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  #2781  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 2:42 AM
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Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Why do Toronto and Montreal have more sports teams than we do? Because ON and QC have infinite money and space, and we do not.
How does that make something like a train become more desirable to use?

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Originally Posted by Changing City View Post
Well, for one thing the population growth of Mission is very modest. The Mission School District, (according to BC Stats), grew from 26,000 to 36,000 between 1986 and 1996. Only 4,400 more people wee added in the next 10 years, to 40,500 in 2006. Another 4,500 were added in the next decade, to 45,000 in 2016. The growth isn't changing - in 2021 total population was estimated at a total of 48,000.

In 1996, according to the census only 380 people who lived in Mission travelled to work in Vancouver, and twenty years later it had risen to 525.

In 1996 8,410 Mission residents drove to work, and 220 took transit. Less than half of them travelled to Vancouver.

In 2016 16,340 Mission residents drove to work, and 555 took transit (and only some of them the train to Vancouver).
So, there is no stops between Waterfront and Mission stations?
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  #2782  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 2:46 AM
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How does that make something like a train become more desirable to use?

So, there is no stops between Waterfront and Mission stations?
Because without money and/or available land, the train doesn't get speed or frequency upgrades and demand remains low.

Those stops have the SkyTrain from Coquitlam to Vancouver. A bit slower, but much more reliable.
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  #2783  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 2:49 AM
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Because without money and/or available land, the train doesn't get speed or frequency upgrades and demand remains low.

Those stops have the SkyTrain from Coquitlam to Vancouver. A bit slower, but much more reliable.
Sounds like it has been ignored into uselessness.
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  #2784  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 2:51 AM
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Sounds like it has been ignored into uselessness.
Sounds like it was already useless to begin with.
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  #2785  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 3:10 AM
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Sounds like it was already useless to begin with.
So, a waste of taxpayer money?
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  #2786  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 3:40 AM
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So, a waste of taxpayer money?
i cant figure out if you're either so delusional you dont realize it; or if you're just trolling to argue with people.
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  #2787  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:05 AM
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So, a waste of taxpayer money?
I kind of think it is. I also thought you were the one who thinks it isn't.
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  #2788  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:06 AM
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So, there is no stops between Waterfront and Mission stations?
There are but that's a point against the West Shore, not a point against the WCE.

The WCE has ridership from Mission (population 38k) plus everyone in between, Maple Ridge (population 82k), Pitt Meadows (population 18k, didn't realise it was so small!), and Port Coquitlam (population 58k). I'm not even including the other two of the Tri Cities which are well served by the Skytrain but probably have some ridership (Coquitlam and Port Moody both still have stops so there must be at least some ridership).

Langford + Colwood + View Royal meanwhile is 35k + 17k + 10k. That's not even the size of Maple Ridge.

I hate to say it, but the Capital Regional District is just, if not more, car centric than Metro Vancouver and it would be a hard sell to get people out of their cars and onto a train. It's not like HWY 1 in Victoria gets jammed up the same way HWY 1 in the Lower Mainland does during rush hour either.
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  #2789  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:30 AM
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I'm not even including the other two of the Tri Cities which are well served by the Skytrain but probably have some ridership (Coquitlam and Port Moody both still have stops so there must be at least some ridership).
Anecdotal, but my coworker lives in Port Moody and vastly prefers the WCE over the Evergreen Line. Our office is about five blocks from Waterfront, so she can get from home to work in 30 minutes via the WCE vs. 50 minutes via Skytrain.

New train fleet coming to Amtrak's route linking Vancouver, Seattle, and Portland

With Amtrak Cascades service starting up again in September my wife and I bought tickets to the Washington Huskies football game on October 15. It'll be our first Amtrak trip and American college football game! I just wish the trip took 2 hours instead of 3 (best case) and there were more than two roundtrips per day.
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  #2790  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 5:34 AM
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So, there is no stops between Waterfront and Mission stations?
As you know, there are a few. They serve municipalities that don't have significant employment concentrations, so very few passengers would get off to go work in the morning until they reach Vancouver. And the more distant and larger municipalities don't have significant numbers of people commuting all the way to Vancouver. Maple Ridge has the biggest population - and has grown a bit more than Mission, but only 3,385 commuted to Vancouver in 2016, an increase of 800 in 20 years. And as with Mission, the car was king; in 1996 only 500 of them took transit, while 1,885 drove.

The WCE serves a niche market. Commuters who like it, use it, but there are many more who prefer to drive, despite the significant subsidy for every WCE passenger. As many other posts have noted in this thread, it's not tremendously reliable because of sharing freight tracks, service is limited to a few specific times and the track owners are only willing to lease space to allow only one way in from the suburbs in the morning and one way out again later in the day.

