Quote:
Originally Posted by paul78701
IMHO, any assumptions that the commercial office market will collapse are way overdone. Will there be a higher percentage of full time remote workers? Sure, of course. Will there be a high enough percentage to completely cause the bottom to drop out of the commercial office space market? I highly doubt that.
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From my perspective too, as someone going through this evaluation at work right now:
I think a segment of the office market may take a permanent hit, but it's just going to be an acceleration of previous trends rather than anything completely new. Namely, I think that the type of aging suburban-office-complex type inventory that was already on the way out is going to be even harder to fill, but there will continue to be growing demand for space in mixed-use urban nodes like DT, the Domain, Mueller, East Austin etc.
I think that those who prefer remote work will be generally older, more likely to have kids and more likely to live in a suburb -- and will be more likely to work in a suburban office park in the first place. Now there's going to be some of this demographic that previously worked DT and will no longer now that remote is an option. But the demographics that will want to go back to the office -- largely younger people, IMO -- will want to do so in large part because their office location offers easy access to other amenities (lunch, gyms, happy hours, etc.) that an urban mixed-use setting provides.
Before going fully remote, my last office was out in a suburban office park, which many of my older coworkers loved. The lease is over at end of quarter and we're not renewing. Our older (I mean late 30s on

) are happy to work remotely permanently, while those who did want some kind of office space weren't keen on the original option in the first place, because it was out in the suburbs without anything walkable around. So the compromise we came up with is that we'll be renting WeWork space for the employees who want to use it.
If you're a place like Facebook or Indeed or Google and you employ a legion of fresh grads, I could see the ideal configuration being urban office spaces to woo new hires while offering flexible work configurations to employees who want it.