The Economy is like a really Big Ship; it don't turn on a dime
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Originally Posted by SirLucasTheGreat
Also, what effect do you all think the interest rate hikes are going to have on development in Denver?
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The markets, though can turn very quickly. There's a lot of wealth destruction happening as we speak.
In the near term, development is likely to continue as there's still lots of money out there. Cold hard cash will likely drive the residential markets including single family construction as we continue to grow our Rental Nation. OTOH, perception of downside risk will elevate.
There's still lots of 'stimulus' yet to work its way through the system
See the state legislature spending as one example. RTD is still cruising along on Helicopter money. For many, last year's bonuses have yet to be spent.
LOVE those Infrastructure $'s
It will take time for this to move through the system but it will quickly - in hindsight - be a blessing. RTD, for example, may need to operate more efficiently but will also be able to 'refresh' its bones.
The Long Hot Summer
Somewhat under the radar but yesterday's report of "Productivity" diving 7.5% for the 1st quarter is NOT a good thing. Less visible or understood but growing productivity over the last decade really drove the economic expansion and efficiency.
Wealth destruction is NOT a good thing, obviously.
Interestingly, E-Commerce stocks have been selling off. Investors fear that The Consumer is about to hit a wall and will spend less and stick to the more basic necessities of life. I'd agree.
As yesterday's allocated stimulus runs its course then budgets will become more difficult, whether on an individual level or at the state budget level. So, to a degree it's "enjoy it while you can."
Inflation, like home prices is likely to be 'sticky'
Whether ongoing supply-chain issues or the lucky with cash this problem won't be easy to tame IMO though it could moderate at least. Next year should be much more interesting and challenging.
As if we didn't have enough 'bad' to look forward to, the growing political divide and discord will make life way too 'noisy'.