Nothing so accurate as an actual election. I don't trust data from any of the pollsters, including the most recent one.
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The latest poll was actually conducted by academics from universities
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Because there's not likely to be any bias in their methodology either

Yeah, not something that instills any more confidence than the other polls.
I'm betting the end result is Nenshi winning, but not by a lot.
Agree about Chabot. He should be the front runner competitor instead of Smith. The conservative backers blew it on this election...had they had gone with Chabot, the election would be a foregone conclusion and Chabot would have won. There are so many people that don't like Nenshi, but don't like Smith for his platform and experience. Almost everyone I know has been having a tough time with deciding. Someone you don't like, but has better experience, or go with the person who can unseat the person you don't like. Not to mention the vote splitting. Backing Chabot would have made it a two man race,and that wouldn't favor Nenshi.
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Originally Posted by suburbia
Regarding the polls, I had highlighted quite early on that there are major issues with Mainstreet, including the fact that they are being paid by Sean Chu and others from the developer slate, while also being paid by media as third party polling. Those involved with elections know that this is a no-no conflict of interest. Further, I had reported issues with Mainstreet's specific questions right from the on-set, including that they went back three times before the numbers were what Post-Media wanted - and that was reported as the first poll. We also know that Mainstreet was suspended from the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of Canada.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DLkxLimVoAAs8jh.jpg
The other two polls by different agencies were quite consistent, including specific demographic information. The latest poll was actually conducted by academics from universities, and according to third party political scientists, was seen to be the most accurate and clean methodologically.
All being said, my fave from the last couple days has been Andre Chabot saying that if he had to pick between Nenshi and Smith, he'd pick Nenshi. He added that it was insulting that someone with zero experience like Smith was even running.
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