In 2018 daily boardings on the five trains that make up the service averaged 9,910. (That's about 75% of capacity). In 2019 it was up to 10,400, as more commuters used it to get to the newly extended SkyTrain system, so opening up more destinations. But covid saw the 2020 boardings collapse to 2,000, and while bus and SkyTrain passengers had already passed 60% of pre-covid numbers in 2021, For West Coast Express it was only 26% or 3,000 daily boardings.

So in the medium to long term there has to be a question mark about continuing the service if it doesn't see significant ridership increases in the next few years. The subsidy isn't massive in the big picture of Translink's budget, but finances are tight and decisions have to be made about the best bang for the buck, so it must be more at risk than almost any part of the current transit system.
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  #2791  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 5:38 AM
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Anecdotal, but my coworker lives in Port Moody and vastly prefers the WCE over the Evergreen Line. Our office is about five blocks from Waterfront, so she can get from home to work in 30 minutes via the WCE vs. 50 minutes via Skytrain.
I'm sure the WCE is great if you work in a very specific part of Vancouver, yeah. Good luck if you work in Burnaby, West Broadway, or Richmond though. Those are all easy Millennium Line choices.
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  #2792  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 6:01 AM
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I'm sure the WCE is great if you work in a very specific part of Vancouver, yeah. Good luck if you work in Burnaby, West Broadway, or Richmond though. Those are all easy Millennium Line choices.
Actually some parts of Burnaby, for example SFU or the Brentwood area, have great connections to the WCE for people coming from Maple Ridge or beyond. Even West Broadway will be well served once the Broadway extension is in operation.
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  #2793  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 1:49 PM
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Anecdotal, but my coworker lives in Port Moody and vastly prefers the WCE over the Evergreen Line. Our office is about five blocks from Waterfront, so she can get from home to work in 30 minutes via the WCE vs. 50 minutes via Skytrain.
I think that this anecdote is actually very demonstrative of the usefulness of the WCE in the Metro Region for those living within the Tri-Cities area that has both Skytrain and WCE stations... It serves as a relief line.

Office workers that work 9-5 jobs in downtown Vancouver that live by a WCE station in the tri-cities area would likely opt for the WCE as opposed to the Skytrain for that very reason thereby relieving the Skytrain from having passengers with a destination in downtown Vancouver.

I would like to see the WCE have trains run later, departing from Waterfront at 20:00 or even 21:00 on weekdays, helping to induce demand as now it only accommodates passengers that work regular hours. But let's be real, nothing is going to happen until Translink negotiates for the rails; and Translink won't be pulling that trigger anytime soon with the UBC and SLS in the pipeline.

I actually think that we would sooner get a branch of Skytrain to POCO before anything happens with the WCE .
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  #2794  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 2:52 PM
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I would like to see the WCE have trains run later, departing from Waterfront at 20:00 or even 21:00 on weekdays, helping to induce demand as now it only accommodates passengers that work regular hours. But let's be real, nothing is going to happen until Translink negotiates for the rails; and Translink won't be pulling that trigger anytime soon with the UBC and SLS in the pipeline.
What makes you think that Translink has any sort of 'trigger' to pull to try to buy the rails? And more to the point, why would the rail companies have any interest in selling them? Don't you think that the use of the tracks to transport freight is orders of magnitude more important to the region and the Canadian economy than transporting a few thousand more passengers a day?
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  #2795  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:05 PM
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i cant figure out if you're either so delusional you dont realize it; or if you're just trolling to argue with people.
When someone moans about something that is government run, I want to know exactly how they feel. So, does someone feel it is a waste or not. That is not trolling or arguing. It is understanding.

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I kind of think it is. I also thought you were the one who thinks it isn't.
I don't think it is a waste. I think that it has been ignored so that others will think it is a waste enough to cancel it.

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There are but that's a point against the West Shore, not a point against the WCE.

The WCE has ridership from Mission (population 38k) plus everyone in between, Maple Ridge (population 82k), Pitt Meadows (population 18k, didn't realise it was so small!), and Port Coquitlam (population 58k). I'm not even including the other two of the Tri Cities which are well served by the Skytrain but probably have some ridership (Coquitlam and Port Moody both still have stops so there must be at least some ridership).

Langford + Colwood + View Royal meanwhile is 35k + 17k + 10k. That's not even the size of Maple Ridge.

I hate to say it, but the Capital Regional District is just, if not more, car centric than Metro Vancouver and it would be a hard sell to get people out of their cars and onto a train. It's not like HWY 1 in Victoria gets jammed up the same way HWY 1 in the Lower Mainland does during rush hour either.
So, the only reason the E&N should be rebuilt is if there is a high population for it?
Unlike the WCE, the line on VI is seldom used for freight. In fact, south of Duncan it is not used at all. That means the line would not be at the mercy of some freight carrier to run passenger service at times that actually suit the ridership.

