Canadian Federal Election

[Loco101]

Originally Posted by Dengler Avenue

Any chance this time around that the election won’t be determined until we count the last vote in B.C.?

If it ends up being very close in terms of seat count between the CPC and LPC then that could be the case.

[Loco101]

Originally Posted by Truenorth00

No idea. But the fact that she attacks Carney more than Trump and chooses not to attend a national council with all the Premiers is very revealing. She should be ignored and so should Alberta's priorities till they elect someone who can actually make time for meetings.

Danielle Smith is a true turncoat. She is probably the first politician who would recognize a US takeover if the US tried. Plus don't forget how she left the Wildrose Party when she was official opposition leader for the Alberta PCs because it meant power. It backfired on her which was really funny. She later was UCP of course.

[Loco101]

Originally Posted by BlackDog204

Even in Alberta, the Democrats would easily carry Alberta. They did hypothetical polls in 2020, asking which President Canadians would choose.

It was 84-16 Biden. In other US elections, I don't think the Democratic candidate has ever dropped below 73% in any election. There would be a chance that some areas of southern Alberta would choose Trump, but that was obviously before his annexation threats. Edmonton, in particular, is a NDP stronghold, as the city has voted NDP in nearly every riding in the past 3 provincial elections. Even in Calgary, the NDP won 14 of 26 seats in 2023.

There is no place in Canada where Trump is popular. In the event of a Succession vote, which Smith alludes to, my guess is that 80% of Albertan say "NO." It's not even close. At any rate, I can see Trump and MAGA exploiting this division, and directing propaganda towards Alberta and Saskatchewan, to either separate or join the USA.

Alberta and maybe Saskatchewan are jurisdictions that would vote for Trump or a Trump-type candidate if it was between that and someone who is centrist or leftist. I just can't see Alberta as a whole wanting a Hillary Clinton or Kamala Harris.

[Docere]

Alberta as part of the US with the same demographic profile would probably be a swing state. Of course had it been initially part of the US, it would have been a lot smaller in population. Calgary became big precisely because it's in Canada, if Alberta had been part of the US the corporate HQ jobs in the energy sector would be in Denver and Houston.

[Tvisforme]

From CBC:

Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding: sources

Prime Minister Mark Carney will run in the Ottawa riding of Nepean in the next federal election, sources with knowledge of the decision confirmed to CBC News and Radio-Canada.

The riding has been held by Liberal MP Chandra Arya since 2015, but the 62-year-old learned Thursday that the party had removed him as their candidate.
.
.
.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ma...ottawa-s-nepean-riding-sources-1.7490982

[theman23]

Interesting difference between the CPC and LPC GST cut from new home construction:

The CPC would cut it for all new construction.

The LPC would cut it for new construction purchased by first time home buyers.

Not sure which policy is the better one. Two of the more reasonable personalities that I follow and find credible on social media seem to have contrasting opinions on this as well.

Mike Moffatt seems to think the LPC plan would drive demand without increasing supply, whereas Jon Pasalis seems happier with the LPC plan arguing that it will be more likely to force developers to start selling product that actually appeals to the end use instead of the real estate investor.

Originally Posted by Tvisforme

From CBC:



https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ma...ottawa-s-nepean-riding-sources-1.7490982

Explains a lot.

[EnvisionSaintJohn]

Originally Posted by Tvisforme

From CBC:



https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ma...ottawa-s-nepean-riding-sources-1.7490982

Interesting. I would have bet on Edmonton until hearing this... and I thought it would have been really cool to have a PM representing the NWT's.

Ottawa might be the most strategic choice in terms of shoring up support in Quebec.

[Docere]

So Carney and Poilievre are running in neighboring ridings. It's not the first time leaders ran in neighboring ridings. Trudeau, Mulcair and Duceppe in 2015.

[kwoldtimer]

Originally Posted by EnvisionSaintJohn

Interesting. I would have bet on Edmonton until hearing this... and I thought it would have been really cool to have a PM representing the NWT's.

Ottawa might be the most strategic choice in terms of shoring up support in Quebec.

How so?

[Marty_Mcfly]

Chandra Arya is literally going to turn into the joker after all this

[YOWetal]

Originally Posted by Tvisforme

From CBC:



https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ma...ottawa-s-nepean-riding-sources-1.7490982

This is really sketchy. An MP since 2015 is all the sudden not allowed to run.

It would be a bit tougher but running in Edmonton will look a lot better to almost the whole country. At least he can get a quip in about Poilievre being a career politician representing Ottawa which doesn't understand the real struggle Canadian business goes through. I guess the calculus is it's easy to see a bit of a NDP resurgence and a tighter election and he wins a weak minority but loses his seat. But it's same old same old politics for sure.

[kwoldtimer]

Originally Posted by YOWetal

This is really sketchy. An MP since 2015 is all the sudden not allowed to run.

It would be a bit tougher but running in Edmonton will look a lot better to almost the whole country. At least he can get a quip in about Poilievre being a career politician representing Ottawa which doesn't understand the real struggle Canadian business goes through. I guess the calculus is it's easy to see a bit of a NDP resurgence and a tighter election and he wins a weak minority but loses his seat. But it's same old same old politics for sure.

After his comments in the leadership race, it's surprising they waited to oust him.

