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  #3741  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2021, 5:23 PM
marothisu marothisu is offline
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Originally Posted by the urban politician View Post
https://www.chicagobusiness.com/health-care/chicago-lures-life-sciences-startup-southern-california

I want to go back to talking about this stuff, and not STUPID COVID!!!!!
You beat me to it. This is great and a reason why developments like 400 N Aberdeen are happening. The article mentions they don't know how many would move from near San Diego but will know in the next 6 months.
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  #3742  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2021, 5:37 PM
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Originally Posted by jtown,man View Post
There was a story in the local paper in my mom's town of Jonesboro Arkansas where two college grads decided to open up a yarn (or whatever the proper name is) production plant to produce high-quality fabric in the US. *This* is what I would like to see in Chicago. We have massive amounts of underutilized industrial areas, even within the city, that could help make Chicago the workhorse of the United States again.

We just need to make it more business-friendly and have some federal laws that help increase the attractiveness of starting businesses in the US.
Lol come on man, this happens all the time in Chicago. This type of story doesn't make news here because there are 9 million people living in Chicagoland, not because of the "regulations" boogeyman.
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  #3743  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2021, 6:34 PM
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Lol come on man, this happens all the time in Chicago. This type of story doesn't make news here because there are 9 million people living in Chicagoland, not because of the "regulations" boogeyman.
Literally Chicago area has 48.6 MILLION Square feet of new industrial leases in 2020 alone. The highest in thr us..I know the poster is newer to Chicago and larger cities,, so hopefully they start to see just how massive the economy in the Chicago area actually is. There is a lot happening. Not everything is going to make thr mainstream news. That poster should be checking out other sources then realize.
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  #3744  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2021, 7:36 PM
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There was an interesting article on Earther this morning about 'most climate-safe place' to live as Climate change issues continue, the world over. Asking a couple of scientists, one response immediately caught my attention:

"Sarah Kapnick

Deputy Division Leader & Research Physical Scientist, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

To answer the question, I define places that are “climate-safe” to also include those that have plentiful resources and are resilient to potential changes in climate extremes. This means they need to have the following characteristics:

1) Access to clean freshwater

2) Not too hot or humid in a warming world

3) Low risk for catastrophic extreme events: wildfire, hurricanes

4) Weatherized to handle: blizzards, extreme rainfall events, wind storms

5) Well above sea level (due to rising seas)

6) Food security

In the U.S., these conditions are best met in the Great Lakes Region, especially on the colder lakes less prone to algae blooms, and the inland portion of the Northeast. (Although there have been some extreme flooding events from weakened hurricanes in inland New England in recent years.)...."

https://earther.gizmodo.com/whats-the-most-climate-safe-place-in-the-world-1846409071

Many things can be inferred from this - I personally can envision a new 'Great Migration' away from the coasts, especially as wildfires, hurricanes and droughts become more prevalent and severe.
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  #3745  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2021, 7:46 PM
the urban politician the urban politician is offline
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^ Yeah for sure, but I would view it less as a "great migration" and more like a "gradual retreat" taking place over hundreds of years.....by which time we'll be on Mars anyway
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  #3746  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 12:03 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jtown,man View Post
There was a story in the local paper in my mom's town of Jonesboro Arkansas where two college grads decided to open up a yarn (or whatever the proper name is) production plant to produce high-quality fabric in the US. *This* is what I would like to see in Chicago. We have massive amounts of underutilized industrial areas, even within the city, that could help make Chicago the workhorse of the United States again.

We just need to make it more business-friendly and have some federal laws that help increase the attractiveness of starting businesses in the US.
Cheap labor, even cheaper land costs. I hate to say it, but it's just that simple. More high-end manufacturing (ie: NOT yarns/fabrics, I presume) can work in more land/labor expensive markets, of course.

Chicago (and ANY major city in this country) will never be able to compete for basic manufacturing facilities based on land/labor costs. Education and quality of workforce certainly comes into play for more advanced facilities, which is where large cities will always succeed.

