Quote:
Originally Posted by casper
You forgot about aerospace sector in Western Canada. Obviously it is Boeing, but Viking is a close second and they are expanding as they take over Bombardier products. I wonder if they will move the Q400 from Toronto to Calgary and Victoria they way they did for the other aircraft.
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I'm not very familiar with Viking Air, so I can't comment much, but I have my suspicions that they aren't well capitalized to invest in anything beyond an incremental nature on the Q400. They'll produce existing aircraft and supply parts, but any development beyond that is doubtful.
Considering their competitor (ATR) is 50% held by Airbus, the outlook for the Q400 is pretty grim. Worldwide, the Q400 has <25% of the 70+ seat prop market. Given it looks like the program is on a sunset trajectory, it will be hard to land new orders. That looks like a death spiral to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by isaidso
Bombardier will need the business jet division to put the company on sounder financial ground. If that happens they should attempt another plane (10-15 years down the road) to succeed the C-Series but partner with Mitsubishi. Partnering with Boeing or Airbus will just relegate Bombardier to a company within the Boeing or Airbus sphere. Partnering with Mitsubishi would re-ignite Bombardier's initial goal of becoming a viable rival to Boeing and Airbus.
Mitsubishi, no doubt, has similar ambitions. Bombardier and Mitsubishi have a far greater chance of success together than apart. We'd also have the heft of the Japanese government and economy behind it.
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That depends on Mitsubishi, I suppose. If they can stomach the losses (and it seems they are prepared to), they might actually gain the foothold they want.
10-15 years is huge in aerospace. Engineering talent and organizational know-how evaporates after a program ends. Effectively, there won't be anything left (aside from a few left on the business jet division) to partner with and they'll be starting with a completely blank slate. I don't think Mitsubishi would bother with that.
I expect Mitsubishi (and Boeing/Airbus) will vacuum up any talent left from the dissolution of BBD Aerospace. Aside from intellectual property, there simply won't be much else left after that.
I do not expect Bombardier to fund another foray into the regional jet market. If I had to make a prediction, I would expect Airbus and Mitsubishi to launch a partnership should the MRJ prove successful, like Boeing and Embraer have done currently.