The thing about the Malahat is that there is no reasonable detour. Think of it more like the highway to Whistler. Close it between Whistler and Squamish. Yes, you can around it, but it is a long way to it.

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As you know, there are a few. They serve municipalities that don't have significant employment concentrations, so very few passengers would get off to go work in the morning until they reach Vancouver. And the more distant and larger municipalities don't have significant numbers of people commuting all the way to Vancouver. Maple Ridge has the biggest population - and has grown a bit more than Mission, but only 3,385 commuted to Vancouver in 2016, an increase of 800 in 20 years. And as with Mission, the car was king; in 1996 only 500 of them took transit, while 1,885 drove.

The WCE serves a niche market. Commuters who like it, use it, but there are many more who prefer to drive, despite the significant subsidy for every WCE passenger. As many other posts have noted in this thread, it's not tremendously reliable because of sharing freight tracks, service is limited to a few specific times and the track owners are only willing to lease space to allow only one way in from the suburbs in the morning and one way out again later in the day.

In 2018 daily boardings on the five trains that make up the service averaged 9,910. (That's about 75% of capacity). In 2019 it was up to 10,400, as more commuters used it to get to the newly extended SkyTrain system, so opening up more destinations. But covid saw the 2020 boardings collapse to 2,000, and while bus and SkyTrain passengers had already passed 60% of pre-covid numbers in 2021, For West Coast Express it was only 26% or 3,000 daily boardings.

So in the medium to long term there has to be a question mark about continuing the service if it doesn't see significant ridership increases in the next few years. The subsidy isn't massive in the big picture of Translink's budget, but finances are tight and decisions have to be made about the best bang for the buck, so it must be more at risk than almost any part of the current transit system.
Are the trainsets they have full? If they are full or close to full then it should stay.
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  #2796  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:10 PM
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Are the trainsets they have full? If they are full or close to full then it should stay.
No, with 3,000 boardings a day they're at 26% of seating capacity. They've never reached the full capacity of the system, although individual trains were full sometimes - but before covid changed commute patterns. Nobody knows whether those pattern changes in the past two years are now the 'new normal' (but that doesn't stop people having opinions).
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  #2797  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 4:36 PM
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I would like to see the WCE have trains run later, departing from Waterfront at 20:00 or even 21:00 on weekdays, helping to induce demand as now it only accommodates passengers that work regular hours. But let's be real, nothing is going to happen until Translink negotiates for the rails; and Translink won't be pulling that trigger anytime soon with the UBC and SLS in the pipeline.
Higher frequencies and extended operating hours would certainly be useful to people who already ride the WCE. My colleague has had to pass on Friday drinks in order to catch the train, or has come for drinks but then doubled her commute time or paid for an Uber. I don't know if higher frequencies and extended operating hours would add any new riders, so each train may just be more empty.

When it comes to commuting to work, people in Mission have to decide whether to drive or take the train. The train takes 90 minutes to reach DT Vancouver while driving takes an hour. So the car already comes out ahead, and then you have to factor in if that person doesn't work close to Waterfront. If that's the case, they may need to transfer to a bus or Skytrain or bike or walk. That'll only make driving more attractive.

In the end, most people in these communities aren't making the decision to buy a car and pay for gas, registration and maintenance vs. buying a WCE monthly pass. They likely already own the car, and fuel may only cost a couple hundred dollars per month more than the transit pass, so why would they spend up to an additional hour commuting each way and risk missing their train instead of driving themselves?

There will always be some people who choose the train because of the environment, or because the value proposition works for them, or because they hate driving, or because they like reading a book or getting work done on the train. Unfortunately, the small minority of commuters who fit the description above aren't sufficient to fill the trains.
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  #2798  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 5:07 PM
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I think one item to remember from some commuter stats that were released probably over a year ago was that the cities served by TransLink had their employment centres as (roughly remembering here) Vancouver and Surrey. With mainly Vancouver commuting and working within its own boundaries, and then adjacent cities commuting to either their respective employment cities (Burnaby to Vancouver, and New West to Surrey or something like that).

The big difference was beyond Langley the employment centre was the Abbotsford region. Would be interesting to see a study on ridership for a new line connecting Mission to Chilliwack via Abbotsford and a Abbotsford line to the new Langley SkyTrain.
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  #2799  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 6:34 PM
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What makes you think that Translink has any sort of 'trigger' to pull to try to buy the rails? And more to the point, why would the rail companies have any interest in selling them? Don't you think that the use of the tracks to transport freight is orders of magnitude more important to the region and the Canadian economy than transporting a few thousand more passengers a day?
Let me clarify...

