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  #1881  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 4:00 PM
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WarrenC12 WarrenC12 is offline
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Originally Posted by libtard View Post
I think this has a better chance of coming to fruition because of the toll factor of the bridge

Cape Horn turned out exactly how the first showed it
The PMB/Highway 1/Gateway project still had a number of budget cuts.
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  #1882  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 4:57 PM
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Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
What will happen when this bridge is tolled? The designers of this bridge seem to be assuming that nothing will change. With better transit connections and road pricing you'd see less demand from cars, and so a bridge so large is not necessary.
I've said it before and I'll say it again: the rational thing to do is to toll the existing tunnel and direct the funds to its replacement. That way we find out what the impact of tolls is on volumes before we spend money on a replacement. And there's a very real possibility that congestion problem largely goes away.
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  #1883  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 4:57 PM
go_leafs_go02 go_leafs_go02 is offline
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Originally Posted by CanSpice View Post
Yeah, that's my view as well. I'm not against replacing the Massey Tunnel. I'm against dropping four billion dollars on a giant project that, for all that the stats are showing, doesn't need to be that big. It's being built for traffic volumes twice or three times higher than are seen through the tunnel currently. Is that a realistic aim? Surely the bridge and interchanges can be pared down in size, saving the province some money that could be thrown into other projects that would have a better impact on a wider area.
The cost of the project is from Oak Street right to the south interchange of Highway 91. It's not just for a bridge and two interchanges on either side.
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  #1884  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 5:31 PM
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Originally Posted by gordoninvancouver View Post
Sorry, but the operating costs are real dollars, recurring annually, and do not create long lasting items like a skytrain line or a vehicle bridge. So I don't agree with dismissing those costs when arguing that BC only supports car transportation and not transit.
Actually, I should partially correct myself: a big portion of that is operating costs, however, it also includes capital debt payments, road investment and maintenance, corporate, etc. Here's a full breakdown of both revenues and costs in 2013:

Revenue
  • Transit Revenue: $495.60
  • Fuel Tax: $349.10
  • Property Tax: $316.30
  • Capital Contributions: $142.00
  • Parking Rights Tax: $56.60
  • Other: $44.60
  • Golden Ears: $39.40

Expenses
  • Transit Operations: $859.40
  • Transit A&I: $230.90
  • Road A&I: $97.80
  • Roads and Bridges: $93.50
  • Corporate: $67.40
  • Transit Police: $30.60
  • Air Care: $16.20
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  #1885  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:02 PM
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Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
My big crazy solution is...... wait for it it's totally nuts......

...

You build a new bridge that's larger than the current Massey Tunnel but that isn't 10 lanes wide and the largest bridge in BC.

I'd prefer 6 lanes with 2 transit only lanes for BRT that could potentially be shifted to rapid transit down the road. (I'd actually be quite happy with 4 lanes and 2 transit only but I don't think that's politically viable)

The problem here is that tolling and improved public transit change behaviour and this bridge is clearly not compensating in any way for that fact. It assumes traffic volumes will be massive and so it is accordingly massive.

We saw that with the introduction of the Canada Line Oak St bridge volumes dropped. We saw that traffic shifted from the Port Mann due to tolls.

What will happen when this bridge is tolled? The designers of this bridge seem to be assuming that nothing will change. With better transit connections and road pricing you'd see less demand from cars, and so a bridge so large is not necessary.

This is the solution to the port traffic problem as well. Getting basic every day commuters into transit alternatives (or if they decide to live closer to work) frees up road space for commercial activities that require road space.

The problem with the additional lane of traffic and of "future proofing" the bridge is that it incentivizes driving a car. This is the foundation of Induced Demand. Suddenly there's all this room and it's quick and easy to drive. Now driving is even easier that public transit. More people decide to live further away and decide to drive and more traffic is created. A decade or so down the road the bridge is filling up and now the roads have to be expanded again! The cycle continues and continues.

