Office Vacancy Reaches Record Low
www.colliers.com/saskatoon
The first nine months of 2006 brought a significant decrease in the vacancy rate for Saskatoon’s downtown office market. The year began with an overall rate of 9.86% and is now at 8.35%, the lowest recorded in the past 15 years.
The 31,308 sq. ft. in positive absorption can be mostly accredited to the expansion of the Saskatoon City Police into 12,280 sq. ft. in the Standard Life Building, and 6,700 sq. ft. of expansions in the First Nations Bank Building, which included Shore Gold and First Nations Bank. Wardrop Engineering renewed their lease and expanded in the Saskatoon Square taking on an additional 6,300 sq. ft.
Although Saskatoon still remains among the highest vacancy rates in the country, the decline being experienced is beginning to close the gap between Saskatoon and its neighbouring cities of Regina (5.9%), Edmonton (5.0%), Calgary (0.32%) and Winnipeg (7.6%). The decreased vacancy has not yet resulted in a signifi cant rise in rental rates to date as seen in other markets such as Calgary.
Forecast
There is a positive outlook for landlords and investors as current investment returns are improving. However, landlords will look to increasing rental rates to offset external costs and investors will have to expect lower cap rates and limited opportunities due to the small market.
The demand from existing tenants is expected to remain strong for the remainder of 2006 and into 2007. Rental rates may rise if the vacancy continues its downward trend although Saskatoon’s rates are still among the lowest in the country. Compared to Calgary, which has the highest rental rates in Canada at over $50 per square foot, Saskatoon is a bargain. As the market continues to tighten up, current tenants can expect an increase in rental rates just around the corner. Tenants should consider securing longer-term leases and negotiating a rental rate now while conditions are favourable.
Innovation Place is currently constructing a new 150,000 sq. ft. office building, scheduled for 2007 completion. The impact of this building on the overall office market is still unknown.