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  #641  
Old Posted Aug 1, 2021, 7:24 PM
H2O H2O is offline
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Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post
...yes, I know that the Windsor Park subdivision was developed in the 1950s and 60s by NP/C. But, as you yourself point out, it's not a planned community in nearly the same way as Mueller is, not just because the times (and cultural attitudes, and priorities, and zoning laws) were different back then but also because the processes via which the two places are/were developed are totally different. Windsor Park does not even remotely resemble Mueller. It's apples and oranges.

I don't know why you homed in on Windsor Park and ignored the bit about "and surrounding neighborhoods." What other neighborhoods in East Austin are master-planned subdivisions similar to Mueller?



Again I'm not sure why you are obsessed with Windsor Park, especially since its proximity to Mueller is a major part of what has been driving up the prices there and gentrifying the neighborhood. Virtually every house that goes on sale in WP prominently features "within X minute drive to Mueller!" in its description and sales pitch.

Price per square foot comparisons aren't useful in this context because lot size is a major part of the value of houses outside Mueller. When you buy a house in Pecan Springs you also get a yard that is anywhere from 5k to 15k square feet, but that's not factored into the price per sqft metrics so they tend to be misleading, especially when used across different house styles and categories.



I'm sorry, what? This is laughable. You accused me of not basing my criticism on "actual knowledge" but perhaps it is you who needs to do some basic research.

https://bestneighborhood.org/race-in-austin-tx/




The maps speak for themselves, especially if you overlay them.

Your comment is funny for another reason though, and that is it's an absolutely perfect example of how white people's idea of diversity tends to massively differ from that of everyone else. From what I've seen, a white person surrounded mostly by other white people will think they live in a super diverse community if there happens to be an "ethnic" restaurant on the corner and if they find themselves standing behind a Hispanic family at the grocery checkout line. I don't know if you yourself are white of course but based on the above race map, and everything else you've posted, I'm willing to go out on a limb on it, and further suggest you haven't experienced true diversity. That's the only explanation for why someone might actually believe that Mueller is the pinnacle of diversity in Austin.



The only other neighborhood in East Austin that is as white as Mueller is University Hills, and University Hills has always been a predominantly wealthy and white enclave. Aside from that, if you look at the map above, the trend is clear: Mueller has been having a strong gentrifying effect on surrounding neighborhoods that have traditionally been diverse, and is making them predominantly white just like itself.



I don't know what you mean. The "true definition" of a ghetto is a neighborhood occupied by minorities. The only reason you would think those neighborhoods aren't actually diverse is if you believe minority populations are not extremely diverse within themselves (e.g. if you think every Hispanic person you see hails from Mexico, or that a Venezuelan shares the same culture and values as a Guatemalan). If that's the case I encourage you to spend more time with minorities, as hard as that may be in Mueller.



Well, it's certainly instructive that you refer to people like me as "outsiders." If that isn't a strong signal regarding how insular and out-of-place Mueller is, I don't know what is.

Like I said previously, I drive and ride through Mueller several times a week. I also spend a fair amount of time there. I shop at the HEB. I drink at BD Riley's. Up until recently I had friends living in some of the low-rises (before skyrocketing rents forced them to move out). I'm not passing judgment on Mueller based on internet photos or articles.
Oh, man! I HATE arguing about such things on the internet, and should have kept my mouth shut. I probably should continue to, but I think I owe you a response.

First of all, I apologize for using the term 'outsider'. It is totally inappropriate in this context and actually contrary to my world view and what I believe to be the spirit and intent of Mueller, which is to be an inclusive and welcoming community. You don't have to sleeps most nights in Mueller to be part of the Mueller community. I should have chosen my words more carefully, but the point I was trying to make is that it annoys me that a lot of people seem to judge Mueller based on assumptions and what they see on the internet and very little lived experience. Apparently that is not you.

