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  #1461  
Old Posted Jun 27, 2019, 10:34 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is online now
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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
I don't see how what I said is any different than what already exists on the VIA network today.....Clearly I am missing something.
What you're missing is the fact that this is not working for VIA today. It's why they sell out every express train. Most riders want that speed.

What you're also missing is the unless you're willing to slow service, an added stop means reduced service at another stop. So what stop are you willing to cut service for, to provide service to Ajax? And how do their respective catchments line up? You willing to cut service to Oshawa (166 000) to serve Ajax (122 000)? And do you actually believe that cut in service will net more overall ridership? Or do you just not care about ridership and think VIA is a social service?

Will add.... VIA does not exist to make up for local lack of transit investment. Which is at the root of this insistence for stops at every human settlement en route. These towns should be planning transit services which hub at the VIA stations and are coordinated with the trains. That is how it's done in most of the sane world.

Last edited by Truenorth00; Jun 27, 2019 at 10:47 PM.
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  #1462  
Old Posted Jun 27, 2019, 10:50 PM
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Just going to drop this here.

Apologies if this was posted already..

Video Link
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  #1463  
Old Posted Jun 27, 2019, 11:26 PM
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Originally Posted by harls View Post
Just going to drop this here.

Apologies if this was posted already...
Good overview. But really undersells how much the US has.
Amtrak Northeast Corridor has Acela. And California is building a massive HSR line (might take a generation to finish). Texas has a private HSR initiative under way. And Florida had Brightline/Virgin Trains which is pretty close to VIA's HFR proposal. Some of these aren't technically high speed but they do really well. Acela has a 75% marketshare between air/rail between Washington and New York.

Also. Canada is not the US. And the Quebec-Windsor corridor has population density comparable to Spain (one of the largest HSR networks in the world) and the Rhône Valley, which has one of the original French TGV lines. Unlike the US, we get longer, harsher winters, earn less, pay more for gas and flights. I'd argue that makes us prime candidates for intercity rail investment.

People really need to look at Barcelona-Zaragoza-Madrid mentioned in the video. Similar population distribution and slightly longer than Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal. They had hundreds of flight a day too when service started. It's one of the most profitable HSR lines in the world today.

Last edited by Truenorth00; Jun 28, 2019 at 12:04 AM.
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  #1464  
Old Posted Jun 27, 2019, 11:45 PM
JohnnyRenton JohnnyRenton is offline
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
What you're missing is the fact that this is not working for VIA today. It's why they sell out every express train. Most riders want that speed.

What you're also missing is the unless you're willing to slow service, an added stop means reduced service at another stop. So what stop are you willing to cut service for, to provide service to Ajax? And how do their respective catchments line up? You willing to cut service to Oshawa (166 000) to serve Ajax (122 000)? And do you actually believe that cut in service will net more overall ridership? Or do you just not care about ridership and think VIA is a social service?
I never suggested that service be cut. In fact I said repeatedly that as the status quo stands for VIA, there is essentially nothing you can do (the only exception would be if a proper station was constructed at Pearson in which case you could almost certainly justify making some changes to service that location).

If you want to get to people out of cars and into trains, in Canada, a suburban nation, its going to take more than just making intercity rail better, but ultimately the same. Cars are awesome and people love them. And even if gas goes up people can downsize, or buy an EV. People aren't going to flock to intercity rail travel out of altruism or some desire to just simply do something that is better for the environment. Rail service needs to be awesome. HFR might be a step forward, and since you need to start somewhere, its as good a place as any. But its not exciting. Nobody is going to look at that plan and say "Wow! Now that is something that I would switch from travelling by car for!"

To go back to my original analogy, it is painted bike lines. It makes things better for those who already bike, it might attract a few new people. But it isn't the tipping point. And so far there has been absolutely nothing that has been proposed that has made me think "Now that is how you start to convert a suburban nation into one that sees intercity rail as being valuable!". I get that people love rail and want to see more of it built. But if you want to get public funds for it, then get people excited about it (in the sense that you just need to make sure most people wont fly off the handle over the suggestion of spending money on intercity rail) and propose something that non-rail travellers will see value in. Yes, freight is the problem and makes the current system useless. But why don't people care that the current system is useless? Why has public transit investment been able to make a comeback, but intercity rail is totally ignored by people?

