Quote:
Originally Posted by roger1818
I was thinking the same thing, but for different reasons (its hard to compare Hwy. 7 with the 401). Yes this route gains Peterborough (80,660), but the next largest city it gains is Perth (6,211). In return you lose: Oshawa (290,937), Kingston (117,787), Belleville (63,985), Quinte West (a.k.a. Trenton) (43,086), Brockville (23,354), Cobourg (18,519), Port Hope (12,230), and Napanee (7,221). All of which are larger than Perth. VIA's vision of HFR is to serve these middle cities and towns, not bypass them.
Population counts (in brackets) as of 2011 from Wikipedia.
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I look at this way. Even if the Peteborough route is used, this does not mean that service ends on the Lakeshore route, but then again, you do not need an hourly train to any of the intermediate cities.
I am just looking at the corridor and the Peterborough route has a connector down the Don Valley that feeds directly into Union Station.
Also, the population disadvantages of the Peterborough route can be turned into an advantage. It means fewer stops and therefore faster average speed. Since it is going through mostly rural areas, the cost of rebuilding the track will be reduced. Furthermore, if the rail bed has been maintained as a trail between Havelock and Glen Tay, it means that all the bridges are still there. Some will need repairs or replacement obviously, but still, it is not as if everything has been removed entirely.
Also, it is critical for VIA's business plan that there is little or no interaction with freight trains. Adding new double tracking between Oshawa and Brockville is going to be an enormous expense on a densely populated corridor. I expect there is many grade separated crossings on that corridor that will not be able to handle two more tracks. On the other hand, the Peterborough route through rural areas will require very few grade separations. In almost all cases, gates will be sufficient. Here we have the advantage of using conventional speed trains that we do not have to spend a fortune on grade separations.
Also, I just can't imagine being able to reduce travel times to 2.5 hours while still following that indirect route via Brockville.
Of course, there is that other possibility of using the old rail corridor between Smith's Falls and Napanee via Chaffey's Locks. The rail bridge in Smith's Falls over the Rideau Canal still exists, so does the bridge at Chaffey's Locks and over the 401 at Napanee. Unfortunately, the route bypasses Kingston, but I don't know how you achieve sufficient speed increases to avoid this.