Yes, I am white. Many of my neighbors are also white, but many are not. You and I clearly are using the term diversity differently. I am using the dictionary definition of: the condition of having or being composed of differing elements : VARIETY
especially : the inclusion of people of different races (Merriam Webster)

You seem to be using diversity as a synonym for a majority of minorities within a population. If that is your life experience, you are entitled to use it that way, but it is not what I meant. That is actually a description of being segregated, which would have been a better term for me to use than ghetto, although both are somewhat loaded terms. Segregation is the opposite of diversity.

Diversity (by the dictionary definition) is a relative term. I have lived in far more diverse cities and neighborhood than Austin and Mueller. In fact, Austin has been rated as one of the most (economically) segregated cities in the country. I am under no delusions that Austin is as diverse as some cities, but Mueller is relatively diverse among Austin neighborhoods. Note that there is not a single neighborhood on the map you posted that indicates "multiple/other" races. That would be a true indication of diversity if there was not a clear majority at all.

Also, a majority of 50% +1 can be a lot more diverse than a majority of 99%. The maps you posted indicate only what the majority is, not what the percentage mix is. Yes, Mueller is more white and affluent than much of East Austin, but that does not mean it is less diverse (by the dictionary definition) internally. Another neighborhood may have more minorities and be lower income, but if those groups are a strong majority it is an indication of segregation not diversity.

If we don't want Austin to be as segregated in the future as it has been in the past, we should want it to look a lot more like Mueller. To get there we need more economic development (good paying jobs of all kinds) in East Austin and more affordable housing in West Austin.

Finally, I was not intentionally picking on Windsor Park. That was really just a stand in for any number of Austin neighborhoods. I just happen to be more familiar with Windsor Park because my daughter goes to school there and many of her friends live there. For the record, her friends parents think it is boring too and wish it were more like Mueller. My daughter, on the other hand, is jealous of her friends big back yards. If you (or anybody else) values big back yards Mueller is not the place for you. If, like me, you value a walkable, mixed-use neighborhood with a variety of housing types and income levels and great parks in close proximity to all the homes, Mueller is pretty hard to beat.
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  #642  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 1:45 AM
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I am planning to move to Mueller from downtown in '23. Pretty excited to check it out. I have a ton of friends living there. It would be nice if the remaining blocks weren't so big and I would have preferred HEB build a nicer store without surface parking at a minimum. Much of Mueller will be wonderful once it is redeveloped though I’m nervous about all the trees in surface parking lots hindering needed redevelopment.
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  #643  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 4:15 AM
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West Campus is low income?

Also, they planted the wrong kind of trees at Mueller. Sycamores. No bueno.
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  #644  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 4:35 AM
valhalla valhalla is offline
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Originally Posted by KevinFromTexas View Post
West Campus is low income?

Also, they planted the wrong kind of trees at Mueller. Sycamores. No bueno.
Well seeing that most students are making negative income (aka loans) yes.
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  #645  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 1:24 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post


I'm sorry, what? This is laughable. You accused me of not basing my criticism on "actual knowledge" but perhaps it is you who needs to do some basic research.

https://bestneighborhood.org/race-in-austin-tx/



those maps appear to be based on data pre-2010 census (particularly based on Asian population, which they show as slightly lower than the 2010 numbers, and much lower than today).

http://censusviewer.com/city/TX/Austin

Which means it's less than worthless for looking at Mueller (which is now more than 3X older than it was in 2010), and basically worthless for anything else.



