I think that part of what Griffin says has some truth to it and some of it seems to me like he's positioning himself in various political positions and is trying to make a point. I don't necessarily disagree with things because I find any amount of violent crime (or otherwise) is too much, anywhere. At the same time, there is a lot at play right now in media and social media. Unfortunately the US is in the middle of a "violence wave" across most cities in the country. We just moved from NYC to Chicago this weekend, and it was the same thing there to an extent. Our former neighborhood in Manhattan (not the one we just lived in but the one before), Upper West Side, had 2 shootings and multiple armed robberies in just a few hours one night last week. There were multiple restaurant shootings in NYC in the last month too - not talking about ones in the Bronx but trendier ones in areas like Upper East Side (
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/philippe...oint-robberies)
I've found that things are way more nuanced and nobody in the "crime is down" and "cRiMe Is DoWn" party is really technically 100% correct. It really depends on which crime you're talking about and at that, it depends on a subtype of even a subtype of crime you're talking about sometimes.
So if you look in some of the core "green areas" like downtown (including all of Near West Side), Lincoln Park, Lakeview, North Center, Lincoln Square, and even West Town and Logan Square - for violent crimes (battery, assault, robbery, criminal sexual assault, and homicide). Thru 9/26 of each year:
2006: 12,633 incidents
2007: 12,299
2008: 11,718
2009: 10,873
2010: 10,426
2011: 9445
2012: 9491
2013: 8571
2014: 7940
2015: 7582
2016: 8825
2017: 9442
2018: 9559
2019: 9617
2020: 6911
2021: 7559
So statistically, 2021 so far in these areas is actually the 2nd lowest it's been since 2006. Actually 2020 was the lowest, but it's probably because most of the year was lockdown so it deserves an asterisk. But compared to even 2019 it's actually lower.
On the flip side, let's look at these crimes where a gun was used in the above crimes:
2006: 753
2007: 616
2008: 645
2009: 728
2010: 552
2011: 518
2012: 585
2013: 491
2014: 412
2015: 533
2016: 811
2017: 820
2018: 748
2019: 609
2020: 562
2021: 787
Here there's an uptick compared to 2019 and between 2010 and 2015, but compared to 2016-2018 or even 2006 or 2009, it's all very similar. In this case, I think there's a few things at place such as everyone knowing about everything via social media, even more than 2017 and recency bias. It's absolutely true that there's an uptick in certain crimes with a gun in the last few years in various areas. It's absolutely true that there's an uptick in shootings in various areas. But it's also true that some of these things (see above) aren't that different from even a handful of years ago.
Unacceptable no matter what, and I think that's what Griffin is going for. I don't disagree with him on that but it's also such a political thing for him to do to fall into the same "trap" as everyone else when it comes to believing that even 15 years ago wasn't full of more violent crime. There is a violence uptick absolutely but putting it into perspective is also important. The problems that Chicago, and other cities face with violence isn't necessarily a new thing.