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Originally Posted by J.OT13
Belleville's arena is currently under renovation in preparation for the B-Sens debut. The capacity will grow from 3,257 to 4,400. Still on the small side, but not the smallest and only slightly smaller than the B-Sens current arena at 4,679. Sorry, couldn't find compete list of AHL arena capacities. Comment is based on article below and quick Wikipedia search of AHL's North division arenas.
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I found this - it's AHL attendance and capacities for this season as of mid-December 2016.
At 4400, Belleville's arena is only larger than Utica's arena.
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.OT13
In any case, look at Winnipeg; by far the smallest both in market and venue in all the NHL.
As of December, 2,000 people had placed deposits on season tickets. I for one and very optimistic the team will do well in Belleville.
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I'm not disputing that Belleville Senators will be popular next season. It's the new game in town and, naturally, people are going to want to check it out. I am highly skeptical of the long-term outlook for the success of this team in Belleville though. The Ottawa Senators are not a free-spending NHL team and I do not believe that they will endure sustained losses with an AHL team in Belleville, should that come to pass.
It's not comparable to the NHL in Winnipeg. The NHL carries much more prestige than does the AHL and despite Winnipeg's lower population than other NHL cities, the number of NHL fans has been estimated to fall more in the middle (as illustrated at fivethirtyeight.com - however dubious their methodology)
Even "tiny" Winnipeg is orders of magnitude larger than Belleville. They don't need close to 10% of their population to fill their building each night. Winnipeg was smart to bring their AHL affiliate in-house as it ultimately builds the brand of the parent NHL team. It's why Montreal is bringing their AHL team to Laval and why Toronto brought their AHL affiliate home. It has been an AHL-wide trend recently to bring AHL teams closer to their NHL parent city.
The Belleville team will be popular at first, I have no doubt. It may remain (relatively) popular among fans for years and attendance will likely be relatively good. However, I feel the chosen market is too small to sustain an AHL team which has substantially higher operating costs (player salaries, travel expenses) than an OHL team (which IMO Belleville is much better suited for).
If I were a resident of Belleville, I'd be very upset at my council for funding arena improvements for this team that has (again, IMO) little chance to succeed as a viable business entity. Perhaps at the end of this they reacquire an OHL team and all's well in the world.