When I said pull the trigger, I should have said "begin negotiations" or "do a case study".

Obviously I don't think that moving passengers takes precedence over a nation's economy, and I am not sure how you would get that impression over my post ?


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Higher frequencies and extended operating hours would certainly be useful to people who already ride the WCE. My colleague has had to pass on Friday drinks in order to catch the train, or has come for drinks but then doubled her commute time or paid for an Uber. I don't know if higher frequencies and extended operating hours would add any new riders, so each train may just be more empty.
I think that you might be assuming that I was talking about extending frequencies as well as extending operating hours... which I actually wasn't. I only mentioned that I would like to see extended operating hours. The frequency of the line can be tapered down to cover more hours so instead of having 5 trains operating until 20:00, it could taper down to 1 or 2 trains running at whatever frequency that would allow. I don't see how there could be a need for full service frequency when first extending the operating hours in the beginning if operating hours were to extend but I digress.

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When it comes to commuting to work, people in Mission have to decide whether to drive or take the train. The train takes 90 minutes to reach DT Vancouver while driving takes an hour. So the car already comes out ahead, and then you have to factor in if that person doesn't work close to Waterfront. If that's the case, they may need to transfer to a bus or Skytrain or bike or walk. That'll only make driving more attractive.
This is not a unique problem though for those who live outside of larger cities that have a Commuter Rail station option.

Take the Kitchener Go-Train line for example in Toronto. On paper, it only beats driving by about 10 minutes. And driving will outpace the commuter train line likely starting in Brampton in terms of time saved. People in the GTA are still choosing to take the Go-Train service despite possibly having to transfer at Union Station to the TTC, even with private cars beating it in terms of time saved.


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In the end, most people in these communities aren't making the decision to buy a car and pay for gas, registration and maintenance vs. buying a WCE monthly pass. They likely already own the car, and fuel may only cost a couple hundred dollars per month more than the transit pass, so why would they spend up to an additional hour commuting each way and risk missing their train instead of driving themselves?
Actually people do all the time in the GTA. The way that things are done there is if you are living in a community that has Go-service (bus or train), you would actually purchase both a car and a transit pass. They live their lives in that they use their cars for local or unique trips and then hop on a train into downtown Toronto for work and back. There are plenty of reasons why people in the GTA develop the commuter patterns that they do but I know for a fact that parking is a bitch in downtown Toronto and that you can actually spend more time trying to park on a random side-street than had you taken transit. And the success of the Go-Train services (as well as other American commuter rail systems) is a testament that people are willing to develop a mix of public/private commuter patterns. Essentially they drive to a station, park their car, hop on a train, and go to work making transfers where they need to.

And to top it off, this does take into consideration that the GTA has some of the best highway infrastructure in our Country.

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There will always be some people who choose the train because of the environment, or because the value proposition works for them, or because they hate driving, or because they like reading a book or getting work done on the train. Unfortunately, the small minority of commuters who fit the description above aren't sufficient to fill the trains.
Actually, prior to COVID there were 11,000 people using it per day. It obviously pales into comparison to Skytrain usage but having nearly double the population of Mission using the WCE at the end of the week does speak that these mixed commuter patterns are economic for the individual despite you assuming that it's a commuter service designed for bookworms.

My point here is that the WCE wouldn't be in operation since the 90's had there not been a demand for it, or if there was a declining demand. Cities continue and discontinue train schedules all the time, so the WCE would have been susceptible to it in the last 3 years had there been a huge decline of riders.

Just so that I'm clear: the reason I suggested to look at (not implement!) extending the operating hours was to see if it was feasible to increase ridership on the WCE.

Nothing will be done about the WCE without a case study. And the ownership of the tracks will be a HUGE talking point when the time comes.

And I assume that nothing will be done seriously about improving the WCE until after SLS and the Broadway extensions as those will take priority for the region, understandably so.
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Last edited by scryer; Aug 12, 2022 at 7:23 PM.
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  #2800  
Old Posted Aug 12, 2022, 7:05 PM
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Let me clarify...

When I said pull the trigger, I should have said "begin negotiations" or "do a case study".

Obviously I don't think that moving passengers takes precedence over a nation's economy, and I am not sure how you would get that impression over my post ?
Well, if TransLink negotiated to buy the tracks (which I think you were suggesting) then they wouldn't still be freight tracks owned by CP. And presumably freight movements wouldn't be prioritized, as they are today. I'm not sure there's anything to study, beyond what has already been studied. CP use the tracks extensively for freight, and somewhat grudgingly allow TransLink to pay to slide five trains each way a day into the schedule. With ridership down, and finances squeezed, expansion doesn't seem a realistic prospect.
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