The Sky is Falling
The question for Denver: "Is it in the form of snow?"
Apartment Investment Sales Grind To A Halt As Capital Costs And Vacancies Rise
November 1, 2022 By Dees Stribling, Bisnow National
Quote:
Sales of U.S. multifamily assets essentially collapsed during the third quarter of 2022, according to the National Multifamily Housing Council Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions.
NMHC Chief Economist Mark Obrinsky cited the higher cost of debt and equity, along with generalized economic uncertainty, as the drivers of the slowdown. The survey also reported higher vacancies and slower rent growth compared with the second quarter.
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Essentially, Buyers are now wanting better rates of return and Sellers aren't (yet) friendly to discounting their projects.
Cap Rate Anxiety Dragging Down Multifamily Market
October 30, 2022 Jarred Schenke, Bisnow Atlanta
Essentially, investors who normally like new construction have lost their appetite for investing in new projects primarily due the lack of visibility for interest rates and rates of return for new projects.
With respect to Denver
Despite a gazillion units supposedly under construction there has been a limited number of new units reaching completion and becoming available. As a result Denver's rents and vacancy are still solid.
A guess that Denver could still see specific projects break ground especially from longer term holders. I wouldn't be surprised to see new projects in some suburban markets like in Boulder County or Douglas County where they still suffer from not enough apartment units.