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  #10721  
Old Posted Jan 28, 2017, 6:48 AM
CdnEh CdnEh is offline
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Originally Posted by saintjohnirish☘ View Post
Seriously no shortage of parking uptown. Also too, there's the underground parkade at Prince Edward Square, needs some work but might be worth looking into
At this point it would probably be cheaper to build new than try to salvage Prince Edward Square. That place has major structural issues due to poor engineering decisions when it was built.
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  #10722  
Old Posted Jan 28, 2017, 6:58 AM
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Originally Posted by JHikka View Post
Sears' demise is purely speculation at this stage.
"Sears Canada doubles loss as sales slide 21%, stock down staggering 75% over year"

"Sears Canada’s loss rises to $120.0 million from $53.2 million during the same period last year as revenue declines."

"Sears Canada reported its third-quarter loss more than doubled from the same time last year."

"Sears Canada closes nearly 100 stores in 2016"


These are not speculation in any way, shape, or form. These are facts. This company is on the brink.
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  #10723  
Old Posted Jan 31, 2017, 5:35 AM
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Saint John mourns loss of former developer Pat Rocca: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/pat-rocca-developer-saint-john-1.3958844

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Rocca was behind numerous landmark developments in the city, including Market Square on the waterfront.

...

Other developments Rocca was involved in that changed the face of the city include the Canada Games Aquatic Centre, the Saint John Regional Hospital, Brunswick Square Shopping Centre, McAllister Place mall, Prince Edward Square mall, Place 400, and Hilyard Place.
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  #10724  
Old Posted Jan 31, 2017, 5:41 AM
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The City is looking for volunteers to serve on a Neighbourhood Action Committee to help develop the new Central Peninsula Neighbourhood Plan. I figured some SSPers might be interested.



You can apply here: http://www.saintjohn.ca/en/home/cityhall/developmentgrowth/neighbourhood-plan.aspx
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  #10725  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:06 PM
Wolkenkratzerliebhab Wolkenkratzerliebhab is offline
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Moncton population surpasses saint john

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  #10726  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:08 PM
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Moncton effectively passed Saint John in population a decade ago. This isn't really news other than confirmation at the lowest level (City). Moncton's CMA has been larger for years now.
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  #10727  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:13 PM
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Hopefully SJ stabilizes and starts growing again. As is, not only do they have to keep their eye on Moncton as a target, they now have Freddy coming up quickly behind then. I doubt they'll ever slip to 3rd place, but SJ can't be resting on its laurels either.
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  #10728  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:17 PM
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Originally Posted by Taeolas View Post
Hopefully SJ stabilizes and starts growing again. As is, not only do they have to keep their eye on Moncton as a target, they now have Freddy coming up quickly behind then. I doubt they'll ever slip to 3rd place, but SJ can't be resting on its laurels either.
Saint John is making a very conscious effort these days to go after immigrant populations, and the city remains the only one in the province showing significant investment and growth in an urban core, something that will benefit us in the long-term. Most of Moncton and Fredericton's growth is intraprovincial migration from smaller communities in NB, as the province continues to see stagnant population numbers as a whole. Saint John's best bet is going after interprovincial migrants and international migrants.

I agree with JHikka though, no matter what kind of alarmist media headlines come out from today's census data, everyone knows Moncton has been a larger centre for the past decade. Going forward our focus has to be on improving our own community, attracting newcomers and the fact that we still have a larger GDP thanks to our industrial base.
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  #10729  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JHikka View Post
Moncton effectively passed Saint John in population a decade ago. This isn't really news other than confirmation at the lowest level (City). Moncton's CMA has been larger for years now.
Not true. 3 years maybe.
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  #10730  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:34 PM
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In CMA Moncton has been larger then Saint John for quite some time now. A decade for sure, if not longer.
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  #10731  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 4:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Whaler View Post
Not true. 3 years maybe.
True. Moncton's CMA officially passed Saint John in the 2006 Census. At that time Moncton stood at 127K with Saint John at 124K.
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  #10732  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:04 PM
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Is it just me, our does it seem this need for growth in cities is unsustainable in the long term. It's like if you're not growing, you're losing. I get the tax revenue thingy, but in really big cities, there is a breaking point isn't there?
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  #10733  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Helladog View Post
Is it just me, our does it seem this need for growth in cities is unsustainable in the long term. It's like if you're not growing, you're losing. I get the tax revenue thingy, but in really big cities, there is a breaking point isn't there?
Yes, continued growth in the long term is unsustainable, especially environmentally.