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  #3747  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 12:06 AM
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A new reverse great migration from the sun belt is most definitely in the cards in the next century, but the size of such a movement really depends on how much of a handle we get on limiting temperature increases. The Paris Climate Accord is attempting to keep it under 2C of warming, but we are more than likely well past being able to make that target, short of investing in a lot of carbon capture, which is both very expensive and will still take a long time to actually being temps down, since the relationship between atmospheric warming and CO2 concentration is delayed. We can go back to pre-industrial revolution levels of CO2 in the atmosphere, and the Earth would continue to warm for decades before cooling down again.

If we really blow it and warming goes beyond 3C, not only will a lot of coastal areas be flooded, but you also start to deal with oppressive heat and desertification in much of the Sun Belt. As an extreme example, large parts of North Africa and the Middle East will be largely uninhabitable by 2050. (Source) The American South (Southeast and Southwest) are a lot more temperate than MENA, but its a safe bet to say a lot of people will still move out due to inhospitable weather (much like the Midwest and Northeast have been seeing in the last century with residents moving to warmer climes).

If we keep warming to 2C or less, we will probably still see a redistribution of population back up north, but nothing like the worst case outcomes. Southern cities will be unlikely to experience a great emptying out like northern cities faced from 1950-onwards. It will be more akin to a trickle on the low end or steady stream if we really screw up. Either way, there will be a non-insignificant boost to the city, although at a terrible price for the planet.
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  #3748  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 2:36 AM
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Originally Posted by glowrock View Post
Cheap labor, even cheaper land costs. I hate to say it, but it's just that simple. More high-end manufacturing (ie: NOT yarns/fabrics, I presume) can work in more land/labor expensive markets, of course.

Chicago (and ANY major city in this country) will never be able to compete for basic manufacturing facilities based on land/labor costs. Education and quality of workforce certainly comes into play for more advanced facilities, which is where large cities will always succeed.

Aaron (Glowrock)
Agree. specialized manufacturing or just warehouses comprises the Chicago industrial scene. Also it seems like small manufacturing space is shrinking in availability and is at a premium right now.
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  #3749  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 3:42 AM
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Data from the BEA - http://www.bea.gov

2019 GDP, Manufacturing by MSA in 2019 dollars
FYI: NYC and Philadelphia don't have their numbers fully reported. However, in 2017 NYC area had $65.96B GDP for manufacturing. Philadelphia in 2018 was $38.95B

Los Angeles MSA: $103.35B
Houston MSA: $85.97B
Chicago MSA: $82.33B
San Jose MSA: $66.95B
San Francisco MSA: $63.07B
Dallas MSA: $61.81B
Detroit MSA: $48.13B
Seattle MSA: $46.26B
Boston MSA: $42.21B
Minneapolis MSA: $35.96B
Atlanta MSA: $30.67B
Indianapolis MSA: $27.72B
Portland MSA: $26.91B
Cincinnati MSA: $25.05B
San Diego MSA: $24.52B
Phoenix MSA: $21.79B
Austin MSA: $18.51B
Cleveland MSA: $18.17B
Charlotte MSA: $17.73B
Milwaukee MSA: $17.45B
New Orleans MSA: $16.51B
Raleigh, NC MSA: $16.28B
Grand Rapids, MI MSA: $15.29B

2010-2019 Manufacturing GDP Change by MSA (Chained dollars)
See above about NYC and Philadelphia

San Jose MSA: +$28.3B
Los Angeles MSA: +$20.42B
San Francisco MSA: +$16.89B
Dallas MSA: +$14.06B
Detroit MSA: +$12.36B
Chicago MSA: +$10.18B
San Diego MSA: +$7.97B
Raleigh, NC MSA: +$7.71B
Minneapolis MSA: +$7.32B
Portland MSA: +$7.08B
Boston MSA: +$5.91B
Austin MSA: +$5.41B
San Antonio MSA: +$4.75B
Phoenix MSA: +$4.6B
Lake Charles, LA MSA: +$4.26B
Tampa MSA: +$4.18B
Elkhart, IN MSA: +$3.44B
Nashville MSA: +$3.43B
Atlanta MSA: +$3.19B
Grand Rapids, MI MSA: +$3.15B
Seattle MSA: +$3B


Charlotte MSA: -$207.73M
Houston MSA: -$4.36B
Indianapolis MSA: -$8.16B
New Orleans MSA: -$18.31B


It's important to look at the actual data, not just whatever the media is reporting.