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Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post

The maps speak for themselves, especially if you overlay them.
Apparently not.
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  #646  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 2:20 PM
chinchaaa chinchaaa is offline
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Originally Posted by 427MM View Post
I am planning to move to Mueller from downtown in '23. Pretty excited to check it out. I have a ton of friends living there. It would be nice if the remaining blocks weren't so big and I would have preferred HEB build a nicer store without surface parking at a minimum. Much of Mueller will be wonderful once it is redeveloped though I’m nervous about all the trees in surface parking lots hindering needed redevelopment.
HEB messes that up. It seems like they really figured out urban settings after they built that store.
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  #647  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 3:18 PM
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Originally Posted by chinchaaa View Post
HEB messes that up. It seems like they really figured out urban settings after they built that store.
Agreed, but in HEB's defense, it does serve an area much larger than Mueller itself. There are lessons learned there, for sure.
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  #648  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 3:39 PM
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Geckos_Rule Geckos_Rule is offline
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Originally Posted by chinchaaa View Post
HEB messes that up. It seems like they really figured out urban settings after they built that store.
Well it's worth mentioning that the Mueller HEB is pretty nice, compared the other HEBs in Austin. I mean, I expect the Congress/Oltorf location to be better once it's done, but compared to (1) Hancock; (2) Riverside; (3) 7th/Pleasant Valley; (4) others within 3-4 miles of austin -- the Mueller one is likely the nicest of them.

That said, you're not wrong about surface parking. But, the problem isn't limited to only HEB, when there's a significant amount of surface parking right in front for the Best Buy/Total Wine/Etc. shopping center.

While the Domain isn't ideal by any means, there is definitely a more efficient use of parking space there compared to Mueller.
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  #649  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 6:25 PM
enragedcamel enragedcamel is offline
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Originally Posted by Novacek View Post
those maps appear to be based on data pre-2010 census (particularly based on Asian population, which they show as slightly lower than the 2010 numbers, and much lower than today).

http://censusviewer.com/city/TX/Austin

Which means it's less than worthless for looking at Mueller (which is now more than 3X older than it was in 2010), and basically worthless for anything else.





Apparently not.
You're welcome to produce maps based on the most recent census data and demonstrate how things are substantially different.
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  #650  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 6:36 PM
chinchaaa chinchaaa is offline
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Originally Posted by Geckos_Rule View Post
Well it's worth mentioning that the Mueller HEB is pretty nice, compared the other HEBs in Austin.
agreed. i've just seen HEB utilize space better (i.e. future south congress store, lake Austin store, houston heights store, etc.). i think it would have been better for Mueller as a whole to have a store like that vs. surface parking hellscape we see today.
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  #651  
Old Posted Aug 2, 2021, 7:47 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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You're welcome to produce maps based on the most recent census data and demonstrate how things are substantially different.
Your claim, put up or shut up.

I'm not going to do your "basic research" for you.
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  #652  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 12:39 AM
Riverranchdrone Riverranchdrone is offline
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In all fairness. Mueller has some of the best parks in Austin, The houses have some of the most modern and unique looks in all of Austin. A state of the art childrens hospital. Just because it is not covered with 6 to 9 story apartments doesnt mean its wasted land. It got its own identity already. Not to mention one of the best farmers markets in the city. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNXedOna2gY&t=1s
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  #653  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 12:56 AM
enragedcamel enragedcamel is offline
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Originally Posted by Novacek View Post
Your claim, put up or shut up.

I'm not going to do your "basic research" for you.


Friend, I provided the maps, you said they are "less than worthless for looking at Mueller (which is now more than 3X older than it was in 2010), and basically worthless for anything else" and strongly implied that the most recent census data is going to be somehow reveal trends that are meaningfully different. If you believe that, prove it.

Your reason for dismissing my citation was totally pathetic, and now you're demanding that I do more research to satisfy you. I reject your attempt at burden-shifting. If you want to have a serious and informative conversation then match my level of effort, else follow your own advice.
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  #654  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:06 AM
enragedcamel enragedcamel is offline
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Originally Posted by H2O View Post
Oh, man! I HATE arguing about such things on the internet, and should have kept my mouth shut. I probably should continue to, but I think I owe you a response.

First of all, I apologize for using the term 'outsider'. It is totally inappropriate in this context and actually contrary to my world view and what I believe to be the spirit and intent of Mueller, which is to be an inclusive and welcoming community. You don't have to sleeps most nights in Mueller to be part of the Mueller community. I should have chosen my words more carefully, but the point I was trying to make is that it annoys me that a lot of people seem to judge Mueller based on assumptions and what they see on the internet and very little lived experience. Apparently that is not you.

