Philadelphia is going to lose out this year. We’re going to fall down a notch on one of those the top 10 lists that is actually about real information and not something pulled out of thin air (best city for trick-or-treating, y’all!).
As the Inquirer pointed out in an article dissecting population changes from the latest Census, Phoenix is likely going to surpass us in population this year and become the fifth-largest city in the United States. We’ll probably go down to No. 6, with a 2016 population of 1,567,872, compared to Phoenix, which is expected to grow by about 20,000 residents to about 1,580,000. No more top five and that kind of sucks.
But here’s the thing: Philadelphia is not really losing. We’re on an entirely different playing field, a land-locked, dense, actually urban playing field. Phoenix is not. It and some of the other big cities sneaking up behind Philadelphia in population aren’t playing the same game. They shouldn’t be compared because they are so much bigger in physical area and, in some cases, they continue to count their growth because they’re adding land.
As of today, the city of Phoenix — not the metro area, which would include all their massive suburbs like Chandler and Glendale and Scottsdale — spans about 517 square land miles. Philadelphia spans 135 square miles. That’s about one-fourth the size.
Of the top 10 cities Philadelphia is the smallest in geographic size and it is No. 2 in population density, behind New York City and basically even with Chicago.
City 2015 Population Square land miles Population Density (people per square mile)
New York 8,550,405 305 28,034
Los Angeles 3,971,896 472 8,415
Chicago 2,720,556 237 11,479
Houston 2,298,628 655 3,509
Philadelphia 1,567,442 135 11,610
Phoenix 1,563,001 517 3,023
San Antonio 1,469,824 467 3,147
San Diego 1,394,907 325 4,292
Dallas 1,300,082 385 3,376
San Jose 1,026,919 180 5,705
And San Antonio is on the verge of another 66 sq. mile land grab that will probably add an additional 200,000 in population .