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Originally Posted by jammer139
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They are claiming revenue is down since the pilot started in November, which I'm not going to question, but nobody is talking about how their sales compare with the same period in 2016 or 2015.
I work with small businesses for a living, and surprisingly some small business owners do not understand seasonality very well and have an expectation that their sales should be even at all times of year. Some of them believe that revenue drops at certain times of year can be blamed on anything that's convenient to blame. I'm not saying that's definitely the case here but I wouldn't be surprised if some of these businesses see revenue drops every November and December - after all, people don't go out as much when it's colder - and they're just blaming the King Street pilot because it's the most obvious variable that's changed. What I can say from knowing that part of Toronto well, foot traffic drops off every year after the Blue Jays season is over as they are in close proximity to Rogers Centre/Skydome, as well as once it gets cold.
Has the King Street pilot contributed? Perhaps it has, but I suspect this is a seasonality issue more than anything. I would not be surprised if they also saw similar drops in 2015 and 2016 once the Jays were eliminated from the baseball playoffs, but none of them were threatening to sue Rogers or John Gibbons.
A good case study on downtown small businesses being affected by a street being closed to cars but remaining open to pedestrians is Kingston. They've had sections of their main street closed for reconstruction for extended periods over the past eight years while maintaining pedestrian access. Many businesses along there complained that business was down during those closures because of the closures, but they forgot to factor in that the closures were taking place between May and August. That's important because foot traffic in that city's downtown is heavily dependent on Queen's University students, who are almost all from out of town and aren't in the city between May and August, and foot traffic in that city's downtown even in a normal year plummets at the end of April before picking up again at the beginning of September. Very few businesses actually closed during those construction projects; I can think of one restaurant that did close as a direct result (mainly because workers made it difficult for people on foot to actually access the business, which is a whole different issue), but pretty much everyone else has survived and are still there.
The point for London is that these arguments about cars not being able to access streets that are lined with small businesses are often weak and don't take other external factors into account.