Quote:
Originally Posted by TakeFive
...True, initially lenders and builders were quite conservative coming out of the recession and as you point out due to stricter qualifications initial construction was largely upscale which hurt affordability. But many areas had excess inventories so it wasn't an issue early on. And over time those areas where suburban growth is popular, they have seen a resurgence in all types of home construction.
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Good points but I believe missing the key factor: the suburban decline in production is due to the fact that land development fell off the map entirely starting in 2007 and lasting through roughly 2012.
Homebuilders need lots and generally focused pre-great recession on buying finished lots to build homes, not necessarily entitling land which is long, risky, and unpredictable work. Some of these big communities we see in the suburbs/exurbs take 10+ years from conception to shovels. Land development is also terrible for the publicly traded company earnings reports and balance sheets so they stay away. Land development is back in full swing but the momentum, as many rightly point out, shifted to urban center and brownfields. It's been picking up in the suburbs, but we still do have anywhere near the level of suburban sprawl/production that we've enjoyed continuously from 1900 to 2007, kicking the 1930's to the curb...