[travis3000]

Traitor Danielle Smith, doing an interview with right wing Breitbart News. These last two paragraphs stuck out to me:

“Let’s have the best person at the table make the argument… and I think that’s Pierre Poilievre, and I do agree with you that… if we do have Pierre as our prime minister, then I think that there’s a number of things that we could do together,” Smith detailed. “Pierre believes in development. He believes in low-cost energy. He believes that we need to have low taxes, doesn’t believe in any of the woke stuff that we’ve seen taking over our politics for the last five years.

“So I would think that there’d be, there’s probably still always going to be areas that are skirmishes or disputes about particular industries when it comes to the border, but I would say, on balance, the perspective that Pierre would bring would be very much in sync with, I think…the new direction in America,” she added. “And I think we’d have a really great relationship for the period of time they’re both in.”

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2025/...f-negotiations-first-mar-a-lago-meeting/

Sounds like she's selling us out to the Americans, claiming PP would make Canada similar to Trumps America.

[EnvisionSaintJohn]

Originally Posted by kwoldtimer

How so?

Ottawa is right on the border of Quebec… it’s a lot closer than Edmonton or the Northwest Territories.

It’s not shameless like him running in Montreal while having no connections to Quebec. Ottawa, where he currently resides, is the most important bilingual city in Canada.

It signals a commitment to the French language, that wouldn’t have been expressed by running in Edmonton or the Northwest Territories.

It’s a signal that will be picked up by traditional LPC supporters in Quebec, but will be scoffed at by the BQ base, and CPC supporters… because it was smart and strategic.

[BlackDog204]

Originally Posted by Loco101

Alberta and maybe Saskatchewan are jurisdictions that would vote for Trump or a Trump-type candidate if it was between that and someone who is centrist or leftist. I just can't see Alberta as a whole wanting a Hillary Clinton or Kamala Harris.

I lived in Alberta for 16 years. What the Government does, and what the people want, are two completely different things. If we were to look at polls, only 1 in 10 people in Canada would want to join the US. In Alberta, it was slightly higher, but not by much. I think it was 16% want to join the US.

Edmonton and Calgary make up 2/3 of Alberta's population, and both cities are against joining the United States. Some rural areas in the south would be somewhat receptive, but at absolute most (Brooks, AB and such), would be at most, 25%.

Trust me, I have lived and worked in these areas. You are incorrect in your assessment, and judging from your avatar, I assume you are from Ontario. Albertans are not that different than any other province. They just have a horrible Government right now.

[travis3000]

“Before the tariff war, I would say yes. I mean, Pierre Poilievre is the name of the Conservative Party leader, and he was miles ahead of Justin Trudeau. But because of what we see as unjust and unfair tariffs, it’s actually caused an increase in the support for the liberals,” Smith responded. “And so that’s what I fear, is that the longer this dispute goes on, politicians posture, and it seems to be benefiting the Liberals right now. So I would hope that we could put things on pause is what I’ve told administration officials. Let’s just put things on pause so we can get through an election.”

-Danielle Smith to Breitbart News

This woman is repulsive. How the hell did you guys elect her (talking to AB posters)? This woman is quite literally in love with Trumpism and is trying to interfere in her own country's election to get her preferred candidate to win.

[theman23]

Originally Posted by EnvisionSaintJohn

Ottawa is right on the border of Quebec… it’s a lot closer than Edmonton or the Northwest Territories.

It’s not shameless like him running in Montreal while having no connections to Quebec. Ottawa, where he currently resides, is the most important bilingual city in Canada.

It signals a commitment to the French language, that wouldn’t have been expressed by running in Edmonton or the Northwest Territories.

It’s a signal that will be picked up by traditional LPC supporters in Quebec, but will be scoffed at by the BQ base, and CPC supporters… because it was smart and strategic.

Being the MP from Nepean shows a commitment to the French language? How'd that work out for the last guy?

[Architype]

Originally Posted by travis3000

“Before the tariff war, I would say yes. I mean, Pierre Poilievre is the name of the Conservative Party leader, and he was miles ahead of Justin Trudeau. But because of what we see as unjust and unfair tariffs, it’s actually caused an increase in the support for the liberals,” Smith responded. “And so that’s what I fear, is that the longer this dispute goes on, politicians posture, and it seems to be benefiting the Liberals right now. So I would hope that we could put things on pause is what I’ve told administration officials. Let’s just put things on pause so we can get through an election.”

-Danielle Smith to Breitbart News

This woman is repulsive. How the hell did you guys elect her (talking to AB posters)? This woman is quite literally in love with Trumpism and is trying to interfere in her own country's election to get her preferred candidate to win.

She totally avoided answering the question with the actual answer. She talked all around it.

It's because Poilievre reminds us too much of Trump and Maga.

[casper]

We have two completely different strategies from the major parties.

One party is focused on a vision for Canada, and is trying to be inclusive and positive. The Liberals are ignoring the conservatives and pushing forward with communicating their vision.

Conservatives look to be focused on Carney. They are very negative.

I think this kind of warm positive plan will win the day.....

• Video Link

[theman23]

Originally Posted by casper

We have two completely different strategies from the major parties.

One party is focused on a vision for Canada, and is trying to be inclusive and positive. The Liberals are ignoring the conservatives and pushing forward with communicating their vision.

Conservatives look to be focused on Carney. They are very negative.

I think this kind of warm positive plan will win the day.....

• Video Link

I had no idea Mike Meyers lived in the states. That's actually fairly disappointing. Not sure why the LPC wants the endorsement of celebrities that are completely detached from the reality of life in Canada.