2019 GDP, Transportation and Warehousing by MSA in 2019 dollars
NYC, SF and Houston not available but NYC in 2017 was $39.24B. Houston in 2013 was $18.42B. San Francisco in 2013 was $9.94B


Los Angeles MSA: $27.26B
Chicago MSA: $25.71B
Dallas MSA: $19.34B
Atlanta MSA: $16.47B
Miami MSA: $14.6B
Seattle MSA: $10.59B
Riverside, CA MSA: $9.73B
Philadelphia MSA: $9.55B
Denver MSA: $8.78B
Detroit MSA: $7.96B
Phoenix MSA: $7.89B
Minneapolis MSA: $7.53B
Memphis MSA: $6.34B
Pittsburgh MSA: $6.14B
Las Vegas MSA: $5.1B
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  #3750  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 7:00 PM
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Originally Posted by sentinel View Post
Many things can be inferred from this - I personally can envision a new 'Great Migration' away from the coasts, especially as wildfires, hurricanes and droughts become more prevalent and severe.
I read another study that attempted to project the effects of climate migration... they projected that without any kind of formal resettlement policy, most of the migrants would end up in mid-latitude cities like Nashville, Denver, Columbus where the effects of climate change are blunted. They discounted any growth in the Great Lakes region though, because of very slow job growth and high legacy costs. So even during the end of the world, the Great Lakes are still the last place anyone wants to be...
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  #3751  
Old Posted Mar 9, 2021, 9:58 PM
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Hogwash from out of touch costal elites. The shit is all over the place like the second article. I don't think there is a consensus yet

It's Water


https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/02/water-great-lakes-climate-refuge-prepared/



Available evidence indicates that as an end-of-century destination, the Great Lakes will be among the most ecologically attractive North American destinations. The Rhodium Group, a New York-based research consultancy, prepared a study last summer for the New York Times and ProPublica which generally showed that by the end of the century the Great Lakes states are expected to be among the safest regions of the country. Access to fresh water and moderate temperatures are key ingredients.








I call BS on this last one everyone wants to out doom the other dooms maker.



https://news.wttw.com/2020/01/16/chicago...i-says-death-and-life-great-lakes-author

Chicago More Vulnerable to Climate Change than Miami, Says ‘Death and Life of Great Lakes’ Author

Patty Wetli | January 16, 2020 3:05 pm

Last edited by bnk; Mar 10, 2021 at 3:25 PM.
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  #3752  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 12:48 AM
jtown,man jtown,man is offline
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Originally Posted by Handro View Post
Lol come on man, this happens all the time in Chicago. This type of story doesn't make news here because there are 9 million people living in Chicagoland, not because of the "regulations" boogeyman.
I don't expect that to make the local news. I expect industries like that to show up in the data in the future.

And regulations are pathetic here and the reason people like you ignore them, I have no idea. My friend's husband had to repaint the side of his business because he was going to be fined for having written the letters of his business's name too large on the side of HIS building. So he had to paint over them and repaint it to avoid a fee or fine.

This is the stupid stuff I am not talking about. Not allowing rats to roam free and allowing business owners to work their employees 100 hours a week. Come on.

And to be frank, my regulation comment wasn't even necessarily a hit on Chicago. It was a point that IF Chicago wanted to bring back manufacturing into the city, they could lessen regulations and fees to attract these businesses.
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  #3753  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 1:13 AM
marothisu marothisu is offline
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Originally Posted by jtown,man View Post
And to be frank, my regulation comment wasn't even necessarily a hit on Chicago. It was a point that IF Chicago wanted to bring back manufacturing into the city, they could lessen regulations and fees to attract these businesses.

Now, manufacturing is not what it used to be in the US but it's obvious you don't look at actual data. Especially the post I just made last night. The Chicago area is 3rd in the country with $82 Billion GDP for manufacturing alone, not far behind Houston for 2nd (NYC is lower than LA, Chicago, and Houston). To give you an idea of how big that is - Chicago area's Manufacturing GDP is nearly the same GDP as the entire state of Idaho for all industries. Cook County, IL with a population of 5.15M people has a manufacturing GDP of $30.65B in 2019 while the entire Atlanta MSA with 6M people has a manufacturing GDP of $30.67B. Nearly identical GDPs - Atlanta MSA with about 850K more people than Cook County. Another comparison that could be made is Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi combined have a manufacturing GDP of $89.64B with 10.6 million residents - per capita of $8422.5. Chicago MSA's per capita for manufacturing is $8704. Pretty similar there.

