Well whatever it is... We should know more by late October...
Also, Hainan still undecided what to do with its remaining 2 allotted frequencies. Not the ideal number it wants/needs for YVR-TSN. And with YYC's reduction on YYC-PEK only temporary.... who knows..
Sooooo with any luck, YVR should have at least 23 overseas foreign carriers by next summer.... probably 24 and possibly even 25 or maybe even 26.... depending on what falls out in the next few months.
I honestly think the chances of Hainan launching only twice weekly to TSN is becoming less likely. I know somebody mentioned that Chinese carriers are happy to have fewer frequencies on a route, but that still has to be looked at on a route-by-route basis. If Hainan doesn't see the commercial viability to operate only two flights per week, they may just abandon those plans. Their hands are tied due to the cap. Clearly the demand for Chinese carriers wanting to add more Canadian routes and also develop current routes with more frequencies outstrips the supply for now.
Edit: I suppose my comments rule out Hainan being the carrier I am talking about....