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Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse
It isn't really clear how much additional ridership the Yonge extension would cause since the terminus at Finch already gets many riders from Richmond Hill. The main difference is now they arrive there via slower, less efficient buses. Obviously improved service does attract some new riders, but it isn't like the majority of the riders on the extension will be new.
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I've said before, subway and LRT should only be built to address too high ridership, not too low ridership. Spending money to build these kind of transit lines to increase ridership is just totally the wrong mentally. Diverting funds away from low ridership bus system to build light rail in the US failed to increase ridership there and it won't work here.
York Region did the same thing with VIVA. All door boarding, fare machines, transitways, limited stops. Very fancy, but ridership didn't increase. So with VIVA money pit, YRT had to kill regular bus service and so they've been falling further and further behind MiWay and Brampton Transit. The key to increasing ridership is regular buses, a complete network. Not a BRT, not LRT, not subway.
As I said, the problem with YRT is it is not a complete network. In addition to the killing of non-VIVA service, they don't have any Steeles route. That's a major gap. The biggest barrier is political.
Yonge north of Finch is exactly the kind of place to build rail. Just crazy ridership. Rail is just to maintain high ridership, not increase ridership. Rail didn't increase ridership anywhere in Canada. Like, Ottawa already had extremely high ridership before BRT. BRT didn't increase the ridership and the new LRT won't increase it either. How much higher can the ridership get? That doesn't mean LRT was not needed.
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As for commuter rail, I'd say that distance is right on the edge in terms of desirability for RT vs CR. I mean RT has slower operating speeds and more stops, but it has orders of magnitude greater frequency and many more stops downtown allowing it to deliver many people closer to their final destinations. 20ish km, 15ish stops tends to be the max I would consider desirable for an traditional RT route. With any transit service, generally the longer the distance the greater the stop spacing it should have. So commuter rail, rapid transit hybrid style services like DC Metrorail can stretch further due to their high speeds and high stop spacing. For the Yonge Ext I would recommend only 3 stops due to the suburban nature. Steeles, Centre/John, and the terminus.
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Richmond Hill line is too far from Yonge, too indirect, not serving important nodes, and of course it is in a floodplain, so flooding is an issue. The Stouffville Line is very good candidate for rapid transit, S-Bahn style, but Richmond Hill Line maybe not so much. I think Yonge extension + DRL is better to serve this area.