The Chicago MSA has already increased by $10.18 Billion GDP from 2010 to 2019 in manufacturing alone. That is about the same as what Phoenix, Atlanta, and Nashville areas saw combined. Unfortunately, Louisiana lost nearly $10B in GDP in manufacturing between 2010 and 2019 (Illinois gained $6.7B). Mississippi, Alabama, and Arkansas combined went up $11.38B in this period of time for manufacturing. Chicago area went up $10.18B. Per capita increase in those 3 states (10.9 million people) is $1044.3. For the Chicago MSA it's $1076.4. Again, this is nearly identical when you compare per capita increases in the Chicago area versus these states in the SE.

What I gather here is that the Chicago MSA is right now similar in manufacturing than some of these states in the SE combined down to per capita numbers whether overall or the increase from 2010-2019.

Frankly, you are fairly new to the region and it's quite obvious - I think a lot will cut you a break for awhile. However, there's a lot of things you don't know or realize yet, and when you state these types of things without doing much research it's a little silly. Manufacturing has actually been coming back to the south side for the last decade. Yeah, it's not what it was in the 1950s but pretty much nowhere in America really is. Chicago has been seeing sizable increases and still ranks 3rd (almost 2nd) in the nation in manufacturing GDP.

You are talking as if Chicago isn't seeing manufacturing increases when it's seen one of the highest increases of any area in the US from 2010 to 2019 - over $10B increase. Houston MSA actually decreased with manufacturing GDP by over $4B. Just saying.

And not to bring many other states into this conversation, but California increased its manufacturing GDP from 2010 to 2019 by $74.55B with 39.37 million residents. Interestingly enough...Texas, Alabama, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee combined increased their manufacturing GDP in the same time period by $72.25B with a combined population of 83.47 million residents. California still outgained pretty much the entire SE United States plus Texas in manufacturing GDP from 2010 to 2019 with only 47% of the population.

It's important to look at the actual data instead of read the bullshit in the media - whatever media that might be.
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Last edited by marothisu; Mar 10, 2021 at 2:14 AM.
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  #3754  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 2:08 AM
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So even during the end of the world, the Great Lakes are still the last place anyone wants to be...
Wants to be, maybe. But don't forget we are sitting on 20% of the worlds liquid fresh water. In a warmer and drier world, that is worth its weight in gold. Manufacturing needs a lot of water, and where the jobs go, so go the people.



Source: https://weather.com/safety/floods/news/2...tation-trend-last-50-years-since-1970-us
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  #3755  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 3:27 AM
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Wants to be, maybe. But don't forget we are sitting on 20% of the worlds liquid fresh water. In a warmer and drier world, that is worth its weight in gold. Manufacturing needs a lot of water, and where the jobs go, so go the people.



Source: https://weather.com/safety/floods/news/2...tation-trend-last-50-years-since-1970-us
Fascinating map, thanks for sharing - what's really interesting to me is how it shows much more of a balance (albeit incredibly lopsided/concentrated) than I would have normally guessed, solely in terms of overall, net precipitation. But again, the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region is highlighted well-enough to assume the trend may continue and accelerate due to global warming.
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  #3756  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 3:40 AM
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I read another study that attempted to project the effects of climate migration... they projected that without any kind of formal resettlement policy, most of the migrants would end up in mid-latitude cities like Nashville, Denver, Columbus where the effects of climate change are blunted. They discounted any growth in the Great Lakes region though, because of very slow job growth and high legacy costs. So even during the end of the world, the Great Lakes are still the last place anyone wants to be...
That doesn't make any sense... How on earth are they projecting which places will have low job growth in 2050? What does "high legacy costs" have to do with population movement?? Sounds like a wallethub pseudo study.
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  #3757  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 6:14 PM
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M1 Finance Adds to Year of Growth With $75M Funding and 140 Planned Hires

https://www.builtinchicago.org/2021/03/09/m1-finance-raises-75m-series-d-hiring

Quote:
On Tuesday, the company announced that it raised $75 million in its Series D funding round led by Coatue. This is M1’s third major funding round in a year, following its $33 million Series B in June of 2020 and $45 million Series C in October of 2020. This accounts for $153 million raised over the course of nine months.

