Quote:
Originally Posted by Novacek
It's been in increments? So you're claiming there's already the start of a shift? Based on what?
Unless something changes in Austin's regulatory regime, for the foreseeable future growth in the north will outweigh growth in the south. There's so many more environmental restraints in the south (Karst, Edwards recharge zone, etc.) that development in the south will continue to be more spread out and less dense.
You've also got the fact that Austin's city limits are unequal, stretching much more to the north than to the south (of downtown/the river). This means the one municipality most interested in encouraging density will be doing more of that in the North.
Also transit service(and the density it encourages and enables) will be more present to the north (both because of the city of Austin's geographic shape but also because the other member cities are to the north). For example https://capmetro.org/service_maps/service_area.aspx
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Actually I would argue that the fact that we have environmentally sensitive areas that will cause more density in the areas that are not in the sensitive areas. You also seem to forget southeast Austin is part of south Austin. Starting to see a lot of new developments near the airport.
I've already made my feelings quite clear about Capitol Metro, I don't feel like getting into that argument again. Through I will say that the cities to the south are growing fast, the need for transit options grows south as well.