Quote:
Originally Posted by YOWflier
June Int’l numbers are out: 1066.
AF had 4 flights in June x 224 seats. F8 had 2 flights x 189. Total int’l seats: 1274. Am I right?
Statisticians…go.
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Yeah that's an overall 83.7% LF for International for June. If we assume the last flight south to CUN only had 40 pax on board = 21.2% LF (a safe assumption for the last southbound flight of a season on seasonal sun routes) and 170 northbound = 89.9%, that would equate to a 95.5%% LF on AF's first four YOW flights. Here's the full breakdown for June's pax stats:
Sector / Jun-22 / Jun-23 / % Change
Dom: 283,120 / 317,392 / +12.1%
TB: 14,639 / 38,800 / +165.0%
Int'l: 0 / 1,066 / #DIV/0!
TTL: 297,759 / 357,258 / +20.0%
Sector / YTD 2022 / YTD 2023 / % Change
Dom: 1,079,918 / 1,479,342 / +37.0%
TB: 63,204 / 279,978 / +343.0%
Int'l: 42,722 / 193,995 / +354.1%
TTL: 1,185,844 / 1,953,315 / +64.7%
Month-Over-Month Change
Sector / May-23 / Jun-23 / % Change
Dom: 287,675 / 317,392 / +10.3%
TB: 41,476 / 38,800 / -6.5%
Int'l: 2,200 / 1,066 / -51.5%
TTL: 331,351 / 357,258 / +7.8%
Avg/Day: 10,689 / 11,909 / +11.4%
% of month's avg daily pax vs 2019 (13,990 avg pax/day) = 85.1%
YTD TTL vs YTD 2019 = 76.1%
Based on the YTD daily pax average, YOW's now on pace for 3.89 million pax in 2023. At the midpoint, that's almost +300K higher vs January 2023. 4 million is looking realistic.
12 Months Rolling / % Change vs Year End 2021
Dom: 3,108,423 / +171.7%
TB: 407,109 / +3,521.3%
Int'l: 244,273 / +1,466.2%
TTL: 3,759,805 / +221.1%