Yes, I am white. Many of my neighbors are also white, but many are not. You and I clearly are using the term diversity differently. I am using the dictionary definition of: the condition of having or being composed of differing elements : VARIETY
especially : the inclusion of people of different races (Merriam Webster)

You seem to be using diversity as a synonym for a majority of minorities within a population. If that is your life experience, you are entitled to use it that way, but it is not what I meant. That is actually a description of being segregated, which would have been a better term for me to use than ghetto, although both are somewhat loaded terms. Segregation is the opposite of diversity.

Diversity (by the dictionary definition) is a relative term. I have lived in far more diverse cities and neighborhood than Austin and Mueller. In fact, Austin has been rated as one of the most (economically) segregated cities in the country. I am under no delusions that Austin is as diverse as some cities, but Mueller is relatively diverse among Austin neighborhoods. Note that there is not a single neighborhood on the map you posted that indicates "multiple/other" races. That would be a true indication of diversity if there was not a clear majority at all.

Also, a majority of 50% +1 can be a lot more diverse than a majority of 99%. The maps you posted indicate only what the majority is, not what the percentage mix is. Yes, Mueller is more white and affluent than much of East Austin, but that does not mean it is less diverse (by the dictionary definition) internally. Another neighborhood may have more minorities and be lower income, but if those groups are a strong majority it is an indication of segregation not diversity.

If we don't want Austin to be as segregated in the future as it has been in the past, we should want it to look a lot more like Mueller. To get there we need more economic development (good paying jobs of all kinds) in East Austin and more affordable housing in West Austin.

Finally, I was not intentionally picking on Windsor Park. That was really just a stand in for any number of Austin neighborhoods. I just happen to be more familiar with Windsor Park because my daughter goes to school there and many of her friends live there. For the record, her friends parents think it is boring too and wish it were more like Mueller. My daughter, on the other hand, is jealous of her friends big back yards. If you (or anybody else) values big back yards Mueller is not the place for you. If, like me, you value a walkable, mixed-use neighborhood with a variety of housing types and income levels and great parks in close proximity to all the homes, Mueller is pretty hard to beat.
No problem, appreciate the honest response. I agree with some of what you said, and on the rest, we'll have to agree to disagree. No need to litigate this further IMO. I'll ease off on my criticisms of Mueller... for now.
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  #655  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:13 AM
wwmiv wwmiv is offline
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Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post


Friend, I provided the maps, you said they are "less than worthless for looking at Mueller (which is now more than 3X older than it was in 2010), and basically worthless for anything else" and strongly implied that the most recent census data is going to be somehow reveal trends that are meaningfully different. If you believe that, prove it.

Your reason for dismissing my citation was totally pathetic, and now you're demanding that I do more research to satisfy you. I reject your attempt at burden-shifting. If you want to have a serious and informative conversation then match my level of effort, else follow your own advice.
I respect and appreciate this moral argument, but with respect to the on the ground facts he is correct. Austin’s racial and income demographics and distributions therein are markedly different than 10 years ago. The 2010 data is useless, but there also isn’t really any newly released 2020 data at this level of granularity as yet from which to make updated graphics.
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San Antonio: 1.5m (+6%) + MSA suburbs: 1.2m (+10%) + CSA exurbs: 82k (+3%)
Austin: 994k (+3%) + MSA suburbs: 1.6m (+18%)
Texas (whole): 31.29m (+7%) / Texas (balance): 8.6m (+3%)
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  #656  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:19 AM
wwmiv wwmiv is offline
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Originally Posted by Novacek View Post
Your claim, put up or shut up.

