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  #2241  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 5:47 PM
Joseph Potvin Joseph Potvin is offline
 
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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
I am not sure how far back you are referring
How about less than 3 years.

Joseph Potvin
Director General | Directeur général
Moose Consortium (Mobility Ottawa-Outaouais: Systems & Enterprises) | www.letsgomoose.com
Consortium Moose (Mobilité Outaouais-Ottawa: Systèmes & Enterprises) | www.onyvamoose.com
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  #2242  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 5:48 PM
JohnnyRenton JohnnyRenton is offline
 
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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Absolutely, the infrastructure would need significant upgrades and that's what MOOSE has stated they would do. IIRC they said they would upgrade all tracks to be a minimum of class III (up to 97km/h) across the entire network.

HFR won't increase the top speeds of trains on the VIA corridor. Currently the tracks on those corridors are class V which allows speeds up to 145km/h (or 160km/h if an LRC locomotive with the tilt feature is used). HFR will increase frequency, and in turn capacity, but there are no plans to increase speeds yet.

Even without HFR, MOOSE would need to invest in increasing capacity anyways, which IIRC is something they've also stated that they would do.
And what is the tab for not only doing all those upgrades, but also the major work that will need to be done in the Trillium corridor in order to adapt it to allow the O-Train to run uninterrupted, and on the schedule it needs, while allowing for heavy rail commuter traffic as well?

And that still doesn't even give direct connections to downtown Ottawa and Gatineau (its a bit better on the Ottawa side, but still poor for daily commuting needs on the Gatineau side).

I know you are all for this project, so it is unlikely what I say will make you think differently. But if it is going to cost a few billion dollars to build a project that only, sort of, gets people where they want to go, and will have to rely on massive exurban building and property value increases to sustain it all and pay back investors, does it actually bring any value to the region? Trains are great and at all, and I would love to see a modernized rail network in Ottawa and Gatineau proper, but not at any cost.
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  #2243  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 5:59 PM
JohnnyRenton JohnnyRenton is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Joseph Potvin View Post
How about less than 3 years.

Joseph Potvin
Director General | Directeur général
Moose Consortium (Mobility Ottawa-Outaouais: Systems & Enterprises) | www.letsgomoose.com
Consortium Moose (Mobilité Outaouais-Ottawa: Systèmes & Enterprises) | www.onyvamoose.com
Okay. So in the past 3 years the only one operating on the lines has been OC-Transpo, and short line rail freight has continued to become more and more irrelevant across the NCR and beyond. A steam train to Wakefield had to stop operation because it couldn't afford basic maintenance that would have potentially kept that track operating a few more years before it would inevitably start to wash out anyways.

In addition no one is stepping up to buy the rail lines that are shutting down across the region. No freight companies. No VIA. Not any local governments.

The lines are dying and being ripped up because they are basically useless. Perhaps in the future some sections might be useful to VIA. And some of the ROWs might serve as effective local, LRT based transit. But right now the only group that is showing any interest is Moose. And Moose has no money.

Besides, most of the infrastructure would have to be ripped up and rebuilt anyways. If anything, it is saving a few dollars for whowever buys them in the future by doing that part themselves.
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  #2244  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 6:57 PM
Charles5 Charles5 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
The rail lines that were built 100 years ago served a different need in a different city.
Totally agree. And yet there are still folks who believe that because a rail line once existed, or even if it still exists, that that corridor would be suitable for heavy rail traffic again at this time.

Talking about Wakefield is a bit of a moot point as there is no longer a physical connection since Chelsea removed their tracks. However, it is still part of the official MOOSE plan and so I would like to use it as an example of how a corridor that once was used for heavy rail probably isn't appropriate anymore for the same purpose.

These two links (1, 2) should take you to a Google street view of Riverside Drive in Wakefield. You will see the tracks immediately beside the road and for the most part they run right alongside the Gatineau River. In one of the images you will see buildings immediately behind the tracks. Feel free to take a virtual stroll up and down the Drive.

Now, I'm in no way an expert in the technical aspects of operating a railway line, however I do know that there are many folks on this forum who know a lot more than I do. So, I would ask for input on the following questions.

