Quote:
Originally Posted by Agent Orange
Edmonton built a subway for its LRT through downtown in the 1970s when the metro area had less than 650k people. I doubt Edmonton then, today being half the size of Denver, was denser than we are now. Of course, costs have risen substantially since then.
Another example is Vancouver. Their metro area is 2.7m to Denver's 3.0m. They've had a subway since 1986. They definitely have a higher weighted density than Denver and they have significant land constraints we don't have, however when they built the Skytrain I don't think most of the city was considerably urban and dense outside of their downtown peninsula. Most of the high rise clusters outside of downtown in the Vancouver region have sprouted up since the opening and expansion of the Skytrain. And outside of a few areas, the region is largely SFHs with very dense TODs, something we could do in Colorado if we wanted to.
There are also lots of examples in Europe of course, harder to compare to North America. Then there's Australian cities which, while they tend to have much stronger and healthier cores, aren't exactly leaps denser than American metros. Yet both Sydney and Melbourne are building true subways currently (having existing highly frequent commuter rail infrastructure already, and tons of streetcars in Melbourne's case). Yeah, Sydney and Melbourne are both 60% larger than Denver MSA, but they're not exactly Tokyo.
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The difference is in terms of dollars. The transit we build isn't good enough - it doesn't go where it needs to, and isn't fast enough - to do what transit does in those cities. Grade separated transit isn't even on the radar here, let alone enough of it to move the needle.
Are there any U.S. cities that have tried to build real high-quality transit, analogous to those non-U.S. cities recent times? The answer is - very, very few. Honolulu is a great example - one line, $9 billion, but it is one line that would actually go where it should, entirely grade separated, truly competitive. And it has been a disaster... and is struggling to find funding for the last segment. There's a real chance it is never completed, and they will have spent $5 billion on a train from nowhere to nowhere.
It's really hard to build multi-billion infrastructure in this country. Really hard. (Without the 1950s and 60s investment in roads, we actually wouldn't have the ability to build new roads either - it's just much easier to expand than it is to create from scratch, and roads got a head start in most U.S. cities.) And it's really hard to have transit that is worth a 🞵🞵🞵🞵 without spending billions.
So, it's not really fair to say "we could do this in Colorado if we really wanted to." No, we actually couldn't. We would need massive federal investment, which doesn't exist (even with the infrastructure bill). CDOT's and RTD's combined annual budgets are barely $2.5 billion, and there's a lot of existing stuff to continue to operate and maintain. We could never build REAL transit without a national commitment, nobody can. Look at LA, look at NYC, nobody is build new capital projects that are comparable to what we see in other countries. If they were, I'd be a lot busier than I am at the moment!