Like the whole MOOSE commuter rail debate, that's pretty much it for what I have to say about this. I still hope HFR happens, but even if it does, which I feel is likely, it is unlikely to flip intercity rail on its head. To do that is going to take something more, something kind of radical, and a willingness to question everything about what an intercity rail network in a suburban nation should look like to create a sea change of people moving those longer distance trips from car to train.
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  #1465  
Old Posted Jun 27, 2019, 11:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Bullshit video. Amtrak Northeast Corridor has Acela. And California is building a massive HSR line (might take a generation to finish). Texas has a private HSR initiative under way. And Florida had Brightline/Virgin Trains which is pretty close to VIA's HFR proposal.

Also. Canada is not the US. And the Quebec-Windsor corridor has population density comparable to Spain (one of the largest HSR networks in the world) and the Rhône Valley, which has one of the original French TGV lines. Unlike the US, we get longer, harsher winters, earn less, pay more for gas and flights. I'd argue that makes us prime candidates for intercity rail investment.

People really need to look at Barcelona-Zaragoza-Madrid. Similar population distribution and slightly longer than Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal. They had hundreds of flight a day too when service started. It's one of the most profitable HSR lines in the world today.
I'm going to go out on a limb here.. did you watch the video? Because almost every paragraph you posted is a transcript.. except for the 'Bullshit video' part.
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  #1466  
Old Posted Jun 28, 2019, 12:06 AM
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Originally Posted by harls View Post
I'm going to go out on a limb here.. did you watch the video? Because almost every paragraph you posted is a transcript.. except for the 'Bullshit video' part.
Apologies. Edited post. Title is bunk though. The US has plenty of high speed rail.
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  #1467  
Old Posted Jun 28, 2019, 12:23 AM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Apologies. Edited post. Title is bunk though. The US has plenty of high speed rail.
No worries! I read your initial post and thought you had produced it!

Your point about climate stands, however. We are not the US. Not even the Northeast US.
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  #1468  
Old Posted Jun 28, 2019, 12:33 AM
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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
I never suggested that service be cut.
Right. You suggested half the trains stop at one station and half at the other. To someone, who is in Oshawa that is going to look like a cut or an inconsistent schedule at best. They are not getting the benefit of higher frequency. All to service Ajax who can get to Oshawa really easily. And why stop with Ajax? Pickering and Bowmanville need stops too. And have as strong a case as Ajax. So now VIA is basically going to become a 3 hr suburban rail ride to Kingston.


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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
If you want to get to people out of cars and into trains, in Canada, a suburban nation, its going to take more than just making intercity rail better, but ultimately the same.
You're not going to get people out of their cars with intercity trains. That's what transit is for.

Guess what? Even in rail paradise Europe, lots of people drive between cities. They don't insist on degrading train service because some marginal passenger is worried about a 15 min drive to the station. Anybody that worried about station access wasn't going to take the train anyway.
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  #1469  
Old Posted Jun 28, 2019, 1:06 AM
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Originally Posted by harls View Post
No worries! I read your initial post and thought you had produced it!

Your point about climate stands, however. We are not the US. Not even the Northeast US.
The carbon tax is really going to make this obvious. It is really going to make intercity travel more expensive as fuel prices go up. $1.30 gas would mean $80 in gas for a return trip to Toronto for the average (7L/100km) midsize. I expect minimum Toronto-Ottawa airfares to be over $300. Meanwhile, VIA is actually growing more efficient and adding seats which should let them reduce fares from today (even if marginally).