For a modernized rail line:

1. How much separation must there be between a railway line and a travelled roadway?
2. How much separation must there be between a railway line and a building?
3. Are there requirements for physical barriers between the rail line, the roadway and/or the buildings?

After considering the questions above, perhaps you might imagine how the folks in Wakefield might react to the thought of a commuter train coming to their town. Here you have a quiet village that is heavily dependent on the tourist industry. Having the steam train putt slowly through the town once or twice a day during the summer was a quaint and tolerable interruption. However imagine the reaction if houses along the riverfront needed to be expropriated or have barricades put up in front of them. How would folks feel about a GO style diesel train running in front of their homes twice an hour. What would they think about losing the ability to drive along Riverside Drive if there was encroachment on the roadway. Would the train and its associate safety measures prevent folks from walking along the riverfront. How would physical barricades along the length of the river affect the scenic view and how would that affect tourism.

Last edited by Charles5; Jan 9, 2019 at 8:08 PM.
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  #2245  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 10:08 PM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
And what is the tab for not only doing all those upgrades, but also the major work that will need to be done in the Trillium corridor in order to adapt it to allow the O-Train to run uninterrupted, and on the schedule it needs, while allowing for heavy rail commuter traffic as well?
Well in my opinion I think MOOSE should really be using vehicles similar to what the Trillium Line uses (the FLIRT is ideal, and if they really insist on double deckers then the KISS is just the FLIRT's big brother) and I think that ignoring the fact that MOOSE has stated their interest in using DMU's is a bit disingenuous, but anyway

That is something I would like to know the answer to as well.
In terms of capital MOOSE has said that they would put that up for any upgrades necessary, but I have no idea how MOOSE is thinking of scheduling all of that construction work.

Quote:
I know you are all for this project, so it is unlikely what I say will make you think differently. But if it is going to cost a few billion dollars to build a project that only, sort of, gets people where they want to go, and will have to rely on massive exurban building and property value increases to sustain it all and pay back investors, does it actually bring any value to the region? Trains are great and at all, and I would love to see a modernized rail network in Ottawa and Gatineau proper, but not at any cost.
I wouldn't say I'm "all for" this project. I have plenty of questions I'd like to see answered too, but I think it's worth something to actually have something to discuss instead of just continuously tacking on the number of posts on why people don't like the proposal.
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  #2246  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 10:53 PM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Originally Posted by JohnnyRenton View Post
Okay. So in the past 3 years the only one operating on the lines has been OC-Transpo, and short line rail freight has continued to become more and more irrelevant across the NCR and beyond. A steam train to Wakefield had to stop operation because it couldn't afford basic maintenance that would have potentially kept that track operating a few more years before it would inevitably start to wash out anyways.
Washouts are a little more than basic maintenance. Irregardless the steam train apparently brought in a few millions of dollars of tourism revenue to the area. That's not bad for some small towns.

Quote:
In addition no one is stepping up to buy the rail lines that are shutting down across the region. No freight companies. No VIA. Not any local governments.

The lines are dying and being ripped up because they are basically useless. Perhaps in the future some sections might be useful to VIA. And some of the ROWs might serve as effective local, LRT based transit. But right now the only group that is showing any interest is Moose. And Moose has no money.

Besides, most of the infrastructure would have to be ripped up and rebuilt anyways. If anything, it is saving a few dollars for whowever buys them in the future by doing that part themselves.
Not that it really means much today, but shortline freight was still a reasonably sustainable industry in this area just over 10 years ago. The Ottawa Central Railway served quite a number of customers throughout the Ottawa valley and even in places like the Industrial Park by the 417 (which I don't think is served at all anymore). Then the recession happened and I would assume wiped out all of those customers and at its low point the OCR was purchased by CN (more on that later).

I'm not sure if you are aware, but there was a legitimate effort (that was even publicly supported by some City Councillors) to save the Beachburg sub before it was torn up by CN.

