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Originally Posted by LeftCoaster
You must not be very familiar with Seattle.
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Very familiar, no. But familiar enough. I've been there before.
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It's often less time to drive from Everett to BLI than it is across the city to SEA, not to mention the cheaper parking and easier airport experience.
I'm not saying WN at BLI will not negatively effect YVR, of course it will, but WN will definitely target the northern Seattle suburbs, which have traditionally been the fastest growing, for these flights. It's exactly what Alaska is doing at Paine field and I'd expect Southwest to fight them for that market share
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The fight WN will engage in vs. AS at PAE doesn't affect SEA in the slightest. That's my point.
SEA gives a shit about PAE/BLI ops same way YYZ gives a shit about YHM ops. That is, it doesn't.
When you're an airport handling 50 million + passengers (which in the case of SEA is all mostly domestic to begin with), PAE/BLI ops pale in comparison, and are irrelevant. PAE handled what, ~700,000 passengers in 2019? A drop in the bucket, so to speak.
However, if WN at BLI gets to 1 million - mostly Canadian - passengers, then that is potentially 1 million less transborder passengers at YVR. That's quite a larger chunk of transborder traffic that isn't flying at YVR.
That would clearly grab YVR's attention, more so than AS/PAE or WN/BLI ops grabbing SEA's attention.