Spending less money on the bridge and diverting that money to public transit alternatives is the only way to break that cycle of car reliance.
On one hand you are saying a toll is going to drop demand and people aren't gonna use it. Then you follow that up by saying having more lanes is gonna encourage more people to drive. Which is it? Because your statements seem to be at odds with each other. In my opinion.

You also say you would be fine with them building a new crossing with 4 lanes and 2 transit lanes that could be converted to rapid transit. So when the transit lanes are converted we would be looking at the same gong show we have today? With all due respect, that would be a collosal waste of money. In my opinion.

If we use the pmb as a test if you will. The toll initially will cause some drop of in traffic. Then people will start to come back, when they realize the time savings.
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  #1886  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Infrequent Poster View Post
If we use the pmb as a test if you will. The toll initially will cause some drop of in traffic. Then people will start to come back, when they realize the time savings.
The PMB is the perfect test. Traffic volumes are increasing, but are still below the peak numbers of the old bridge, and far, far below predicted volumes.
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  #1887  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:21 PM
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Originally Posted by WarrenC12 View Post
The PMB is the perfect test. Traffic volumes are increasing, but are still below the peak numbers of the old bridge, and far, far below predicted volumes.
20 consecutive months of growth http://www.ticorp.ca/who-we-are
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  #1888  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:23 PM
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Don't forget that the GEB did take some traffic away from the PMB
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  #1889  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:56 PM
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Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
My big crazy solution is...... wait for it it's totally nuts......

...

You build a new bridge that's larger than the current Massey Tunnel but that isn't 10 lanes wide and the largest bridge in BC.

I'd prefer 6 lanes with 2 transit only lanes for BRT that could potentially be shifted to rapid transit down the road. (I'd actually be quite happy with 4 lanes and 2 transit only but I don't think that's politically viable)

The problem here is that tolling and improved public transit change behaviour and this bridge is clearly not compensating in any way for that fact. It assumes traffic volumes will be massive and so it is accordingly massive.

We saw that with the introduction of the Canada Line Oak St bridge volumes dropped. We saw that traffic shifted from the Port Mann due to tolls.

What will happen when this bridge is tolled? The designers of this bridge seem to be assuming that nothing will change. With better transit connections and road pricing you'd see less demand from cars, and so a bridge so large is not necessary.

This is the solution to the port traffic problem as well. Getting basic every day commuters into transit alternatives (or if they decide to live closer to work) frees up road space for commercial activities that require road space.

The problem with the additional lane of traffic and of "future proofing" the bridge is that it incentivizes driving a car. This is the foundation of Induced Demand. Suddenly there's all this room and it's quick and easy to drive. Now driving is even easier that public transit. More people decide to live further away and decide to drive and more traffic is created. A decade or so down the road the bridge is filling up and now the roads have to be expanded again! The cycle continues and continues.

Spending less money on the bridge and diverting that money to public transit alternatives is the only way to break that cycle of car reliance.
So really what you're saying is the province should build a 8 lane bridge in lieu of a 10 lane bridge or a 6 lane+2 RT lanes in lieu of a whats currently proposed a 8 lane +2 RT lanes.................okay nice spin to prove your point.......and i dont think its out of line. So what about 50' trailers chugging up the incline of the bridge? Wouldnt it make sense for them to have their own lane? 10 Lanes or 8 Lanes doesn't make a difference to me. It will still be an improvement over what we have now.

Does your spin on the 10 lane scenario scare you into the belief we will turn into Seattle or LA? And your so worried about spending millions of dollars on a bridge but you actually have the foresight to think that extending the Canada Line to the ferry terminal is not a waste? You should have stopped at the BRT scenario, i would have bought into that.
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  #1890  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 6:58 PM
moosejaw moosejaw is offline
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Originally Posted by aberdeen5698 View Post
I've said it before and I'll say it again: the rational thing to do is to toll the existing tunnel and direct the funds to its replacement. That way we find out what the impact of tolls is on volumes before we spend money on a replacement. And there's a very real possibility that congestion problem largely goes away.
I agree to toll the crossing immediately
But tolling it to see if congestion goes away wont be the solution to aging infrastructure. The crossing needs to be modernized.
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  #1891  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 7:15 PM
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Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
The alternative to this project is not nothing. There are other ways to build a new crossing.