A group called "Transport Pontiac-Renfrew" made up of the municipalities of Renfrew and Pontiac made an effort to preserve the tracks to use for commuter rail as well as in the hopes of attracting new industry to the area. The group received a $136,000 grant from the federal government to perform a feasibility study but before it could be completed the tracks were torn up (the abandonment process was performed well before TPR was in a position to negotiate a purchase).
The primary reason that CN tore up the line (aside from low business) was because of the high salvage value of the welded rails used on the line. They could (and were) cut up into long pieces and shipped to be used elsewhere.

(Extra info: CN apparently put a price of $21.7 million on the Beachburg Sub)

Now I said I would get back to the OCR situation and I will, but this next part is entirely conjecture. It's been theorized that the reason why CN purchased the OCR and reacquired the Beachburg Sub was simply for the salvage value of those welded rails (they are very valuable after all). Your assessment earlier that CN is not in the shortline business is entirely accurate, they really aren't, but that doesn't mean that the shortline business is non-existent, and I don't mean out in the prairies.

Like I mentioned a number of posts ago, it's still entirely possible that a shortline will step in and buy the tracks that CN is currently intending to abandon. Perhaps the ANR will have something to do with it, maybe the QGRY or another Genesse and Wyoming subsidiary. It'll also be interesting to see what comes up in the near future about shortlines in relation to what CN is abandoning.

Speaking of QGRY, that also exists and seems to be doing alright on the other side of the river.

Rail in the NCR obviously isn't what it was 50 years ago, and the recession 10 years ago really didn't help either, but I think it could be a fair argument to say that local governments (or higher levels of government) aren't doing enough to, at the very least, support the remaining industries in the area let alone trying to perhaps preserve some of these corridors for future transit use (heavy rail or otherwise).
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  #2247  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 11:00 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by FutureWickedCity View Post
Perhaps the time hasn't come yet for this project, maybe we're still too small population-wise. But I'm convinced that in the future we will need such a project.
Convinced based on what evidence?

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Originally Posted by FutureWickedCity View Post
If we started doing it now, I bet it would be a lot easier and cheaper than in 25 years.
I’d like you or anybody else to show why the existing NCR can’t fit planned growth and needs a commuter rail system servicing towns 50 km away.

See official demographic projections:

https://www.fin.gov.on.ca/en/economy/demographics/projections/

Quote:
The population of Eastern Ontario is projected to grow 22.7 per cent over the projection period, from 1.85 million to 2.27 million. Ottawa is projected to grow fastest (34.1 per cent) from 995,000 in 2017 to 1.33 million in 2041. Most other Eastern Ontario census divisions are also projected to grow, but below the provincial average, with Frontenac and Prescott & Russell growing by 17.9 and 13.8 per cent respectively.
So in 2041, all of Eastern Ontario will still have fewer residents than Metro Toronto did in the early 90s. Note, I am. Not talking about the GTA. Just the 416. And that’s the forecast for all of Eastern Ontario. Ottawa will have a little over half of that. The City of Ottawa itself in 2041, will have the same population as Peel region today. And Peel region has half the land area of the City of Ottawa.

The City of Toronto (the 416) has less than one quarter the land area of the city of Ottawa, and fits today, double the population Ottawa will have in 2041. And they still plan to accomodate substantial growth.

Add to the above, the province see’s Eastern Ontario’s share of the province’s population actually falling from 13.9% in 1991 to 12.3% in 2041. (See Table A in link above.)

So again, explain what kind of growth do you foresee that our provincial and municipal planners do not. Let’s hear you actually put some numbers out. I am getting of sick this nonsense, dealing in vague generalities about growth as some random point in the future.


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Originally Posted by FutureWickedCity View Post
With or without the trains, these satellite communities are going to grow with commuters from the city as Ottawa rapidly expands.
No they won’t. People can move out there today. Why aren’t they moving to these town right now and just driving from there, as you suggest they might?

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Originally Posted by FutureWickedCity View Post
All those future commuters could clog up our roads and pollute the air, or they could be using clean and efficient trains. Why shouldn't taxpayers support this? I pay for highways that I never use.
Indeed, why should the taxpayers support unprecedented sprawl and encourage people to settle towns 50km away when Ottawa is twice the size of Peel Region and won’t have them same population as Peel till 2041.