..

The new funding also follows several notable growth milestones. M1 Finance went from managing $1 billion in assets to managing $3.5 billion in almost exactly a year. The company also saw a 3x increase in new sign-ups in January of 2021 compared to the previous month. On February 8, the M1 app hit the number-10 spot in the App Store’s finance category and was the 84th most popular app download overall.

The company’s team has also grown exponentially. M1 only had about 40 employees in January of 2020, but now it employs close to 140. The company is continuing this aggressive hiring push and aims to double its employee headcount, hitting around 300 employees by the end of the year. Current available positions include roles across engineering, marketing, product, operations and more.

In addition to hiring, M1 Finance hopes to use this new funding to invest in expanding its product portfolio. The company wants to take its long-term investing philosophy and apply that to other aspects of financial services. It already offers a digital bank account, but the company is looking to expand by offering new products. It’s currently developing an M1 Finance credit card, which will integrate with its other services and offer various perks. The company plans to launch the card at some point this year.

..

“We want to become the 21st century leading financial institution on the planet,” Armour told Built In. “Our mission is to help people improve their personal financial well-being. And so we’re going to do that with everything we have now and everything we create in the future.”
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  #3758  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 6:19 PM
the urban politician the urban politician is offline
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^ I just hope that those 140 new hires don't all work from home.

Ugh.....
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  #3759  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 6:55 PM
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^ I just hope that those 140 new hires don't all work from home.

Ugh.....
Considering the expectation now is that most adults will be able to get the vaccine by end of May now, we'll probably start seeing people come back to the office sometime in the summer.

So I highly doubt it. Don't get me wrong, I enjoy WFH but I absolutely miss being in the office.

We will probably see more of what Salesforce said they'll do in Chicago. Maybe you come in 3 days a week, not 5 days and probably interlaced so at any given day, there's still hundreds of people in the office.

My company hasn't announced it yet, but all indications are that we're probably heading for that model. Most companies are not going towards full WFH but you'll probably see slightly smaller (but still big) leases.
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  #3760  
Old Posted Mar 10, 2021, 7:03 PM
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You are talking as if Chicago isn't seeing manufacturing increases when it's seen one of the highest increases of any area in the US from 2010 to 2019 - over $10B increase. Houston MSA actually decreased with manufacturing GDP by over $4B. Just saying.
I guess I'm a glass half empty type, because I see that number as pretty weak and a disproportionately small share of economic growth, and that economic growth has not been paired with job growth of the type that might actually help social stability and well-being.

Of course, I also live in the Chicago southland, and I think posters in the green zone to the North and Northwest of the Loop are less regularly familiar with the giant region of 2+ million people that is at best stagnant, and a constant reminders that Chicagoland had 1.1 million manufacturing jobs as of 1970 and now has what, around 350K?

Inflation-adjusted median incomes in the region haven't grown in decades. I'd like to be a Chicago booster but the best you can say about our economic performance in recent decades is at least we're not Detroit or Cleveland, and that we've managed to replace a portion of the collapsing blue collar economy.

1979 vs. 2017 MSA Median Incomes adjusted for inflation:

Chicago - $67.1K ; $68.4K
Boston - $61.9K ; $85.7K
Washington, DC - $77.2K ; $99.7K
Los Angeles - $58.1K ; $70.0K
SF/Oakland - $65.3K ; $101.7K
Seattle - $68.7K ; $82.1K
Portland - $60.5 ; $73.9K
Detroit - $70.3K ; $58.4K
Dallas - $62.9K ; $67.4K
Atlanta - $60.0K ; $65.4K
Cleveland - $63.2K ; $52.5K
Philadelphia - $59.6K ; $68.6K
Flint - $69.6K ; $46.3K
NYC (est for 1979) - $61.3K ; $75.4K

Nationwide Median - $55.8K ; $61.4K

Last edited by VivaLFuego; Mar 10, 2021 at 7:19 PM.
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