Oh my
This map is very concerning.
The far north white lakefront liberals went Johnson.
Not a good sign for Vallas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_C..._recolored.svg
This is very worrisome. I think Vallas can get some of Garcia's votes, He will need them desperately really, but what is going on with Johnson's hold on the north lakefront? They are not even black majority areas.
What is his attraction for him? Who are these voters and why? Vallas will need to take at least a few north lakefront wards regardless of if it is even by a few votes, he needs it, it's a populus area. 1, 33, 49, 48, 46, 40 and 47 I'm looking at you! Perhaps all Vallas needs is Garcia's wards, I hope that to be the case. But I expect Johnson to take most of Lightfoot's votes in the south and west sides sadly on skin color alone. If the north shore liberals do not change their vote, I sadly cannot see Valllas getting 50.01% of the total vote unless the Hispanic vote goes all in and with a large turnout which doesn't seem like it's going to happen.
That said Vallas really has some strong wards but again, they will need to turn out hugely... If Vallas can get 25% of Lightfoot's vote that would be enough
But I see it hard to crack even 12%. This is going to be a real battle and I hope real efforts from the business community to throw millions at Vallas will pay off.
This is a very important Chicago election and in general Illinois by default a very important election. Even a very important election nationally.
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