Most of Ottawa is — suburban density. How about we increase density and infill development before we talk about facilitating rural commutes.

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Originally Posted by FutureWickedCity View Post
The POW bridge and lack of support from Mayor Watson seem to be the main obstacles.
No. The real obstacle is that this plan is nonsensical and unsupported by any actual business case. Which is exactly Mr. Potvin has not been able to find investors for the better part of a decade.

He’s got plenty of dupes (like yourself) to publicly support him though. There’s that.
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  #2248  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 11:20 PM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Charles5 View Post
Now, I'm in no way an expert in the technical aspects of operating a railway line, however I do know that there are many folks on this forum who know a lot more than I do. So, I would ask for input on the following questions.

For a modernized rail line:

1. How much separation must there be between a railway line and a travelled roadway?
2. How much separation must there be between a railway line and a building?
3. Are there requirements for physical barriers between the rail line, the roadway and/or the buildings?
Technically I don't believe there are any requirements for any of those things. Street running is something that does occur elsewhere in North American on urban passenger lines such as in Austin where they use Stadler DMU's. From a regulatory and practical standpoint you could view a DMU as a streetcar for operational purposes.

Now that being said, if they used DMU's the length of the trains may be a concern. MOOSE has stated that they want to use three bi-level coaches and a locomotive. A DMU of similar length would have 4 cars and would be approx. 80m long (based on the Stadler FLIRT that OC Transpo is purchasing).
For comparison, a Flexity streetcar in Toronto is 28m long, and a Flexity Freedom being used by ION in Kitchener is 30m long, or ~60m when in coupled operation. Based on that, using an 80m train in this kind of operation could be feasible, that's the best I can say.

Quote:
After considering the questions above, perhaps you might imagine how the folks in Wakefield might react to the thought of a commuter train coming to their town. Here you have a quiet village that is heavily dependent on the tourist industry. Having the steam train putt slowly through the town once or twice a day during the summer was a quaint and tolerable interruption. However imagine the reaction if houses along the riverfront needed to be expropriated or have barricades put up in front of them. How would folks feel about a GO style diesel train running in front of their homes twice an hour. What would they think about losing the ability to drive along Riverside Drive if there was encroachment on the roadway. Would the train and its associate safety measures prevent folks from walking along the riverfront. How would physical barricades along the length of the river affect the scenic view and how would that affect tourism.
I don't think anyone here would disagree that it makes far more sense for MOOSE to consider DMU's (bi-level or otherwise) for their operations instead of a GO-style train (which is why I talked exclusively about DMU's above).

If you can picture a DMU as like a streetcar running at restricted speeds (~30km/h) while running along there, then I think it's feasible. The slow speeds obviously aren't ideal, but for the 1.2km it would need to travel to get into Wakefield it isn't terrible (it's not like most trains travel into station areas at high speeds anyway).

Whether or not regional rail would be worth the increased train traffic is something that you'd obviously have to ask the residents of Wakefield about.

In case anyone doubted it, yes there is enough room for an 80m train platform where the turntable is located.
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  #2249  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 11:30 PM
Charles5 Charles5 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Technically I don't believe there are any requirements for any of those things.
If I interpret the diagram for "Standard Respecting Railway Clearance" correctly it appears that the minimum distance a structure can be from the centreline of the tracks is 18 feet.

The buildings next to the tracks in Wakefield (link) appear to me that they may be closer than 18 feet. What are the implications of that?
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  #2250  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 11:33 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
 
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The discussions here are hilarious.

“Let’s talk about the specific details of trains, for a plan which makes no sense.”
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  #2251  
Old Posted Jan 9, 2019, 11:38 PM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Charles5 View Post
If I interpret the diagram for "Standard Respecting Railway Clearance" correctly it appears that the minimum distance a structure can be from the centreline of the tracks is 18 feet.

