Quote:
Originally Posted by chowhou
There's a big difference between more automation to aid a driver, and full autonomy. Airplanes have a million different technologies to automate flying processes, but we still put humans in the pilot's seat because someone has to control those automated processes and deal with the hardest parts (and deal with those automated processes failing). It seems like we're still a bit away from full autonomy.
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There's a lot going on for the drivers. I wonder if we can get to two minute headways with some form of autonomy, which increases the throughput. The problem will be the test cases of a non-segregated system. It's not finite. Proving it's safer...I'm not even sure you can convince anyone. However, if someone told me about automated cars going mainstream, I would've told them..you're nuts..it's not safe, but here they are. Engineers have been competing forever in the mouse in a maze, which is the precursor to automation with all it's sensors..for over 50 years.
Having said all that, the skytrain to ubc document is quite well studied (Jan 2020 document) and it lays out it's argument against lrt vis a vis many different factors, using a complex model that incorporates human psychology and contains all the bus routes and feeder lines and forecasts when they will be at capacity (thing #4, #25, #84, #33..all to ubc for eg). It states that by 2030 the current #99 bus system will be overcrowded. I hope that in the least they will study it again come 2025 when the arbutus exchange starts operation AND they continue to refine the model they use to best compare to existing production (real life) system.