If the politicians were actually focused on moving people and not cars, then you'd see a different, more efficient and cost effective solution.

This sort of car oriented solution has been discredited among planning professionals because it simply doesn't work in the long term. This is why the Metro Region is opposed to this project.
News flash: there are people in those cars.

Given the ALR rapid transit makes no sense through Delta to South Surrey.

"Planning professionals" are faddists, this decade its trams and bikes, who knows what it will be next decade. The only reason they say this type of construction doesn't work and only attracts more traffic is because the city continues to grow, not that people suddenly go out and buy a ton more cars. So slow down population growth and your "problem" is solved.
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  #1892  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 7:36 PM
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Originally Posted by Infrequent Poster View Post
20 consecutive months of growth http://www.ticorp.ca/who-we-are
Well, no. Traffic is seasonal and has dropped every winter. It's right there in your link.

I expect to see volumes dip now that the Patullo is back to full capacity.
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  #1893  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 7:45 PM
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Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
You build a new bridge that's larger than the current Massey Tunnel but that isn't 10 lanes wide and the largest bridge in BC.

I'd prefer 6 lanes with 2 transit only lanes for BRT that could potentially be shifted to rapid transit down the road. (I'd actually be quite happy with 4 lanes and 2 transit only but I don't think that's politically viable)
Do you mean six lanes total, or six lanes plus two for BRT? There's a big difference. In case you've forgotten, 6 - 2 = 4. Four lanes is what we have right now, and definitely isn't enough; two lanes will be a nightmare.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
The problem here is that tolling and improved public transit change behaviour and this bridge is clearly not compensating in any way for that fact. It assumes traffic volumes will be massive and so it is accordingly massive.

We saw that with the introduction of the Canada Line Oak St bridge volumes dropped. We saw that traffic shifted from the Port Mann due to tolls.

What will happen when this bridge is tolled? The designers of this bridge seem to be assuming that nothing will change. With better transit connections and road pricing you'd see less demand from cars, and so a bridge so large is not necessary.
And where and when will such funding for rapid transit to Delta come from? We haven't even gotten funding for Skytrain to Broadway and Langley - much less Hastings, Willingdon, North Shore, 41st or anything on the wishlist. Why would anybody intentionally retard the bridge's size in the hope that rapid transit will change commutes a few decades down the road? We've got gridlock right now, and that's bad for everybody.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
This is the solution to the port traffic problem as well. Getting basic every day commuters into transit alternatives (or if they decide to live closer to work) frees up road space for commercial activities that require road space.
Reading comprehension is your friend. Since you seem to have missed it the first time, I'll say it again:

1) The buses are stuck in gridlock at the GMT as well. What are the passengers going to do, take the bus? A large bridge is in transit users' best interests as well; more lanes = faster trip.

2) The GMT doesn't serve just Metro Vancouver. It's also the main link from Victoria and the United States to mainland BC. Even if we build a Skytrain to Vancouver Island AND Seattle, people will always need to drive from Delta to Vancouver proper and beyond.

3) Those drivers include freight truckers - the people responsible for keeping much of the global economy going. Spoiler alert: even without the cars, they don't have enough space either. Surely you don't expect them to hop on the bus with 20-30k kilos of goods?

Quote:
Originally Posted by mukmuk64 View Post
The problem with the additional lane of traffic and of "future proofing" the bridge is that it incentivizes driving a car. This is the foundation of Induced Demand. Suddenly there's all this room and it's quick and easy to drive. Now driving is even easier that public transit. More people decide to live further away and decide to drive and more traffic is created. A decade or so down the road the bridge is filling up and now the roads have to be expanded again! The cycle continues and continues.

