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Originally Posted by twoNeurons
And as to why it's failing in Japan:
Remember folks... Uber is not some white knight coming in to rescue us from the taxi lobby. They are a large business that makes a LOT of money and breaks laws and wages PR campaigns against the government to change laws to become more favorable to them. While this is pretty much an SOP for business in the west, it's not like there aren't side effects when you go against the rule of law. Look at what AirBnB has done to places where it has entered. It's made these places cheaper for travelers, but much more expensive and aggravating for residents.
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It's the Walmart/Costco effect there. Outside of North America, is not North America. After seeing the kind of destruction of local business, some countries and cities (including Vancouver) don't let big box stores in because the car culture doesn't really exist outside North America except for some semi-rural cities.
A city that is well-connected with infrastructure, transit, etc doesn't need these massive, inefficient warehouse-stores to drive to.
Uber/Lyft and similar issues with the skip-the-dishes model, so instead of YOU driving to the restaurant, you dispatch someone to pick up your order an drop it off, it's about the same amount of road miles either way. So in cities where you can actually just walk to these places, that business model is completely unnecessary.
Every time I visited Seattle, the people I was with used these kinds of services, despite the city having a not-unreasable transit system. Why not go out? Less noise.
Like I actually predict the direct outcome being "kitchen-only" restaurants. People won't go out to eat, because they can get the food delivered. Restaurants with deeper pockets like McDonalds, KFC, and Pizza places can just hire their own drivers for their baseline service, and Uber Eats/Skip/etc top up the baseline service during peak periods.
But is that sustainable? No, absolutely not. I think what ultimately is going to be proposed at some point is a form of "last mile" parcel delivery and transit that the "Uber" drivers will fill, and there will be a centralization of kitchens somewhere in the city where normally you'd have a shopping mall. That would make things much more efficient as one driver could pick up multiple deliveries heading in the same direction.