Winnipeg | 2026 Civic election & City affairs - Page 47

thurmas · #**921** Posted **Oct 23, 2022, 9:13 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by cheswick

I wouldn’t take signage as any type of poll. Over the years I’ve noticed there’s really no correlation between the number of signs up and winners of elections. Back when I lived in transcontinental I remember Russ Wyatt hardly had any signs anywhere and was always winning. Last election in my area there was this one school trustee candidate with signs everywhere. Far more than anyone else. And he didn’t get in. And it’s like 4 of 6 people were elected. lol.

i agree but with local pollsters seeming to not bother to do their work during this campaign and actually put out some recent polls week before election day the anecdotal is all we got for the time being.

esquire · #**922** Posted **Oct 23, 2022, 9:21 PM**

^ Pollsters only do their work for paying clients... if the media (Free Press, Sun, CJOB, CTV, Global) aren't paying, they ain't polling.

I'm not sure if individual mayoral campaigns have the means to conduct proper polls, but if they did, they likely wouldn't be releasing the results anyway.

thurmas · #**923** Posted **Oct 23, 2022, 9:39 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

^ Pollsters only do their work for paying clients... if the media (Free Press, Sun, CJOB, CTV, Global) aren't paying, they ain't polling.

I'm not sure if individual mayoral campaigns have the means to conduct proper polls, but if they did, they likely wouldn't be releasing the results anyway.

true its just i see Brampton having tons of polls out right now and us just nothin shows how weak and shriveled our local media entities have become over the years.

cheswick · #**924** Posted **Oct 23, 2022, 11:02 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

^ Pollsters only do their work for paying clients... if the media (Free Press, Sun, CJOB, CTV, Global) aren't paying, they ain't polling.

I'm not sure if individual mayoral campaigns have the means to conduct proper polls, but if they did, they likely wouldn't be releasing the results anyway.

IIRC Klein was of the impression he was winning based on whatever polling methodology his team was using. Or he was talking out of his ass.

GEli · #**925** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 5:22 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by thurmas

from driving around st norbert fort richmond and st vital today while doing my errands only saw 1 Murray sign in suburbia. Klein and Gillingham had the most saw a sprinkling of Motkaluk signs. Murray will need to sweep the core, north end and river heights and fort rouge to win I guess. St Vital, St Boniface, Transcona Charleswood, St James and Waverly Heights-Saint Norbert will be a Gillinhgam-Klein battle primarily.

I signed up for a Murray sign a month ago and never got one. After the dirt coming out on him and the ridiculous CBC debate performance, I was glad, but I'm not sure how actively they're actually pushing the lawn sign advertising method.

I might still vote for him as the least bad option from the viable candidates, but I certainly don't want it advertised on my lawn.

esquire · #**926** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 1:50 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by GEli

I signed up for a Murray sign a month ago and never got one. After the dirt coming out on him and the ridiculous CBC debate performance, I was glad, but I'm not sure how actively they're actually pushing the lawn sign advertising method.

I might still vote for him as the least bad option from the viable candidates, but I certainly don't want it advertised on my lawn.

I got a robo-call from Murray (his favourite outreach method, it seems) and it encouraged me to 'press 2 for a lawn sign' or some such. So I did, and it played a message telling me to go to the website. I never bothered.

Lo and behold a few days later, a lawn sign popped up in my yard. So their system may not be perfect, but it works at least some of the time.

In my neck of the woods there aren't really a ton of signs for mayoral candidates, but the few I'm seeing are mostly Gillingham and Loney. Not many Murray signs, and hardly any at all for the other candidates.

wardlow · #**927** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 2:33 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

^ Pollsters only do their work for paying clients... if the media (Free Press, Sun, CJOB, CTV, Global) aren't paying, they ain't polling.

I'm not sure if individual mayoral campaigns have the means to conduct proper polls, but if they did, they likely wouldn't be releasing the results anyway.

Campaigns do 'polls' in that they will ask people at the door or on the phone who they intend to vote for and then compile the responses. The rule of thumb is that this method has about a 50 percent margin of error, because people will often say something like, "uh, I'm voting for your candidate of course," in order to end the conversation.

