Posted Dec 30, 2022, 2:51 PM
|
|
Registered User
|
|
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 837
|
|
I think it's generally possible, but just not cheap. And by that I mean, definitely cheaper than tearing down the building and starting over (acquisition costs for even an aging Class B tower will dwarf underlying land value, let alone significant demo costs). I also have to believe it's significantly cheaper to do a conversion than building a new Class A greenfield apartment tower.
I don't work in this field (I do industrial construction) but for the sake of argument divide construction of a Class A apartment tower into three similar parts:
1. Core and shell
2. Mechanical/electrical/plumbing
3. Finishes
Repurposing an office tower, you basically get #1 and then half of #2. There will still be huge amounts of horizontal MEP but the vertical lines and services should roughly be okay. #3 you obviously need to do brand new.
Long and short, you could be looking at a 50% cost savings on construction. There could be other ancillary benefits (like an existing parking garage that needs little work). There's definitely the cost of acquiring the structure to contend with. Amenities will need to be re-thought and creative. All of these ridiculously variable and site-specific. So, call the project savings 25% accounting for construction, acquisition, and amenities.
Then, you end up with a tower that's...weird. Deep floor plates, weird location, weird parking, weird lobby, weird amenities. Not necessarily a Class A apartment tower, but close. There's profit to be had given the ~25% discount, as long as this actually comes through and you don't get screwed over by something along the way.
The other big problem is velocity. If you buy a random surface lot in Midtown, and get financing set up for a new tower, you can basically turn an architecture and construction team loose and move onto the next project. With office conversations? It's all in subtle crap like utility connections and parking and exterior cladding and asbestos and fire code interpretation--and you have to know all this stuff before you buy the actual building. Way stickier situation than a greenfield. You'll be sweating the project from beginning to end.
I think we can expect to see several (more) prominent conversion projects, but not enough to fundamentally change the economics of housing or offices in Atlanta. To be sure, we should cheer on these projects when they do happen though. There's not some single fatal flaw (given the floor-to-floor heights, pretty much anything within reason should be technically possible) but just a bunch of things that make this more of a boutique one-off proposition.
**Again, to disclaim, I'm not in this field of construction**
|