The buildings next to the tracks in Wakefield (link) appear to me that they may be closer than 18 feet. What are the implications of that?
Well a steam train did run along that track until just 8 years ago, so with the proper regulatory exemptions or notices I'd say nothing.
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  #2252  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 12:02 AM
Charles5 Charles5 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
The discussions here are hilarious.

“Let’s talk about the specific details of trains, for a plan which makes no sense.”
I actually agree with you, despite the fact that I have some responsibility for these recent discussions involving technical specifications. So mea culpa.

As I said at the beginning, the discussion is rather moot. I'm trying to make a point, that just because a corridor exists and had trains on it in the past doesn't mean it's appropriate to run trains on it now. That applies not only to the MOOSE proposal but also to many of the other suggestions here about saving corridors or starting up a train service of some sort.

I admit to having some fun myself seeing how far supporters will go to find ways to make things possible and to rationalize them, despite the obstacles I keep throwing in the way. Once again, mea culpa.

Last edited by Charles5; Jan 10, 2019 at 12:19 AM.
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  #2253  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 12:48 AM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
The discussions here are hilarious.

“Let’s talk about the specific details of trains, for a plan which makes no sense.”
Considering that half the arguments for why the plan make no sense relate to the actual operation of trains I don't see why there's a problem with any of that. The discussions hasn't even been that specific.

This is a general commuter rail thread so it doesn't even need to specifically be about MOOSE, but anyway that's such a stupid comment to make on a forum like this.

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Originally Posted by Charles5 View Post
I admit to having some fun myself seeing how far supporters will go to find ways to make things possible and to rationalize them, despite the obstacles I keep throwing in the way.
Wow.
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  #2254  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 2:56 AM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Considering that half the arguments for why the plan make no sense relate to the actual operation of trains I don't see why there's a problem with any of that.
No. The plan doesn't make sense because the population growth and distribution, and financing is not there to make any of this work.

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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
The discussions hasn't even been that specific.
From someone discussing platform length and specific type of rolling stock. Seriously?

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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
This is a general commuter rail thread so it doesn't even need to specifically be about MOOSE, but anyway that's such a stupid comment to make on a forum like this.
No. It's a rural commuter rail thread. And one that was largely focused on developments with VIA until MOOSE discussions hijacked this thread almost almost a decade ago.

To be honest, the idea is kinda stupid. Instead of talking about improving transit links to rural communities, we've decided that the only worthy discussion is about rail links to them....which they don't have the population to support. So now we have to entertain some harebrained scheme to pair massive exurban development in the town with a plan to build rail by a realtor who wants to impose his own privately levied taxes to fund this. Read that again and tell me how any of this sounds remotely sane.
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  #2255  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 3:13 AM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
No. The plan doesn't make sense because the population growth and distribution, and financing is not there to make any of this work.
And yet there's still an entire half of the discussion that seems to revolve around the operational side of things. If you don't think any of that discussion matters because of the reasons you listed above then that's fine, but at the very least don't be a hypocrite about it.

Of course maybe you're also laughing at yourself for the idea of having participated in those discussions but then your comment contributes even less to this thread.
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  #2256  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 4:51 AM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
 
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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
And yet there's still an entire half of the discussion that seems to revolve around the operational side of things. If you don't think any of that discussion matters because of the reasons you listed above then that's fine, but at the very least don't be a hypocrite about it.

Of course maybe you're also laughing at yourself for the idea of having participated in those discussions but then your comment contributes even less to this thread.
I see nothing hypocritical for calling out this unfeasible nonsense. And I've not had to discuss track and rolling stock dimensions to do that.

Again. We'd be so much better off talking about what these towns can actually get instead of Potvin's far fetched scheme that not one investor had shown serious interest in, for almost a decade.

You're here discussing rolling stock when Potvin can't even find an investor for a feasibility study. He literally doesn't know if hia idea is fiscally and technically feasible. But you're talking about platform length. Do you fantasize about drapes when you're not sure if a developer can even secure funding to study the feasibility of a development?
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  #2257  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 6:38 AM
OCCheetos OCCheetos is offline
 
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
I see nothing hypocritical for calling out this unfeasible nonsense. And I've not had to discuss track and rolling stock dimensions to do that.
You don't need to talk about it and yet you talk about it at similar levels of detail? What difference is there in discussing the maintenance state of a particular track as you did (that would be upgraded anyway) to discussing the state of another track in relation to possible operations? Don't you see the hypocrisy there?