All Atlantic Canadian cities however could stand to be much larger than they are currently (at least double their sizes), but eventually, we should focus more on bettering ourselves rather than simply growing bigger.
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  #10734  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:32 PM
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Originally Posted by Helladog View Post
Is it just me, our does it seem this need for growth in cities is unsustainable in the long term. It's like if you're not growing, you're losing. I get the tax revenue thingy, but in really big cities, there is a breaking point isn't there?
Sprawling cities require sustained growth in order to keep up with infrastructure maintenance, because the new construction subsidizes the low density areas whose tax rates are not sufficient to maintain their own roads and water and sewer lines.

So cities need to be smart about how they handle growth so that they can avoid a fiscal crisis if growth slows or stops.
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  #10735  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:38 PM
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Originally Posted by OliverD View Post
Sprawling cities require sustained growth in order to keep up with infrastructure maintenance, because the new construction subsidizes the low density areas whose tax rates are not sufficient to maintain their own roads and water and sewer lines.

So cities need to be smart about how they handle growth so that they can avoid a fiscal crisis if growth slows or stops.
Which is the tipping point Saint John has already reached, hence why it is so encouraging to see high percentage growth in our urban core, because it will help us correct the growth/cost balance we lost in the past.
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  #10736  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:43 PM
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Originally Posted by OliverD View Post
Sprawling cities require sustained growth in order to keep up with infrastructure maintenance, because the new construction subsidizes the low density areas whose tax rates are not sufficient to maintain their own roads and water and sewer lines.

So cities need to be smart about how they handle growth so that they can avoid a fiscal crisis if growth slows or stops.
One of the main problems with Saint John is that it has many of those sprawling rural areas within City limits. They pay the same tax rates, of course, but the cost of servicing them is higher than servicing the same number of people living in apartments in the Uptown. People don't often realize how much larger SJ is compared to both Fredericton and Moncton - both of those cities can fit geographically within Saint John's limits with room to spare.

The issue with cities being smart about their growth is something that all suburbs are witnessing now in NB. Places like Quispamsis and Riverview are having a more difficult time with revenue/expenditure balance as their growth slows. Eventually they'll become unsustainable at lower tax rates and will need to find a balance between reasonable services and tax rates moving forward or else they lose their edge over urban areas (generally lower taxes in general). Quispamsis has raised its property tax rate consecutively the past few years and will need to continue doing that in the future. How much longer will the 20 minute drive into the urban core be reasonable when costs of living slowly approach similar levels?

For Saint John, holding its tax rate (preferably lowering it slightly in the future) will go a long way towards becoming more competitive with the outlying suburban areas as they struggle with their finances. Increasing density in the urban core should be the main focus of the City moving forward and between 2011 and 2016 it seems to have had moderate success in doing so. A stronger urban core leads to a stronger centralized municipality and region as a whole, otherwise we're nothing but strip malls and parking lots.

Moncton and Fredericton will be experiencing these issues in the future if they haven't already. Growth can only be so sustainable before it suddenly isn't. Saint John has found its ceiling but every area's sustainable population ceiling varies. Saint John already has the urban infrastructure in place for a larger population - the other two do not.
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  #10737  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 6:31 PM
OliverD OliverD is online now
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Originally Posted by JHikka View Post
The issue with cities being smart about their growth is something that all suburbs are witnessing now in NB. Places like Quispamsis and Riverview are having a more difficult time with revenue/expenditure balance as their growth slows. Eventually they'll become unsustainable at lower tax rates and will need to find a balance between reasonable services and tax rates moving forward or else they lose their edge over urban areas (generally lower taxes in general). Quispamsis has raised its property tax rate consecutively the past few years and will need to continue doing that in the future. How much longer will the 20 minute drive into the urban core be reasonable when costs of living slowly approach similar levels?
Yet people who live in these bedroom communities seem to consistently rail against any sort of densification. I recall a fairly small condo development that was proposed in Rothesay. I don't remember the exact details but it was something like 40 units on four acres - hardly "dense" but still denser that what is typical in Rothesay, and people were acting as if the proposal was for a skyscraper. People need to realize that those sort of developments are exactly what can keep their communities sustainable.

