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Originally Posted by hipster duck
Out of curiosity, where are you getting this number? I know that the 99 B-line is that 56,000, and then there's the 9 and some portions of the 14, 16 and 17. ... I can't see those 5 trolley bus lines contributing 100,000 riders, ...
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I base it on pg 11 of this report BAU case; sure it's 2041, but it's currently already at capacity and could more buses be added? BAU is what we already have, approx. 2041=2017. Midday offpeak is already at 75% crush load capacity.
https://www.translink.ca/-/media/Documen...natives_Evaluation_Executive_Summary.pdf
10 years of pent up at-capacity demand are in the corridor; note how ridership evolution has flat-lined after 2007/2009:
https://voony.wordpress.com/2013/10/15/before-and-after-the-99b-line/ The Arbutus extension opening is still 5+ years away from 2017 too.
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...The UBC-Broadway Corridor is already at full transit capacity during peak hours, with an estimated 500,000 pass-ups a year, and off-peak service up to 75 percent of capacity. ...
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http://vancouver.ca/files/cov/KPMG-Executive-Summary-UBC-Broadway-Corridor-2013-02-27.pdf
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What's really interesting is using google's trip times and subtracting 10 minutes from options using Broadway. During rush hour when Skytrain's only built as far as Arbutus, 99B wait line ups will increase correspondingly. Some riders on adjacent streets need that street, some don't. Prior to it being extended, given network demands elsewhere (e.g. Burrard Inlet) expect extension holdups, we'll see no time savings as 10 minutes longer lineups will offsetting them around peak times.
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Original planning was to have this line extended west by 2003-2005, but provincial government change defunded Translink and even the Evergreen Line portion got phased and then put on hold. Canada Line queue-jumped. Surrey is queue-jumping. Demand is only part of the equation for choosing projects.