Quote:
Originally Posted by jhausner
I also think 2025/2026 was always advertised as being phase 1 to 168th street. They would have a few options to either open that stretch a bit early while they finish up the remainder to Langley, or delay opening the whole route to Langley to 2028.
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If you ask me I think there's a bit of spin to the whole POV coming out that the SLS is "not delayed" because 2025 was a timeline for the first phase, and I can see why they're doing that.
My personal view however is that a 2025 opening (for the full 16 km) was pretty much a serious possibility, and on the TransLink-side was basically on track (sans the provincial and federal funding for Fleetwood-Langley), until the pandemic happened.
First, we know that before the pandemic TL was pushing to get the whole line funded, as even the CEO believed a 2025 opening for the full 16km to be a serious possibility:
Second, I distinctly recall that for much of 2019, the expectation (at least in the Board and Mayors' Council reports) was that a finalized (so not draft) business case for the full extension (Phase 1 to Fleetwood
and Phase 2 to Langley City) was set to be finished in June or July 2020, and then sent to the provincial and federal governments around that time.
Of course, the pandemic happened, so that business case basically didn't get finished on time, and fare revenue dried up meaning TransLink as a whole had to pause everything related to future investment. But that's fine, because while the project was in whatever limbo, the provincial election of 2020 happened, and the provincial government committed to funding the whole line. With the announcement of this year we now have both the provincial and federal governments committing to the line even with an increased capital cost.
It seems that the pandemic has allowed us to get the political (funding) aspect of the line figured out, but at the cost of the opening date for a full extension being set to 2028, because of whatever internal mumbo jumbo is preventing us from going to procurement.
I think speeding things up is still a serious possibility (i.e. whatever contractor ends up bidding might be able to offer a faster timeline). There's also the possibility of a phased opening whilst having that single construction contract for the whole line (as was done for the Millennium Line in 2002).