I'm not going to do your "basic research" for you.
This is quite rude and an unnecessary escalation of conflict. He is right: you are the one who made a NEW claim, so why don’t you support that new claim? Your points are correct, but if you’re going to educate someone, do it the right way by citing real evidence.
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Dallas: 1.3m (+2%) / FtW: 1.0m (+10%) + suburbs: 6.4m (9%) + exurbs: 566k (+9%)
San Antonio: 1.5m (+6%) + MSA suburbs: 1.2m (+10%) + CSA exurbs: 82k (+3%)
Austin: 994k (+3%) + MSA suburbs: 1.6m (+18%)
Texas (whole): 31.29m (+7%) / Texas (balance): 8.6m (+3%)
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  #657  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:24 AM
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https://www.austintexas.gov/page/top-ten-demographic-trends-austin-texas

Quote:

Austin is evolving as a city and as an urban area. Its point along a trajectory of growth and demographic change can be located and described by outlining several large-scale phenomena of urbanization. This list of The Top Ten Big Demographic Trends will attempt to answer these questions: Where have we just come from, where are we now, and where are we going as a City? Demographically speaking that is.

The theme of ethnic change and diversification is a common one throughout the Top Ten, and yet each point addressing the issue highlights a particular aspect of ethnic change significant in its own right. In one way or another, the trends discussed below are inherently intertwined with one another—each force exerting its own push or pull on the collective, synergistic direction of the City’s demographic path.

The Top Ten:
1. No majority
The City of Austin has now crossed the threshold of becoming a Majority-Minority city. Put another way, no ethnic or demographic group exists as a majority of the City’s population. The City’s Anglo (non-Hispanic White) share of total population has dropped below 50% (which probably occurred sometime during 2005) and will stay there for the foreseeable future. Please see graph.

It’s not that there hasn’t been absolute growth in the total number of Anglo households in Austin but rather it’s because the growth of other ethnic and racial groups has outpaced the growth of Anglo households. For example, the growth rate of Latino and Asian households far exceeds the growth of Anglo households in Austin.

And yet, what used to resemble a seemingly inexorable path toward greater and greater ethnic and racial diversification within the City is becoming less certain. The brakes have been thrown on the City’s rate of diversification--due mostly to housing prices inside the urban core which have spiked--with no apparent end in sight to the increases. Here are two maps for Austin area ZIP Codes that show the steep increases in housing prices that were experienced from 2010 to 2015. The first map shows the absolute or total increase in the median sales price of all for-sale residential product whilst the second map shows the percentage increase.

Clearly, in the first map showing total price increase the set of western ZIP Codes anchored by Tarrytown and West Lake Hills comes screaming off the map whereas when percentage increase is mapped a very different set of eastern based ZIP Codes emerges. And although these price trends occurred between 2010 and 2015, the demographic manifestations of a much more expensive central city were already becoming evident toward the end of the last decade as shown by this cartographic examination of Census 2010 and Census 2000 tract-level data, here’s the map.

The Whitening of the urban core is indeed striking. Almost all of central east Austin and vast stretches of south central Austin became Whiter during the decade. So what’s happened since 2010? More than likely, we’ve experienced a continuation and even a possible acceleration of this trend. We really won’t know until we can map Census 2020 data. Annual tract-level population data updates from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey come freighted with such large margins-of-error that it’s difficult to determine what exactly is happening demographically within neighborhoods across the City.

2. Decreasing families-with-children share in the urban core
The share of all households within the city’s urban core made-up of families-with-children is slowly declining. In 1970, the urban core’s families-with-children share was just above 32%, Census 2000 puts the figure at not quite 14%. Moreover, with only a few neighborhood exceptions, the urban core is also becoming almost devoid of married-with-children households, please see this Concentrations of Married with Children households map from Census 2000 and then this map that uses Census 2010 data.

Citywide, the trends have been similar in that the overall number of families-with-children has increased while the share of total households from families-with-children has decreased. This relative loss of families-with-children households has significant implications for the city’s several school districts, but AISD will feel the greatest brunt of the effect.

