess whats even more efficient? A 1-per-cent decrease in the number of cars on the road!

As usual, he ignores the inherent correlation between transit and development style. A transit system is more than just getting people from A to B, its a catalyst for compact development, which in turn provides a massive host of environmental benefits, such as more efficient heating, the lack of paving-over of farmland and greenfields etc.



Quote:
In the end, Mr. O'Toole's theory is persuasive because cars are the urban transit system that can most quickly exploit technological advances and the only urban transit option that can be simultaneously light and rapid.
In the end, Mr. O'Toole's theory is persuasive because a) you respond favourably to level-down populist pandering, and b) because he is the epitome if intellectual dishonesty and will withold facts that would paint a different picture, and will play off of most peoples lack of knowledge about his examples.
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  #11  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 6:59 AM
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^Great break-down of the article Jared.

Randal O'Toole is such a joke.

Quote:
Congestion, he says, is not the fault of cars
hmm... no cars = no congestion... odd how that works but nah, he's right, cars have nothing to do with road congestion.
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  #12  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 7:13 AM
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Wow... I thought Bush was stupid, but.. wow.

Quote:
For roughly the cost that Panama will incur to double the capacity of the Panama Canal ($5-billion U.S.), Ottawa will build itself a fashionable public transit system that will probably waste more energy and will likely discharge more greenhouses gases – though perhaps not directly up the noses of the parliamentarians.
This part is written awkwardly.

Looking to another example in Canada, Calgary's C-Train runs entirely on renewable energy. The entire system, arguably, pollutes less than a single car. His use of 'probably' is suspect as well.

Simply put, this man sucks at his job. He should probably quit.
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  #13  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 11:24 AM
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Who's Neil Reynolds? And how does anyone who seriously references Randal O'Toole get a job at any self-respecting newspaper?
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  #14  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 1:24 PM
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Originally Posted by deasine View Post
Someone needs to be fired. How can people publish articles like this?
Welcome to every day in Hamilton. The Spectator is full of rediculous opinion articles that people actually listen to (Hamiltonians are very easily influenced).

These types of people is what keeps city's like mine stuck in the '50s. Good thing their generation is aging quickly so hopefully he/they'll be replaced with people whose opinions actually reflects those of 'most' Canadians.
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  #15  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 3:38 PM
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Let's hope the NIMBY, car-loving Ottawaans don't get a hold of this article. I can see public meetings now with people quoting this piece of crap to death and using it as some kind of ammunition against our light rail project. It's exciting times here in the capital, but the times are no less nerve-racking as I'm sure you're all familiar with the fate of our previous LRT proposal. The new plan is better (more East-West, downtown tunnel, more support) and I think is in the best interest of the community as a whole so let's hope it happens. But, as long as there are people like Neil Reynolds around, I won't believe it until I see it.
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Old Posted May 24, 2008, 4:29 PM
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Solving congestion with cars, lanes, tolls? (and I guess parking?)

Sounds like a good way to fill our remaining 9 million sq. km...
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  #17  
Old Posted May 24, 2008, 7:02 PM
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He's just using the same arguments that anti-LRT activists in the US use. Regardless of the merits of LRT in US cities with lower ridership numbers, there is no doubt that LRT ridership is high enough to make it a better investment in Canadian cities. To look at our local example, without LRT 270,000 more trips in Calgary would have to be made by either car or bus. It would cost billions in infrastructure, and generate tremendous amounts of pollution (particularly since our LRT is electric and around 50% wind power), to have to accommodate those commuters by other means. The article is entirely wrong in a Canadian context.
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Old Posted May 24, 2008, 9:50 PM
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We have freedom of speech. People are allowed to express any opinions they have. Even very stupid ones....
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Old Posted May 25, 2008, 12:13 AM
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^ I don't think anyone said he shouldn't be allowed to voice his opinions, but that doesn't make his opinions any less stupid.
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Old Posted May 25, 2008, 1:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marmorek View Post
The light rail vs. highway capacity argument in that article is bullshit.

Vancouver's new underground and elevated light rail line, while way too small to anticipate future demand, is still equivalent to over 10 lanes of road capacity.
His argument really only works in American cities. Lets be honest here, LRT lines in the USA for the most part, carry very few people. So it is true that these systems are not carrying freeway loads of people.
This situation is totally different in places like Ottawa, where the busway alone carries as many people as a freeway.

He is not right at all. But he is right in the fact that many of these LRT systems do not carry a lot of people, and that they do not remove much congestion or cars off the road.
Again his argument totally falls to the ground in places like Ottawa, Calgary, etc where transit does carry freeway loads.
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