Quote:
Again. We'd be so much better off talking about what these towns can actually get instead of Potvin's far fetched scheme that not one investor had shown serious interest in, for almost a decade.
If you're referring to buses, then this obviously isn't the thread for that. There's the bus thread for that. You're only ever going to get discussion about rail on this thread and that's that regardless of whether or not it may be a good idea.

Quote:
You're here discussing rolling stock when Potvin can't even find an investor for a feasibility study. He literally doesn't know if hia idea is fiscally and technically feasible. But you're talking about platform length. Do you fantasize about drapes when you're not sure if a developer can even secure funding to study the feasibility of a development?
Considering that you and some others have built up and entire argument against MOOSE regarding their proposed rolling stock I don't know why it doesn't make sense to bring it up?

Platform length was never even the crux of my post. It was literally just a "fun fact" that apparently bothers you a lot.

I think we've spent enough posts on this so I won't reply any further.
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  #2258  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 12:05 PM
acottawa acottawa is offline
 
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Platform length and rolling stock are only an infinitesimal part of the problems with this proposal. The principal ones being a lack of population on any of the lines to support any sort of rail service. A lack of a plan to convince about a hundred thousand people to relocate from Ottawa-Gatineau. A finance plan that falls apart as soon as anyone tries to plug in numbers. A finance plan based on voluntary contributions. A lack of investors, not even those willing to fund a study. A lack of political support, made worse by a litigious proponent who is actively antagonizing local government.

I understand there are railfans out there who are desperate to get any railway built anywhere. And I understand there are rural property owners desperately hoping this is their meal ticket, so no matter what statistics or logic are presented they will continue to support this initiative.
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  #2259  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 1:36 PM
JohnnyRenton JohnnyRenton is offline
 
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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Well in my opinion I think MOOSE should really be using vehicles similar to what the Trillium Line uses (the FLIRT is ideal, and if they really insist on double deckers then the KISS is just the FLIRT's big brother) and I think that ignoring the fact that MOOSE has stated their interest in using DMU's is a bit disingenuous, but anyway

That is something I would like to know the answer to as well.
In terms of capital MOOSE has said that they would put that up for any upgrades necessary, but I have no idea how MOOSE is thinking of scheduling all of that construction work.
I wasn't intentionally ignoring that Moose stated an interest in using DMUs. What they use is just less important than the fact that mixing traffic on the Trillium corridor is going to severely stunt LRT operations, unless serious amounts of money are spent on the corridor (beyond what is already planned for a modernized Triliium line). The Moose and the O-Train are fundamentally different services so mixing the operation needs is going to require additional tracks and highly advanced signalling and management systems.

And that is if there are even trains that could meet the requirement of being able to mix with lighter LRT vehicles, and heavier VIA rail and freight traffic. Mixing traffic is one thing in low volume situations. But during morning and evening rush hours, when both Moose and OC Transpo are operating a maximum of vehicles, is going to require a very advanced corridor (be that in expensive signalling tech, 3 or 4 sets of rails and tunnels, or a mix of both).

Quote:
Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
I wouldn't say I'm "all for" this project. I have plenty of questions I'd like to see answered too, but I think it's worth something to actually have something to discuss instead of just continuously tacking on the number of posts on why people don't like the proposal.
I agree that it is worth discussing. I was initially excited by the project when it was first announced, 7 years ago. But after all that time, the general lack of public support and enthusiasm, lack of investors, and the changing nature of the plan, it is hard to see it as anything less than vapourware.


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Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Washouts are a little more than basic maintenance. Irregardless the steam train apparently brought in a few millions of dollars of tourism revenue to the area. That's not bad for some small towns.
As someone else here said, the line did operate for many, many decades, before it was shuttered, after the washout. When a line is generating enough revenue, there is going to be more money and time put in to maintaining it. Not that it necessarily would have prevented the washout from happening. But much better, regular maintenance would have mitigated how bad it was, or maybe lead to a proactive solution.