Spending less money on the bridge and diverting that money to public transit alternatives is the only way to break that cycle of car reliance.
We need both road space AND transit - the latter, by the way, often depends on the former. Induced Demand (in relation to traffic) is a response to America's "build, baby, build" attitude to highways; what the experts are calling for is to have some road space, some transit, some bike lanes/etc, so that you're always ahead of congestion and simultaneously bringing it down.

Unfortunately, many people have misinterpreted this to mean that less roads = less traffic. Which is a load of bovine excrement, because the traffic still exists, but now without any infrastructure to support it.
You need to replace the roads with rapid transit, or with other roads. Since rapid transit to/from Delta isn't going to be an option in your lifetime or mine - AND on top of that, we've got additional traffic from the States and the Tsawwassen - that means "other roads." Since new bridges only get built every half-century, and we're blowing several billion regardless, it'd be better to have extra lanes and not need them than the other way around.
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  #1894  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 9:02 PM
AForce AForce is offline
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Originally Posted by WarrenC12 View Post
Well, no. Traffic is seasonal and has dropped every winter. It's right there in your link.

I expect to see volumes dip now that the Patullo is back to full capacity.
I believe hes talking about year - year growth.
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  #1895  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 9:03 PM
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Originally Posted by AForce View Post
I believe hes talking about year - year growth.
His post said "20 consecutive months". And year over year growth is up, but only after it went down when the full tolls came in.
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  #1896  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 10:05 PM
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Originally Posted by WarrenC12 View Post
His post said "20 consecutive months". And year over year growth is up, but only after it went down when the full tolls came in.
For 20 consecutive months the traffic volume has increased when compared to the same month a year prior. Is that confusing? Honest question. Not trying to spin anything to support any agenda here. Just saying what I see.
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  #1897  
Old Posted Sep 15, 2016, 10:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Infrequent Poster View Post
For 20 consecutive months the traffic volume has increased when compared to the same month a year prior. Is that confusing? Honest question. Not trying to spin anything to support any agenda here. Just saying what I see.
Ok, makes sense.
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  #1898  
Old Posted Sep 16, 2016, 1:50 AM
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Originally Posted by aberdeen5698 View Post
I've said it before and I'll say it again: the rational thing to do is to toll the existing tunnel and direct the funds to its replacement. That way we find out what the impact of tolls is on volumes before we spend money on a replacement. And there's a very real possibility that congestion problem largely goes away.
You can say it a million times, it's not going to happen

I think we should raise fares for buses and skytrains, put that money towards a broadway extension. Then in 10 years if it's still viable we can consider building it with fares increased again
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  #1899  
Old Posted Sep 16, 2016, 3:19 AM
The_Henry_Man The_Henry_Man is offline
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Originally Posted by Aroundtheworld View Post
This proposal is insane. It looks like were going back to 1950s thinking with this. What a colossal waste of resources.
And this is the finest representative of the typical political beliefs amongst transportation planners for the last 30-40 years that has largely contributed to the dilapidated road infrastructure and the scale of Metro Vancouver's traffic congestion today.
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  #1900  
Old Posted Sep 16, 2016, 3:37 AM
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Originally Posted by libtard View Post
I guarantee the people in this thread condemning this project are the same people in favor of a broadway skytrain. .
You are talking like a Christy Clark spokesperson, you either agree with her 100% or your an airy-fairy vegetarian with his head in the clouds.

I agree with a GMT & 99 widening but not Christy's {I want to help my developer friends & have a massive new construction project underway for the election} rendition. Seeing she herself says that larger tankers will still not be able to use the Fraser than there is no reason to get rid of the current tunnel. They could just double the tunnel amount and still have a 10 lane road/BRT and a 8 lane tunnel but the tunnel portion would save a billion on a new bridge. When the new tunnels are opened they could close the current ones and bring them up to a higher earthquake standard.

If she really wanted to reflect the needs of the people who take the GMT then she would hold a plebiscite for S of F and Richmond residents...........do you want 10 lane bridge for $5 each way or a 8 lane tunnel for $2? I think you would find that people would rather save the $3 bucks each way.
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