This is how a lot of signs end up on people's yards too.
Eager campaign volunteer at the door. "Can we count on your support??"
Undecided voter who needs to pick up her son from soccer practice in a minute: "Sure. Yes."
Volunteer: "Great! Can we put a sign on your lawn?"
Normal person: "Uh.... sure?"

Campaigns will talk about this 'good' response as if it means something, but smart ones know it often doesn't.

esquire · #**928** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 2:37 PM**

No question that the voter ID function is one of the main tasks of a campaign team, but I'd never confuse that with actual polling conducted by a legitimate polling firm.

wardlow · #**929** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 3:54 PM**

Yup. I would assume (and pray!) that this is where Klein is getting his 'numbers' from.

thurmas · #**930** Posted **Oct 24, 2022, 7:58 PM**

Gillingham saying his pastoral views have changed and he has been pro gay marriage for several years now as per cbc interview.

cllew · #**931** Posted **Oct 25, 2022, 1:28 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

^ Pollsters only do their work for paying clients... if the media (Free Press, Sun, CJOB, CTV, Global) aren't paying, they ain't polling.

I'm not sure if individual mayoral campaigns have the means to conduct proper polls, but if they did, they likely wouldn't be releasing the results anyway.

If their poll showed that they are in the lead I could see it being released with great fanfare. If it shows anything other than a close 2nd place I agree it would never see the light of day

thebasketballgeek · #**932** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 1:59 PM**

Wake up y’all it’s Election Day!

Just went to the voting booth and there was absolutely no line in front of me. It was quite a simple process and the only confusion occurred because I didn’t bring my voter id. No complaints from me.

esquire · #**933** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 2:04 PM**

I'll be going to vote shortly. Murray gets my vote, partly because I think that in spite of his flaws, he's still the best candidate... and partly out of spite for Tom Brodbeck, haha.

thurmas · #**934** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 2:11 PM**

Living in La Salle will support Glen Irvine as he is proposing a fire hall for the town that we desperately need with the towns growth in the RM.

trueviking · #**935** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 3:39 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

I'll be going to vote shortly. Murray gets my vote, partly because I think that in spite of his flaws, he's still the best candidate... and partly out of spite for Tom Brodbeck, haha.

this is exactly how I feel....that's hilarious

wardlow · #**936** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 4:33 PM**

The urbanist candidate.

esquire · #**937** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 4:35 PM**

Gotcha! /s

Was he actually driving the truck?

wardlow · #**938** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 5:13 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

Gotcha! /s

Was he actually driving the truck?

I didn't vote for Murray this morning for about a dozen reasons, but none of which were because his volunteers have regularly used the Garry Street bike lane as the campaign loading zone. I just liked the irony of this photo.

WestEndWander · #**939** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 5:39 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by trueviking

this is exactly how I feel....that's hilarious

Didn't have voting for a person accused of sexual harassment to own local reporter on my bingo card but whatya know!

WestEndWander · #**940** Posted **Oct 26, 2022, 5:52 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by esquire

I'll be going to vote shortly. Murray gets my vote, partly because I think that in spite of his flaws, he's still the best candidate... and partly out of spite for Tom Brodbeck, haha.

I keep seeing this on here. Why do you think he is the best candidate?

He hasn't even released a coherent campaign platform as to what his vision is that I can find anywhere, aside from grasping at straws daily whichever way the wind blows them. Paddle spin much, Glen?

Guy can't even provide a plan as to how he will pay for the things that he has attempted to discuss other than to say he will get money from sources no other Mayor has ever gotten them in the history of Canada?

What is is all based on. Because he was Mayor for 6 years and since then has chased job after job across the country and been extremely unsuccessful in each pursuit?

He has objectively ran the most underwhelming and all over the map campaign for Mayor, during this cycle, outside of Motkaluk. Jesus, at least she grabbed onto one issue and ran with it, even if she is a vile racist hag. If that makes him the most qualified person then I've got some ocean front property just south of the city I'd like to sell.