Originally Posted by marothisu
Current or semi current homicide rates among various US cities right now
- Juarez, Mexico: 34.22 per 100K (just for fun here...which is barely higher than Jackson, MS)
- Jackson, MS: 32.37 per 100K people
- St. Louis: 24.29 per 100K
- Baltimore: 20.22 per 100K
- Detroit: 14.18 per 100K
- New Orleans: 14.1 per 100K
- Philadelphia: 12.5 per 100K
- Oakland: 11.55 per 100K
- Indianapolis: 10.84 per 100K
- Cleveland: 10.76 per 100K
- Milwaukee: 10.51 per 100K
- Washington DC: 10.34 per 100K
- Atlanta: 10.26 per 100K
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- Pittsburgh: 8.33 per 100K
- Columbus, OH: 8.24 per 100K
- Rochester, NY: 8.24 per 100K
- Chicago: 7.61 per 100K (as of 5/11)
- Cincinnati: 7.57 per 100K
- Houston: 6.28 per 100K
- Minneapolis: 6.28 per 100K
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- Los Angeles: 3.24 per 100K
- Austin: 3.06 per 100K
- Las Vegas: 2.52 per 100K
- Boston: 1.88 per 100K
- NYC: 1.88 per 100K
- San Francisco: 1.7 per 100K
- Seattle: 1.48 per 100K
- Toronto: 0.84 per 100K
- Oahu (i.e. all of Honolulu and more): 0.40 per 100K
I don't have a good reading on numbers from places like San Antonio, Phoenix, San Diego, Vancouver, etc.
Now onto various geographic chunks of the city..
Area 1: Downtown area (Near South, North, West, and the Loop), Lincoln Park, Lakeview, North Center, Lincoln Square, Uptown, Edgewater, Rogers Park, West Ridge, Edison Park, Norwood Park, Jefferson Park, Forest Glen, North Park, Albany Park, Portage Park, Irving Park, Dunning, Montclare, Belmont Cragin, Hermosa, Avondale, Logan Square, West Town, Lower West Side, O'Hare
Total population (2019) = 1,416,845 ==> Nearly the same size as San Diego, and larger than Dallas.
Total homicides thru 5/11 = 17
Homicide rate = 1.2 per 100K ==> Lower than Seattle, Boston, NYC, San Jose, etc. Also lower than every borough in NYC including Manhattan at not a ton lower population.
Area 2: Austin, Humboldt Park, West Garfield Park, East Garfield Park, South Lawndale, North Lawndale
Total population (2019) = 288,676 ==> About the same size as Orlando or Pittsburgh
Total homicides thru 5/11 = 66
Homicide rate = 22.86 per 100K ==> Very high, but still lower than St. Louis and Jackson, MS. Slightly higher than all of Baltimore.
Area 3: Englewood, West Englewood, Greater Grand Crossing, Chatham, Auburn Gresham, South Shore, Roseland, West Pullman, Washington Heights, Chicago Lawn, Avalon Park, Burnside, Calumet Heights
Total Population (2019) = 378,367 ==> About the same as Cleveland, OH
Total homicides thru 5/11 = 87
Homicide rate = 22.99 per 100K ==> Very high, but still lower than St. Louis and Jackson, MS. Slightly higher than all of Baltimore.
Area 4: Bridgeport, McKinley Park, Brighton Park, New City, Gage Park, West Elsdon, Clearing, West Lawn, Ashburn, Archer Heights, Garfield Ridge, Armour Square
Total population (2019) = 354,674 ==> About the same as Honolulu city.
Total homicides thru 5/11 = 11
Homicide rate = 3.1 per 100K ==> Almost the same as Austin, and a little lower than Los Angeles.
This is how crazy skewed things are. You have 2 geographic areas of the city with a combined population of 667,043 people, where 153 homicides have occurred. That's 75% of all of the city's homicides occurring in 2 geographic areas where only 25% of the entire city lives. It had a combined rate of 22.94 per 100K which is still lower than St. Louis and Jackson, MS in rate this year and just slightly higher than Baltimore, with almost the same population as Detroit. Literally the 2 "worst" homicide areas of Chicago combined has almost the same rate as Baltimore (including its lower crime areas) and yet still lower than St. Louis and Jackson, MS. The homicide rate where the other 75% of the city lives? 2.52 per 100K. That is lower than Austin and the same as Las Vegas.
And then on the other side of the city, you have a big area of over 1.4 million people, which is larger than Dallas and nearly the same population as San Diego, with one of the lowest homicide rates of any area in the US so far this year. Lower than Boston, NYC, San Francisco, San Jose, etc. and lower than Manhattan.
Then along the I-55 corridor basically you have another geographic area about equal in population to Honolulu, with a lower homicide rate than Austin and Los Angeles so far this year.
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