VIA should be able to flip a ton of solo drivers, bus travelers and some flyers. But for that, reducing trip times is half of it. They need an hourly or better schedule. It's got to be so convenient that spending time driving has got to be a chore. Easy when the next train is an hour later. This starts getting more complex if schedules start including different stops. At least at launch, it's gotta be dead easy to understand. Like Acela or Brightline.
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  #1470  
Old Posted Jul 1, 2019, 7:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
The carbon tax is really going to make this obvious. It is really going to make intercity travel more expensive as fuel prices go up. $1.30 gas would mean $80 in gas for a return trip to Toronto for the average (7L/100km) midsize. I expect minimum Toronto-Ottawa airfares to be over $300. Meanwhile, VIA is actually growing more efficient and adding seats which should let them reduce fares from today (even if marginally).
All the more reason to pursue electrification in this project. At the very least, put catenaries on all the new track being built, so it's possible to run dual-mode trains.
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  #1471  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 1:43 AM
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Originally Posted by Gat-Train View Post
All the more reason to pursue electrification in this project. At the very least, put catenaries on all the new track being built, so it's possible to run dual-mode trains.
To have electrification, we first have to have a project.

Personally, I do think of the project is a go, electrification will be an easy sell on top.
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  #1472  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 2:56 AM
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Electrification isn't going to be anywhere near the first phase of this project.
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  #1473  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 3:10 AM
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Watch the Charger in action. https://youtu.be/OIyuY2aPkak
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  #1474  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 3:15 AM
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I'm pretty sure the VIA execs must want the 32 chargers they bought for the corridor to also be able to run the Canadian and the Atlantic too; especially once the money from the Feds dries up

Whoo 32 new train sets - might be the last major win for VIA for years based on past experiences
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  #1475  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 6:50 PM
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Something just occur to me: Would VIA ever let people use Presto cards to board the train between TO and OTT if HFR becomes a thing between the two cities? I was thinking that it’d make people’s lives convenient.
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  #1476  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 7:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Dengler Avenue View Post
Something just occur to me: Would VIA ever let people use Presto cards to board the train between TO and OTT if HFR becomes a thing between the two cities? I was thinking that it’d make people’s lives convenient.
Not sure how it would make life more convenient. You would have to load a large amount onto Presto, wait 24 hours for the card to update and then go buy your ticket.
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  #1477  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 7:17 PM
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Not sure how it would make life more convenient. You would have to load a large amount onto Presto, wait 24 hours for the card to update and then go buy your ticket.
24 hours? Is it because larger amount takes longer? Also I thought the price wouldn’t be too high.
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  #1478  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 7:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Dengler Avenue View Post
24 hours? Is it because larger amount takes longer? Also I thought the price wouldn’t be too high.
It's actually 48 hours and it's for any amount. Just Presto things.
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  #1479  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 7:20 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
The carbon tax is really going to make this obvious. It is really going to make intercity travel more expensive as fuel prices go up. $1.30 gas would mean $80 in gas for a return trip to Toronto for the average (7L/100km) midsize. I expect minimum Toronto-Ottawa airfares to be over $300. Meanwhile, VIA is actually growing more efficient and adding seats which should let them reduce fares from today (even if marginally).

VIA should be able to flip a ton of solo drivers, bus travelers and some flyers. But for that, reducing trip times is half of it. They need an hourly or better schedule. It's got to be so convenient that spending time driving has got to be a chore. Easy when the next train is an hour later. This starts getting more complex if schedules start including different stops. At least at launch, it's gotta be dead easy to understand. Like Acela or Brightline.
The cheapest return ticket by train this time of year is $222 per passenger, and that is with advance booking. We have an event in Toronto later this month and the train would be more convenient, but I am not going to pay 5x more.
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  #1480  
Old Posted Jul 2, 2019, 8:07 PM
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The cheapest return ticket by train this time of year is $222 per passenger, and that is with advance booking. We have an event in Toronto later this month and the train would be more convenient, but I am not going to pay 5x more.
Cheapest? We have had this debate before, but it depends on how flexible your itinerary is (advance booking can help improve your options). Here is a dummy reservation for next week for $101.70, which is less than half what you claim. Obviously you can't get this on the more popular days and times, but if you are flexible, it can be done.

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