Here’s the rub: the absolute number of children in the city is going up, while their share of total population is declining. This paradox is further exacerbated by the fact that in absolute terms the demand for services will increase as the share of families that remain within the city will become, in relative terms at least, increasingly poor because of who’s left and who’s moving in. School systems and health care providers will have a hard time managing the increasing absolute need in light of this loss in share.

Although there will continue to be pockets and neighborhoods with high concentrations of affluent families in Austin, it has been middle class families that are becoming increasingly less common within the urban core. Without a sizable share of middle class families to stabilize the urban core, working class families suffer because the rung above them on the socio-economic ladder has been removed, making it more difficult for them to achieve upward social mobility.

3. African American share on the wane
The city’s African American share of total population will more than likely continue its shallow slide even as the absolute number of African Americans in the city continues to increase. The import of this decrease in share should not be underestimated as just a few decades ago African Americans made-up around 15% of the city’s population and just a few decades from now African Americans could represent a mere 5% of the city’s population and constitute the smallest minority group in the city.

4. Hispanic share of total population
Will it ever surpass the Anglo share? Maybe not, but they’ll be close to each other in a short 25 years. You just can’t say enough about how strong Hispanic growth has been. The city’s Hispanic share in 1990 was under 23%, the Census 2000 figure was almost 31%, and this share of total is probably around 35% today.

Importantly, the city’s stream of incoming Hispanic households is socio-economically diverse. Middle-class Hispanic households have migrated to Austin from other parts of the state and the country for high-tech and trade sector jobs while international immigrant Hispanic and Latino households have come here for construction and service sector jobs. Among other effects on the total population, the huge influx of Hispanic families into Austin, with higher-than-average household sizes and more children per household, has acted to dampen the increase in the city’s median age, keeping Austin one of the youngest cities in the country. Moreover, were it not for Hispanic families moving into the urban core, the city’s falling families-with-children share would have had a much steeper descent.

5. Asian share skyrocketing
The Asian share of total population in Austin almost doubled during the nineties, leaping from 3.3% in 1990 to almost 5% by 2000 and stands somewhere near the 6.5% mark today. Like their Hispanic counterparts, the incoming Asians to Austin during the past 15 years are a much more diverse sub-population than what existed in Austin in the past. For example, thirty years ago, if you were Asian and in Austin, chances are you were Chinese and somehow associated with the University of Texas. Today, Austin hosts an Asian population that spans the socioeconomic spectrum and is sourced by several countries of origin, with India, Vietnam and China being the largest contributors, please see Asians by Origin graph.

Austin has become a destination, for example, for Vietnamese households flowing out of metropolitan Houston. This highly entrepreneurial population has opened new businesses, purchased restaurants, made loans available to its network and acquired real estate. Emerging clusters of Vietnamese households are evident in several northeast Austin neighborhoods. Please see Vietnamese by Surname map.

Amazingly, by the middle of the next decade, the number of Asians in Austin will more than likely exceed the number of African Americans. While the general population of Austin doubles every 20 to 25 years, the number of Asians in Austin is doubling every ten years.

6. Geography of African Americans, dispersion and flight to the suburbs.
The critical mass and historical heavy concentration of African American households in east Austin began eroding during the 1980s, and by the mid-1990s, had really begun to break apart. Please see African American Populations 1990 and 2000 map.

Over the past 25 years, middle-class African American households have left east Austin for the suburbs and other parts of Austin, please see map. The level of residential segregation for African Americans has dropped significantly as their level of spatial concentration has diminished. Many community leaders talk today of how many of these families are still returning to churches in east Austin on Sunday morning. However, many of these same community leaders fear that the newly-suburban African American population will eventual build suburban churches closer to home, leaving the original houses of worship somewhat stranded. The potential impact of the loss of these churches and their community outreach and community care programs on the African American households left in east Austin could be devastating.

