Quote:
Originally Posted by 1overcosc
With birth rates now in freefall globally (the Global South is experiencing fertility drops much faster than anyone expected, with many countries now getting old before they get rich), this ultimately isn't sustainable, though. When countries with sub-replacement fertility make up 90% of the global population (a likely scenario within a few decades), immigration becomes a zero-sum game, and no country can avoid this "impending fate" without imposing it on another. The Canadian approach, of using high levels of immigration to maintain a favourable dependency ratio, is ultimately an unsustainable ponzi scheme. If you want to have the working age to retirement age ratio to remain 4:1, it means that the number of immigrants you need to import basically quadruples every generation. (Because every new 30 year old immigrant will in turn need 4 immigrants to replace them when they retire...). You only have to continue this for a few more centuries before you've quite literally run out of humans to import.
Ultimately, we have no choice but to either grow the fertility rate to replacement, or just accept a declining population and declining workforce as an economic fact. (Raising the retirement age could be a remedy to some extent, but there's a limit to how far you can go with this barring some far-fetched sci-fi tech that prevents aging...).
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This really doesn’t get enough attention. By earliest estimates, the world population is going to peak by 2050. How will the western world continue the Ponzi scheme at that point? Maybe we’ll see a return of slavery (the current indentured servant/fake student scheme being proof that Canadians have an appetite for labour exploitation as long as it protects the bottom line).
The integration/assimulation debate is a waste of time. Outside of message boards and a few hard right wing groups, no one cares. Affordability and qualify of life has turned Canadians against immigration.