And I am by no means taking away the value the steam train added to Wakefield. I am actually disappointed I never had a chance to ride it. And maybe sometime in the future, some sort of modern tourist train service could return to Wakefield (it is probably the only area in the region that could support it). But a small operation, which the steam train was, would not have the funds to do the kind of regular maintenance that was needed to keep the line operational for a longer period of time.


Quote:
Originally Posted by OCCheetos View Post
Not that it really means much today, but shortline freight was still a reasonably sustainable industry in this area just over 10 years ago. The Ottawa Central Railway served quite a number of customers throughout the Ottawa valley and even in places like the Industrial Park by the 417 (which I don't think is served at all anymore). Then the recession happened and I would assume wiped out all of those customers and at its low point the OCR was purchased by CN (more on that later).

I'm not sure if you are aware, but there was a legitimate effort (that was even publicly supported by some City Councillors) to save the Beachburg sub before it was torn up by CN.

A group called "Transport Pontiac-Renfrew" made up of the municipalities of Renfrew and Pontiac made an effort to preserve the tracks to use for commuter rail as well as in the hopes of attracting new industry to the area. The group received a $136,000 grant from the federal government to perform a feasibility study but before it could be completed the tracks were torn up (the abandonment process was performed well before TPR was in a position to negotiate a purchase).
The primary reason that CN tore up the line (aside from low business) was because of the high salvage value of the welded rails used on the line. They could (and were) cut up into long pieces and shipped to be used elsewhere.

(Extra info: CN apparently put a price of $21.7 million on the Beachburg Sub)

Now I said I would get back to the OCR situation and I will, but this next part is entirely conjecture. It's been theorized that the reason why CN purchased the OCR and reacquired the Beachburg Sub was simply for the salvage value of those welded rails (they are very valuable after all). Your assessment earlier that CN is not in the shortline business is entirely accurate, they really aren't, but that doesn't mean that the shortline business is non-existent, and I don't mean out in the prairies.

Like I mentioned a number of posts ago, it's still entirely possible that a shortline will step in and buy the tracks that CN is currently intending to abandon. Perhaps the ANR will have something to do with it, maybe the QGRY or another Genesse and Wyoming subsidiary. It'll also be interesting to see what comes up in the near future about shortlines in relation to what CN is abandoning.

Speaking of QGRY, that also exists and seems to be doing alright on the other side of the river.

Rail in the NCR obviously isn't what it was 50 years ago, and the recession 10 years ago really didn't help either, but I think it could be a fair argument to say that local governments (or higher levels of government) aren't doing enough to, at the very least, support the remaining industries in the area let alone trying to perhaps preserve some of these corridors for future transit use (heavy rail or otherwise).
To this I have a lot to say, and it is a fascinating topic that doesn't get a lot of attention. I will come back to this in more detail later. But for now I will just say that the economics of short/branch lines only works if you have a sufficient number of customers along them to make operations worthwhile. A government could come in and buy the line, just to keep it alive, but unless rail is the cheapest way to move freight, customers are not going to use it. You would not only have to buy the line, but also subsidize the cost of moving freight by rail to attract customers back. And even then, rail is typically slower than truck freight, so if on-time delivery or shipping matters, it wont matter how cheap rail freight is.

I am also not saying that a government, or public agency, shouldn't investigate buying some of these lines. Some do, or will, have value. But, it requires that more people view rail lines as a public good, rather than private property, and in the NCR it requires a very serious rethink of what rail will mean to the region in the future.

Last edited by JohnnyRenton; Jan 10, 2019 at 2:00 PM.
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  #2260  
Old Posted Jan 10, 2019, 3:57 PM
OtrainUser OtrainUser is offline
 
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 619
Well I just finished looking at GO Transit's financial statements from Metrolinx and noticed that they lose money about 16 million last year providing commuter service to the GTA and the GTHA. I don't see how it's possible for MOOSE to make money when the populations they want to serve are alot smaller.
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