7. Geography of Hispanics, intensifying urban barrios along with movement into rural areas
Maps of Hispanic household concentrations from Census 2000 reveal the emergence of three overwhelmingly Hispanic population centers in Austin: lower east Austin (which also serves as the political bedrock of Austin’s Hispanic community), greater Dove Springs, and the St. Johns area. Dove Springs shifted from being about 45% Hispanic in 1990 to almost 80% by 2000. St. Johns went from being 35% to 70%--this radical transition is clearly evident on the streets of St. Johns, a neighborhood that once hosted one of Austin’s oldest African American communities. Please see Hispanic Population 2000 map.

The import of this trend is this: at the same time that ethnic minority populations are moving into the middle-class and are more capable than ever to live anywhere they choose, there are parts of the city where ethnic concentration is greatly increasing. However, it is lower-income minority households that are most likely to participate in the clustering phenomenon.

8. An increasingly sharp edge of affluence
Maps of Median Family Income from Census 2000 show an increasingly hard edge between affluent central Texas and less-than-affluent parts of the urban region. While some forms of residential segregation have decreased markedly over the past few decades in Austin, the degree of socio-economic spatial separation has steeply increased. The center of wealth in Austin has slowly migrated into the hills west of the city. Please see Median Family Income maps MFI 2000, MSA 2000(block level), and MSA 2000, tract level in sequence to get a feel for just how much of an island of affluence exists in greater Austin.

This trend of wealth-creep out of the City creates an even greater burden for citizens funding services and facilities that are used and enjoyed by individuals from across the region. Austin is becoming a more divided city, divided not just in terms of income but also in terms of cultural attributes, linguistic characteristics and political persuasions. For example, precinct-level results from the 2004 Presidential election reveal a deep cleavage within the Austin urban area in terms of the residential location of Republicans (map) and Democrats (map) and the dividing line between Red and Blue Austin that roughly follows MoPac from south to north, illuminating the strong east to west political spatial dichotomy (map).

9. Regional indigent health care burden
During the foreseeable future, the regional indigent health care burden will continue to grow and the city’s disproportionate shouldering of the cost will increase as well.

The creation of the Travis County Hospital District in 2004 was a giant step toward leveling the uneven burden of indigent health care across the Austin region, and yet, there was an obvious spatial pattern of who supported the creation of the district and who did not, as illustrated by the precinct-level results of that vote.

10. Intensifying urban sprawl
The Austin region will continue to experience intense urban sprawl, please see map. Although there is an enormous amount of residential development currently underway within the urban core and in downtown Austin, the thousands of new units being created there will be only a drop in the regional bucket of total residential units created. There simply are very few land availability constraints in the territory surrounding Austin.

And yet this is not to say that the positive effects of new urbanism and Smart Growth policies won’t be felt inside the city, it is rather to say that even with the success of the many enlightened urbanizing efforts currently afoot in Austin, urban sprawl and its footprint will have an enduring presence in central Texas.

Conclusion
Austin is a magical place, an attractive place, attractive not only in terms of natural beauty but also in terms of its gravitational pull for people.

Austin draws its special character from its physical setting along the Balcones Escarpment, a city wedged between coastal plain and dramatic cliffs, canyons and juniper carpeted rolling hills; it sits on the edge of the Chihuahuan desert existing as a physical and cultural oasis where talented, entreprenurial, hard working people are drawn from all over the world.

Austin’s quality of life has become its biggest economic development engine, and the city’s diverse demographic structure serves to support and enrich its quality of life.

