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  #4161  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 7:44 PM
wave46 wave46 is offline
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Originally Posted by FFX-ME View Post
How so?
Air Canada/Air Transat POV: Montreal-Paris is a fairly high demand city pair. Instead of setting up operations in Ottawa for a flight that might be subject to seasonality (example: flights from Ottawa-Frankfurt), easier to send passengers on a 200km Air Canada Express regional flight to Montreal first. Or passengers might just drive for the distance and save the cost of flying out of Ottawa.

Air France POV: Demand is higher in Montreal region (serves all Quebec). Easier logistically to operate out of a few larger airports. Ottawa isn't much of a connection point either, most people travel through Toronto/Montreal, so not going to pick up much connecting traffic. Air France is Skyteam, so no airline alliance to feed into in Canada - codeshare with Westjet is the closest they can get.
     
     
  #4162  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 7:45 PM
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Originally Posted by SignalHillHiker View Post
This speculation had made me so anxious to know lol.

I'd guess it's Paris flights. They seem to be choosing the appropriate symbolic European cities. Dublin for us, Glasgow for HFX. Paris for MTL would align with that cute thing they've got going.
If that's the case, then I can't wait for Winnipeg-Lviv!
     
     
  #4163  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 7:46 PM
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For the fun of it - it could be a grand slam. C series and Air Transat and more wide bodies.
     
     
  #4164  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 7:52 PM
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^^^
Oh to be a grand slam it has to be 4 runs. Joining an alliance. That makes four.
     
     
  #4165  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 8:11 PM
p_xavier p_xavier is offline
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Originally Posted by Blader View Post
^^^
Oh to be a grand slam it has to be 4 runs. Joining an alliance. That makes four.
It's actually one of the reasons why I don't fly WestJet. I like my points.
     
     
  #4166  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 8:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wave46 View Post
Air Canada/Air Transat POV: Montreal-Paris is a fairly high demand city pair. Instead of setting up operations in Ottawa for a flight that might be subject to seasonality (example: flights from Ottawa-Frankfurt), easier to send passengers on a 200km Air Canada Express regional flight to Montreal first. Or passengers might just drive for the distance and save the cost of flying out of Ottawa.

Air France POV: Demand is higher in Montreal region (serves all Quebec). Easier logistically to operate out of a few larger airports. Ottawa isn't much of a connection point either, most people travel through Toronto/Montreal, so not going to pick up much connecting traffic. Air France is Skyteam, so no airline alliance to feed into in Canada - codeshare with Westjet is the closest they can get.
That's true in principle then if an airline has a monopoly but since there is competition if one airline decides to service Ottawa it would then dominate that market as the detriment of the other airlines. They would then gain a greater market share of the route.
     
     
  #4167  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 8:59 PM
wave46 wave46 is offline
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Originally Posted by FFX-ME View Post
That's true in principle then if an airline has a monopoly but since there is competition if one airline decides to service Ottawa it would then dominate that market as the detriment of the other airlines. They would then gain a greater market share of the route.
True - but Ottawa's biggest knock is that it is a 'tweener market. It is probably too small/lacks enough connecting passengers to fill a wide-body aircraft reliably and too far to use a current narrow-body aircraft. The best you could hope for currently is a 1-2X/week flight, with maybe 3-4X during summer travel season. That's discounting that both nearby Toronto and Montreal effectively siphon off passengers with their daily flights to Paris. To me, I'd rather deal with a connection and get daily service when I want to go as opposed to being tied to when the airline wants to fly.

Now, if a new airplane like the A321neoLR performs as advertised you might have a business case for an Ottawa-Paris flight. It's small enough that you probably could fill it consistently to economical loads, but has enough range that it will make a transatlantic flight without stopping for fuel.
     
     
  #4168  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 9:20 PM
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Originally Posted by wave46 View Post
With what planes? They're pretty much maxed out using the 4 767s they have on their LGW runs from Toronto, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton and Winnipeg.
They've been hunting for new metal.
     
     
  #4169  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 9:22 PM
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Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker View Post
Would be out of left field, but C-Series purchase?
Possibly - it's a long way from the Q400 to Max 8 (since Max 7 is now bigger and may not happen).
     
     
  #4170  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 9:23 PM
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The thing though - why is Garneau there?
     
     
  #4171  
Old Posted Feb 10, 2017, 9:29 PM
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  #4172  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 3:05 PM
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It's nice to see YUL continue its upward climb. On top of that it will soon be connected with a world-class light rail system. The bush league days are coming to an end.
     
     
  #4173  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 5:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Rico Rommheim View Post
It's nice to see YUL continue its upward climb. On top of that it will soon be connected with a world-class light rail system. The bush league days are coming to an end.
Agreed, though the airport isn't that far from downtown from a major city POV, it's still awkward and a pain negotiating the clover leaf traffic circles and such just to get out of there. And the 20 to get downtown can be a bit of a piece of shite. All it takes is one stalled car.... The LRT could be a godsend.
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  #4174  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 7:40 PM
thenoflyzone thenoflyzone is offline
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" Eastern guests".

Maybe a Q400 base with added destinations to the Maritimes and the North-eastern US? It's about time WS gets a base operation going in YUL.