Quote:
Moncton and Fredericton will be experiencing these issues in the future if they haven't already. Growth can only be so sustainable before it suddenly isn't. Saint John has found its ceiling but every area's sustainable population ceiling varies. Saint John already has the urban infrastructure in place for a larger population - the other two do not.
Fredericton is doing ok in this respect, with some good developments happening downtown and even outside the downtown core there are a lot of multi-unit developments being built. We still have a ways to go but I think we're on the right path.
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  #10738  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 6:46 PM
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Originally Posted by OliverD View Post
Yet people who live in these bedroom communities seem to consistently rail against any sort of densification. I recall a fairly small condo development that was proposed in Rothesay. I don't remember the exact details but it was something like 40 units on four acres - hardly "dense" but still denser that what is typical in Rothesay, and people were acting as if the proposal was for a skyscraper. People need to realize that those sort of developments are exactly what can keep their communities sustainable.
The condo development is still awaiting approval and is going through processes right now. It's located on the busiest road in Rothesay (Hampton road), near a major intersection, and in an area that can absolutely handle higher densification. Local residents moaned that it would ruin the atmosphere or whatever their arguments were of the area in general. Currently it would be near a strip mall, municipal buildings, and a suburban-style high school.

A lot of people in these suburbs simply want to pretend as if they live in a quaint, quiet country town, or something that isn't bustling or loud or obnoxious. This isn't the same Rothesay where people rode around on horses on streets fifty years ago; It's a suburb of 12,000 with another 18,000 nextdoor in Quispamsis. Delusions that they're a small town out in the woods and that they're completely separate from any repercussions of urbanism are just that - delusions.

Quote:
Originally Posted by OliverD View Post
Fredericton is doing ok in this respect, with some good developments happening downtown and even outside the downtown core there are a lot of multi-unit developments being built. We still have a ways to go but I think we're on the right path.
The concern for Fredericton, at least from what I can see, are on infrastructure projects and maintenance. Lincoln was the fastest growing community between 2011 and 2016 in New Brunswick (of areas with over 5,000) with many of these residents commuting into the City for work. Similar to Saint John, these residents aren't paying municipal taxes for the upkeep of the roads they use or the services they use within municipal Fredericton limits. New Maryland, Kingsclear, and areas north of Fredericton are areas growing quickly with these similar issues. Denisification in central Fredericton is going to be key to a lot of growth in the city moving forward but how much traffic can two bridge crossings take? How large are you willing to widen and build roads to transport people twenty minutes outside of the city? These are all pertinent questions that should be asked today.

To spin this back to Saint John, I often hear a lot of people moaning about those that live outside the city yet work inside and their solutions are often ways that penalize them - tolls, raised taxes, amalgamation. That these people left Saint John for outside the city and that they should be forced back in. Rather than penalizing other municipalities, which benefits nobody in particular, movement should be made on making Saint John a more enticing municipality to live and work in. Competitive tax rates, grants and incentives for upgrades and retrofits, intensification of urban areas that are within walking distance rather than driving distance. Saint John has a tremendous urban core and its something that suburban communities will never have and will never want to have. Grow that urban core and let suburbanites live suburban lives. There'll come a time where the cost of living a 25 minute drive away simply isn't feasible for many and if there's a city that looks enticing to live in many will jump at the opportunity.

There's a lot of negative people in this city but it'll change over time. If the City lowered its tax rate tomorrow people would still use the cliché "Highest in NB!" or "Still too high!" as a response without knowing the full details or fleshing out the full picture. Saint John's steady tax rate is actually making it look more appealing as the suburbs struggle with financial difficulties and rising rates in their own municipalities. General cost of living expenditures like cost of gas will make Saint John more enticing the further along we move, but Saint John itself can do so much more to make itself a better municipality for those that live and work in it everyday.
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  #10739  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 7:25 PM
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Poking around today I saw that Google Maps has added their 3D earth view for Quispamsis/Rothesay.

https://www.google.ca/maps/@45.4336278,-65.9716931,593a,20y,72.45h,53.16t/data=!3m1!1e3

Very cool. Hopefully this means SJ, Moncton or even Freddy are next.
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  #10740  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 7:58 PM
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Originally Posted by JHikka View Post
The concern for Fredericton, at least from what I can see, are on infrastructure projects and maintenance. Lincoln was the fastest growing community between 2011 and 2016 in New Brunswick (of areas with over 5,000) with many of these residents commuting into the City for work. Similar to Saint John, these residents aren't paying municipal taxes for the upkeep of the roads they use or the services they use within municipal Fredericton limits. New Maryland, Kingsclear, and areas north of Fredericton are areas growing quickly with these similar issues. Denisification in central Fredericton is going to be key to a lot of growth in the city moving forward but how much traffic can two bridge crossings take? How large are you willing to widen and build roads to transport people twenty minutes outside of the city? These are all pertinent questions that should be asked today.
Let's continue this discussion in the Fredericton thread.
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