Posted Jul 31, 2023, 4:18 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: The Bay
Posts: 11,685
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Quote:
There's so much migration from the Bay Area to Sacramento it's creating a 'megaregion'
By Tessa McLean
July 31, 2023
At least three people in Jose Medina’s Sacramento neighborhood have moved there from the Bay Area in recent years. And those are just the ones he knows of. Medina, too, is a transplant — and since relocating from Oakland in 2021, he said he’s had an additional seven friends move to the city or its surrounding areas.
The Bay Area exodus may be mostly a myth, but the trend of people moving inland, leaving coastal metros in search of more space at better prices, is growing. There are more people moving to Sacramento from the Bay Area than anywhere else in the country, according to Redfin data. People moving from the Bay Area to Sacramento isn’t a new phenomenon, but COVID-19 sped up a process that experts say was inevitable, and it could have long-lasting effects on the state.
In 2020 alone, migration between San Francisco County and Sacramento County grew 70% from the previous year, a CBRE report concluded. The Sacramento region is projected to grow another 4% in the next 5 years, largely buoyed by this continued migration.
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The “megaregion” and the resulting demographic shifts will have an outsized impact on traffic and infrastructure, creating new needs for California’s future. While the study showed there was a small dip in the proportion of people commuting to the Bay Area from Sacramento County, the percentage of people “supercommuting” — defined as a commute of more than 50 miles — had grown from 17% in 2008 to 20% in 2018. That percentage grew in every Central Valley county studied and is likely to continue as high-wage earners with jobs centered in the coastal metros seek larger homes inland.
Seva Rodnyansky, a research specialist on the project, said if this increased migration continues, it could present problems for state agencies, which will be forced to work together to provide the necessary infrastructure. “The more seats at the table, the harder it is to deal with specific concerns,” he said.
The issues are not limited to Sacramento and the surrounding suburbs, according to Rodnyansky, and his research suggests the megaregion could stretch all the way to Fresno. Past Sacramento, people are also spreading out to surrounding El Dorado and Amador counties, where they will likely face challenges they’re not prepared for, like managing their land for increasing wildfire risk.
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For many Sacramento transplants still working in the Bay Area, the pain of a supercommute is worth finally being able to own their own homes. Ceramics teacher Michelle Kern and her husband are in their 50s and had never been able to afford a home in the Bay Area. When the pandemic hit, they were cramped in a one-bedroom apartment in Burlingame; they thought about moving back to Oakland, but it wasn’t affordable anymore. They started looking for a place in Sacramento in August 2020, at a friend’s recommendation. By October, they had purchased a three-bedroom, two-bathroom home with a front and backyard for less than their budget.
When her classes returned to in-person, Kern began making the supercommute back to the Peninsula, staying with her mother in San Mateo for a few days each week. She said it’s not a long-term solution and she does a lot of instruction via Zoom.
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Peter Clarke spent a few years of his early twenties in Sacramento, before getting a job in the Bay Area. When the pandemic hit and he and his wife had a baby, they tried to find a bigger apartment in San Francisco, but it just didn’t make economic sense. In 2022, they chose to move back to Sacramento to be closer to his wife’s parents.
Clarke said they love living in the heart of a city — their last San Francisco place was next to Dolores Park — so their main caveat was finding a place with “some kind of walkability.” He said they “lucked out” to find a place in the midtown neighborhood of Sacramento. “If we hadn’t found that type of place, we may not have moved,” he said.
“I definitely miss the big city vibe; there’s just an energy and a vibe to a big city. Sacramento just feels sleepy,” he said. “If I was a couple years younger, it would be pretty boring.”
Still, that’s not stopping anyone — and may even be part of the appeal. “Everyone I know from the Bay Area knows someone here or has friends moving here,” he said.
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https://www.sfgate.com/local/article/inc...18262928.php?IPID=SFGate-HP-CP-Spotlight
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