Still doesnt explain why Garneau is there. I don't think WS would go for the CSeries right now. I think they are perfectly set up with the Q400/B737/B763. Don't need anything in between at the moment.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rico Rommheim View Post
It's nice to see YUL continue its upward climb. On top of that it will soon be connected with a world-class light rail system. The bush league days are coming to an end.
define soon? The LRT will take quite a few years to be built. Their 2020 time frame is not realistic. If you've seen how Quebec construction projects go, you'll know what I'm talking about.

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Originally Posted by cyeg66 View Post
Agreed, though the airport isn't that far from downtown from a major city POV, it's still awkward and a pain negotiating the clover leaf traffic circles and such just to get out of there. And the 20 to get downtown can be a bit of a piece of shite. All it takes is one stalled car.... The LRT could be a godsend.
No more clover leafs...per se...

The Dorval circle has been worked on in the last 10 years. The project stalled a few years ago, leading to a "bridge to nowhere". That bridge should be completed later this year, and the whole project done with in 2018 (landscaping by 2019), or so they say. We'll see.

Last edited by thenoflyzone; Feb 11, 2017 at 7:51 PM.
     
     
  #4175  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 7:46 PM
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Originally Posted by thenoflyzone View Post
Still doesnt explain why Garneau is there. I don't think WS would go for the CSeries right now. I think they are perfectly set up with the Q400/B737/B763. Don't need anything in between at the moment.
Maybe not right now, but they are going to need a replacement for their 736 and 73G aircraft at some point. The Max 7 isn't a proper replacement anymore, and I'm not sure if they'll actually take them.
     
     
  #4176  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 9:38 PM
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The more i think about this, the more a Q400 base sounds plausible. YUL-YQB/YQM/YHZ/YYT/BOS, or a combination thereof.

A little competition wouldn't hurt. AC enjoys a monopoly on YQM and BOS. YQB could use another "major" player as well.
     
     
  #4177  
Old Posted Feb 11, 2017, 9:56 PM
thewave46 thewave46 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thenoflyzone View Post
The more i think about this, the more a Q400 base sounds plausible. YUL-YQB/YQM/YHZ/YYT/BOS, or a combination thereof.

A little competition wouldn't hurt. AC enjoys a monopoly on YQM and BOS. YQB could use another "major" player as well.
Quebec has long been Westjet's weakest market. Given that growth is hard to find right now, this makes a lot of sense - give AC a run for their money and benefit Quebec fliers.
     
     
  #4178  
Old Posted Feb 12, 2017, 1:39 AM
thenoflyzone thenoflyzone is offline
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^
^

Forgot to add YUL-YOW to that list. Probably not initially, but once the focus city operation develops.

Some other good news for YUL. At yesterday's unveiling, AC CEO Calin Rovinescu said that "after Shanghai, it's not over for Montreal. The Montreal community will still have something to celebrate" (Link in french only, so you westerners can brush up on your french. Or use google translate !)

http://www.ledevoir.com/economie/actualites-economiques/491302/air-canada-change-de-couleur

Some quick facts that are mentioned.

AC carried 8.3 million passengers in/out of YUL in 2016 (+11.5%)
AC's transatlantic capacity from YUL in summer 2017 will be 19% greater than 2016. This is an 81% increase in the last 3 years.

Also, a second terminal is in the planning stages for YUL. In between the two parallel runways. A tunnel will supposedly link both terminals. If a 4% growth rate is achieved in the next few years, YUL will see 20 million passengers by 2020. Interview with new ADM CEO Philippe Rainville. Again, link in french only.

http://www.tvanouvelles.ca/2017/02/10/trafic-passagers-record-et-projet-dagrandissement
     
     
  #4179  
Old Posted Feb 12, 2017, 3:26 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rico Rommheim View Post
It's nice to see YUL continue its upward climb. On top of that it will soon be connected with a world-class light rail system. The bush league days are coming to an end.
I look forward to a YUL at 40 million PAX.
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  #4180  
Old Posted Feb 12, 2017, 1:05 PM
thenoflyzone thenoflyzone is offline
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airlineroute let it slip out..

YUL-YHZ 2x daily, Q400 - eff 15 Mar
YUL-YQB 4x daily, Q400 - eff 15 Jun
YUL-BOS 2x daily, Q400 - eff 15 Oct
YUL-YYC increase from 2 to 3x daily (weekdays) 737, eff 01 May
YUL-YVR increase from 1 to 2x daily 737, eff 01 May

http://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/271340/westjet-expands-montreal-service-in-s17/

I love how they are going all in with YUL-YQB. straight to 4x daily, evenly spread out throughout the day. Anything less would have been useless.

Two daily to BOS is also welcome. As I said, AC had a monopoly on this route. This will help drop prices to Beantown. Great for the consumer.

Too bad YQM isn't on the initial expansion list. Hopefully it gets added. The increases out west are also great. Domestic traffic at YUL will get a nice boost with these flights. 2016 already saw a healthy increase, and with AC planning on adding more feed to YUL, these numbers are sure to rise in the future.

WS will need at least one more dedicated gate with these flights. The domestic wing at YUL looks small all of a sudden

Last edited by thenoflyzone; Feb 12, 2017 at 1:41 PM.
     
     
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