Okay, I've been doing some thinking and number crunching related to people living in the downtown. We all know Mayor Atchison has a goal of getting 10% of Saskatoon's population living in the downtown core,
“Everyone now is talking about having 10,000 people living in the downtown core, and I think we need to shift our goals now to 25,000 people living in the downtown core,”.
So with that goal in mind, where and how should we distribute our future downtown residents?
Using the 25,000 population figure, and an average household size of 2.2, we will need 11,363 units constructed in the next decade or so (I can't remember the timeline). 11,363 units is a lot. How many units does a typical downtown hi-rise residential development have? Probably somewhere between 150-250, River Landing Village has around 190 residential units.
Let's use 190 units/bldg for our scenario. So 11,363/190=59.8...60 hi-rises with an average of 190 units/bldg. That's a lot.
Why did I begin thinking about all of this? Well, it began with the creation of a map of potential development sites in Regina. After that, I was anxious to do one for Saskatoon.
I identified 64 vacant/underutilized sites. The list included gravel and paved parking lots, single storey buildings, gas stations, automotive shops, funeral chapels...things that don't belong in a vibrant and livable downtown. I did not include all parking lots/single storey sites as some will likely remain so for unknown reasons.
Of course, those 64 sites were not identical in area, so floorplate sizes/heights can be quite variable.
64 hi-rises, or 12,169 units, and 26,752 residents.
But, let's say half of those sites become developments, so 32 hi-rises, or 6,080 units, and 13,376 residents. How about 25% of those 64 sites, 16 hi-rises? At 190 units/bldg=3,040 units, 2.2 avg. household size, that's 4,000 people. 4,000 is roughly equivalent to our current downtown population, or you could say 16 hi-rises would double our downtown population.
How many do we have in the works? 3 towers, and 3 mid-rise conversions. So maybe 760 units? 1,672 residents.
Lets use the estimated 760 units currently proposed/under construction to project future development within 10 years, and 20 years. 760 units X 10 years =7600 units, or 16,720 residents, and 40 hi-rises. How about 760 over 20 years? 760 X 20=15,200 units, or 33,440 residents, and 80 hi-rises (we must go higher, wider, further, or a combination of all three).
We have a long road ahead of us
We're definitely going to see streetcars, and LRT systems sooner rather than later if we maintain a steady growth trajectory (optimism

).
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