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Originally Posted by Klazu
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Assuming the estimates are correct (and we won't know until this year's census data is published some time in 2022) the population stagnation on much of the North Shore isn't new. It's a function of 21st Century demographics, and the same statistics can be seen in the west side of Vancouver, parts of Burnaby and even in Surrey, where this blog tends to focus on the few areas where things are being built, but not so much on the established communities where schools have been closing.
Over-simplified for the sake of brevity, household size is falling. That means that areas that don't see a lot of additional housing will see the population number fall. The average age of the population is rising in many parts of the Lower Mainland. Fewer families are having children, and those that are, are having fewer children. The 'bulge' in the population caused by the post-war baby boom are dying off faster as they reach their sixties and seventies. That means their kids have left home (finally) and a household of two becomes a household of one. There are slightly more single-person households too; singles are not pairing up or house-sharing as much as they did 20 years ago. All these factors add up to the rate of population not going up at the rate of dwelling increase.