Ryan Robinson City Demographer

NOTE: This list was originally put together in 2008 and has been updated using Census 2010 information and the more recently released American Community Survey data. March 2016.
__________________
Houston: 2.4m (+3.9%) + MSA suburbs: 5.4m (+12%) + CSA exurbs: 200k (+5%)
Dallas: 1.3m (+2%) / FtW: 1.0m (+10%) + suburbs: 6.4m (9%) + exurbs: 566k (+9%)
San Antonio: 1.5m (+6%) + MSA suburbs: 1.2m (+10%) + CSA exurbs: 82k (+3%)
Austin: 994k (+3%) + MSA suburbs: 1.6m (+18%)
Texas (whole): 31.29m (+7%) / Texas (balance): 8.6m (+3%)
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  #658  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:47 AM
enragedcamel enragedcamel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wwmiv View Post
I respect and appreciate this moral argument, but with respect to the on the ground facts he is correct. Austin’s racial and income demographics and distributions therein are markedly different than 10 years ago. The 2010 data is useless, but there also isn’t really any newly released 2020 data at this level of granularity as yet from which to make updated graphics.
I'm not saying the 2020 data is the same as the 2010 data. I just strongly doubt that it somehow shows that Austin city core in general and Mueller in particular are more diverse than they were ten years ago. Yes, the percentage share of Hispanics and Asians have both increased. This doesn't mean diversity has increased. On the contrary, Austin is more segregated than ever.

We all know and are familiar with the housing prices in this city, which were crazy even before the pandemic, and have gone off the charts in the past year. It's not an extraordinary claim to suggest that this has increased the concentration of wealthy (and white) people in the city core, and pushed everyone else to outer neighborhoods and surrounding cities and districts. Gentrification has been accelerating. Anecdotally, I observe its effects in my own circle of friends, and I'm not the only one. The article you posted agrees as well: "And yet, what used to resemble a seemingly inexorable path toward greater and greater ethnic and racial diversification within the City is becoming less certain. The brakes have been thrown on the City’s rate of diversification--due mostly to housing prices inside the urban core which have spiked--with no apparent end in sight to the increases... The Whitening of the urban core is indeed striking. Almost all of central east Austin and vast stretches of south central Austin became Whiter during the decade."

I suspect that if you remade those maps with the current census data, Mueller would be a deeper shade of blue on the race map with an even larger influence in surrounding neighborhoods, and a deeper shade of green on the income map. Indeed, what I'm saying is that it is a significant contributor to the "whitening" trend and has a strong gentrifying effect on the neighborhoods surrounding it. And 25% of its houses being income restricted, as good as it is, is not going to be much help.
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  #659  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 4:12 AM
Lobotomizer's Avatar
Lobotomizer Lobotomizer is offline
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Umm, East Austin used to be virtually all minority and low income. Most Austinites never ventured east of I-35 unless absolutely necessary.

East Austin absolutely has become less segregated both racially and economically.

The region as a whole has become infinitely less segregated. All the minorities living on one part of the city is very definition of segregation. The narrative that all the minorities have been pushed out of East Austin as though it was not their choice is a strange one.

They sold a fifty year old home that sent their kids to Reagan High, and bought a brand new home twice the size in Pflugerville. It may sound terrible to "urbanists", but some still call it the American Dream.

And this is not even a racial issue. Austinites of every race and ethnicity are making the same choice. As a native Austinite I myself have had to consider moving out of the city I was born and raised in. Housing costs are out of control.

I fully support rewriting the land code to allow massive amounts of housing built in the city Unfortunately, even among members here who you would think agree many do not.
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  #660  
Old Posted Aug 3, 2021, 1:06 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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Originally Posted by wwmiv View Post
This is quite rude and an unnecessary escalation of conflict. He is right: you are the one who made a NEW claim, so why don’t you support that new claim? Your points are correct, but if you’re going to educate someone, do it the right way by citing real evidence.
I didn't make any new claims. The claim was

Quote:
Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post
The only other neighborhood in East Austin that is as white as Mueller is University Hills,
Not "Mueller was white 12-13 years ago when nobody lived there". Muller is (present tense) the whitest.

and since enragedcamel tried to disparage H20 for not doing research

Quote:
Originally Posted by enragedcamel View Post
This is laughable. You accused me of not basing my criticism on "actual knowledge" but perhaps it is you who needs to do some basic research.

I figured sauce for the gander.
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