Quote:
Originally Posted by EastSideHBG
But the warzone areas are driving the averages downward. Do a search for studios in desirable areas, you'll see $2000-3000 per month. The whole country is suffering from an affordability problem right now (if you want to have your mind blown look at some of the prices in parts of Mississippi right now) but you keep repeating a mantra that is not accurate once you start peeling back the layers. The factors:
- Philly has large city limits [for Northeast standards].
- Philly has many areas that are an absolute mess.
- Desirable areas can be a block to block situation and in turn smaller than the whole.
I'm not knocking the progress and there's some bright spots but a lot of what you are seeing now is speculation vs actual success; building the buildings is the first step, occupying them is another. I've seen some nice shiny new buildings in the 'burbs remain empty until just recently and were only filled because of enticing move in offers and the housing shortage picking up steam. Once the dust settles I have my doubts about their occupancy rates.
I'm one of the people still leaning towards this is going to work out for Philly but I do have to acknowledge that this is a delicate balance right now and if the city keeps screwing up it won't go in the right direction.
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You act like other cities don't have rough areas too with lower property values in those parts of the city. Every city in the US has at least SOME rough areas. Furthermore:
-Washington DC has a similar level of rough neighborhoods and a similar crime rate to Philly (slightly lower), yet has noticeably higher average rent
-Miami also has a similar level of rough neighborhoods and similar crime rate
-Atlanta too has a similar level of rough neighborhoods and similar crime rate
-Houston as well
-Chicago as well
-Baltimore has a MUCH HIGHER crime rate and much more of it's city limits are taken up by rough neighborhoods than Philly
-New Orleans has a MUCH HIGHER crime rate and much more of it's city limits are taken up by rough neighborhoods than Philly
All of these cities manage to have higher average rents than Philly. Hmmm... yet Philly is unaffordable?
Studios $2000-$3000 per month? Huh? I don't see that anywhere:
-Studio in NoLibs for $1,895
-Studio in Poplar for $1,775
-Studio in UCity for $1,855
-Studio in Wynnefield Heights for $1,440
-Studio in Old City for $1,695
-Studio in Cedar Park for $1,405
-Studio in Olde Kensington for $1,550
-Studio in Manayunk for $1,700
-Studio in Spruce Hill/Walnut Hill for $1,750
-Studio in Spring Garden for $1,550
-Studio in Morrell Park in Northeast Philly for $1,469
-Studio in Logan Square/Museum District for $1,359
-Studio in Brewerytown for $1,320
Etc. Etc.
https://www.apartments.com/philadelphia-pa/
Lastly, I don't understand what you mean "built on spec." Apartment buildings? Office buildings? Homes and condos? Apartments are always built on spec, there's literally no other way to do it. You can't pre-lease apartments before they're built. With the housing market so tight, and now interest rates going up even higher, I don't foresee a lot of first time homebuyers easily being able to buy homes. This leads to them renting apartments, because they have to go somewhere. With Philadelphia's apartment occupancy rate at 97%, we can EASILY afford to build apartments. In fact, we need apartments. More housing is what keeps prices low. The reason for the housing crisis is a lack of new construction....
Would you prefer them NOT build apartments over some hypothetical and unfounded fear that they MAY not be fully occupied in the future? Just seems silly to me.