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Originally Posted by ssiguy
I don't think Svend- I never saw a microphone I didn't like Robinson -has any impact anymore. He was a gay rights activist in his day and now that's yesterday's news. His little theft of a ring hasn't helped and he is trying in a seat that is much more diverse in it's political leanings than it use to be.
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Do you really think most voters will remember/care about the ring incident at this point? I'm not sure it'll be an issue. It hasn't even really come up yet from what I can see. His opponents could have used that to attack him already and it doesn't seem like they have. In all seriousness I think most people in BNS are probably weighing their vote based on Trans Mountain and not on a stolen ring.
I think to downplay his activist credentials is a mistake; voters by and large do like people who they feel might come to their corner when they're in need. One thing the NDP is good at is grooming that stable of activists-turned-politicians who can then campaign effectively and continue that narrative of being on your side in an election. And you can never underestimate the power of name recognition. Why do you think Joe Biden has such a healthy lead south of the border? It's not really his policies that are exciting Democrats.
Beech is probably one of those MPs from the 2015 class most on the bubble this time as Liberal support recedes slightly in the province. He was largely a beneficiary of a three-way race last time (Lib 37%, NDP 29%, CPC 27%) running against two rather high-profile opponents.
Plus, with Leung now turfed but still on the ballot, that could present an interesting dynamic on election night. Beech was already in for a tough fight but polling showing the NDP and PPC are the beneficiaries of second choice support from Conservative voters and it having previously been an NDP-held seat, I think we would be remiss not to say it's now Svend's race to lose.
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