Quote:
Originally Posted by swimmer_spe
Would it have a high enough capacity to meet the demand?
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Yes. I think you over estimate the demand of SFU. The student enrollment of SFU is only 26,000, and that is spread across multiple campuses, and not all students start class first thing in the morning every day.
According to the Translink bus review, the #145 averages under 10,000 boardings per weekday (and on weekends it is well under 3,000). The 143 sees 3150 weekday boardings (but it travels the length of Coquitlam first) and the 144 sees 5800 riders (and it travels through the heart of Burnaby), so the number of riders travelling to/from SFU on those lines is less than that.
That's a good number of riders, but hardly anything requiring Skytrain. A Skytrain line would be able to carry every single student enrolled at SFU to the campus in an hour. Is that necessary?
The new aerial cable car transit systems in South America are capable of carrying 3,000 pphpd. It would match the demand of the 145 with a little over 3 hours of work.
And Hastings is a bit over rated. According to Translink, the population in a 400m buffer of route 135 is 55,000. Good, but not stellar when you consider how long the route is. Most of the length of the street, once you walk past the first alleyway off Hastings, it's just detached housing.
I don't know if a Skytrain would be needed along much of Hastings when the Millennium line is only 2.3km away at the furthest point. Main and Fraser have similar statistics (population/ridership) and Commercial and Arbutus blow the 135 out of the water. If you did do Skytrain, there is no need for it to extend past Hastings park for the next 40 years.
And that is the main difference. You could conceivably build a gondola to SFU within a few years with very mild financing (in some scenarios the business case saves money vs keeping it as bus), but Skytrain to SFU wouldn't be financed at any point in my lifetime, and I intend to see the next century.