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Originally Posted by someone123
I'm not so sure about this. Does the Tacoma light rail really get lots of commuters from elsewhere? Up until recently when I was there it didn't connect very meaningfully to other transit services in the region. It has a daily ridership of 3,600, which is less than a lot of bus corridors in Halifax.
A lot of cities in the US aren't particularly well off, nor do the suburbs always want to cooperate much. American cities are however more ambitious and have a greater tendency to invest in big projects. They also blow lots of money on sporting venues, which I think is less wise, but when it comes to transit Halifax is not ambitious enough. It is actually in a pretty enviable position in the sense that the municipality and region and one in the same and the tax base is fairly large. HRM is comparable in size to cities like Miami and Minneapolis. It is a smaller metropolitan region but the fact is that the municipality is significant and makes it much easier to coordinate transit projects than in comparable metropolitan areas with more municipalities.
The thinking around commuter rail and the way it's presented in that Globe and Mail article are emblematic of the problems in Halifax. People talked about the low-end version of commuter rail, which clocks in at around $30-50M in capital outlay (if I remember correctly), as though it's some huge undertaking for the city. The version with a short track into downtown that would cost something like $90M was considered the gold-plated version. Neither version was amazing from a value per dollar perspective, but they are both extremely modest projects compromised by the desire to be as cheap as possible. Something in the $100-300M range might produce much better value for dollar, and actually be transformative for the city, but the political climate is too timid to even consider something in that range. It's really unfortunate.
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I won't disagree with you over the potential relative ease of working within a single municipal boundary / government rather than across multiple municipal units, and I certainly agree with you on the issues around lack of initiative to actually start development.
That said, I just can't see a reasonable comparison between a city like Miami with over 400,000 people in a 55 sq mile area and 5.5 million in a contiguous urbanized area of over 1100 sq. miles, versus (the former city of) Halifax's 130,000 in 37 sq. miles and 300 or so thousand in a total urbanized area of just over 100 square miles. Miami city has a population density of over 11,000/sq mile and the broader urban area remans over 4400/sq mile. That's a ton of potential ridership, easily providing a critical mass.
Halifax former city would be around 3500/sq mi, and Halifax's urbanized area just under 2800/sq mi. I think we could support a line or two, sure, but I can see why planners would find the case much more difficult to make. (There's no point in discussing the numbers around HRM as a whole, with its other 100,000 people scattered throughout another 2000 sq miles, with little potential impact on things like rail transit. As i and others have discussed before, this idea that there is a "city" of 400,000 here is an impression skewed by the inclusion of the former County.)
Your other example, Minneapolis-St. Paul, although a contiguous urban area of 2.6 million in 1000 sq mil and metro area of 3.5 in a ridiculous 8100 sq mi, is probably a better comparison in terms of the density of its outer neighbourhoods, but still much denser than Halifax in the city proper. Notably, even this (relatively) large / dense city has only developed light and commuter rail lines in the last 10 years. We aren't the only ones seemingly "behind" on public transportation!
I think Halifax should keep seriously investigating a light rain line or two. I just don't think looking to cities approaching the size of Vancouver (Minneapolis) or Toronto (Miami) as examples will help any one make the case for it.